Iowa St. at Kansas Picks, Odds & Betting Lines - Tue 02/18

[OC] What if every world cup team had the same population? - Group G

Afternoon all, welcome back to the series that Gary Neville described as ‘How did you get this number, no I don’t know what you’re on about, piss off’. So far I’ve brought to life the teams of 24 hypothetical regions, that’s an entire Euro 2020’s worth! hmm that gives me an idea...
Before I begin separating the counties of Estonia, let’s stay focused and remind ourselves of how we got this far.
Group A, Group B, Group C, Group D, Group E, Group F,
Today’s post details the squads of the tournament’s penultimate group. Whilst this pool of players isn’t the greatest, they will be playing in front of the most participant sets of fans. Mexican waves meet Vuvuzelas in the battle for top spot while the other two’s wavin flags will look like this.
Southern Africa
South Africa, Lesotho, Eswantini, Mauritius, Reuinion, Comoros, Seychelles, Madagascar, Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Botswana, Namibia, Zambia, Angola, Tanzania
Population (millions): 255.34
The part of the world that brought us the only African world cup to date (and some other less wholesome moments in history), this southern hemispheric subcontinent has underachieved in modern memory.
The region is a mix of engrossed and apathetic when it comes to footballing subscription in the public consciousness, with four of the top seven African GDP’s per capita, their resources should theoretically be better than anyones. Just four World Cup qualifications (one of those by default) makes this the second least punctual region of the continent.
Lusophone’s Angola are the exception to an otherwise South African sweep of appearances. The ‘Giant sable antelopes’ (I’m sure it sounds better in portuguese) shocked the CAF by toppling Nigeria by the narrowest of margins to reach the 2006 finals; the nation’s top scorer and Barbie Girl singing eurodance group Akwá was the protagonist in a 1-0 win against the Super Eagles, this retrospectively acted as a tie-breaker when David & Goliath finished with the same points in their qualifying group. Their time in Germany was short yet respectable, conceding just two goals in three games and almost holding their colonisers Portugal to a bore draw, revenge is sweet.
A rugby nation by trade, South Africa were crowned World Cup champions just last year, unfortunately for soccer fans they have flattered to deceive in the world’s most beloved game. A ‘golden generation’ in 2002 featured the coloured careers of Steven Pienaar, Benni McCarthy, Lucas Radebe and Quinton Fortune; failing to escape an easy group, a huge opportunity missed. 18 years on Bafana Bafana’s only big names are of a literal sense.
Contrary to what I would have guessed, South Africa is not the regions most populous nation; Tanzania’s 56 million inhabitants puts them level with England, and the nation seem to identify as footyholics as much as their historic oppressors, unfortunately they haven’t got their money's worth for their sporting subscription.
The tiny island of reunion has produced the likes of Dimitri Payet and Laurent Robert, but since still being a French territory, anyone worth their salt gets a plane to Paris.
Botswana fail to feature in the squad, but with top clubs called ‘Meat Commision’ and ‘Miscellaneous’, it might be safe to say the nation isn’t taking the game as seriously as others.
Goalkeepers Birthplace FM20 Value Age
Itumeleng Khune RSA Kaiser Chiefs GK Ventersdorp 67 €0.47 32
Darren Keet RSA OH Leuven GK Cape Town 58 €0.80 30
Defenders
Bastos ANG Lazio CB Luanda 70 €12.70 28
Mexer MOZ Bordeaux CB Maputo 65 €4.50 32
Clinton Mata ANG Club Brugge CB Verviers 63 €7.70 28
Jeremy Morel MAD Rennais CB Lorient, France 63 €0.30 35
Bruno Gaspar ANG Olympiakos RB Evora, Portugal 60 €1.70 26
Romain Metanire MAD Minnesota RB Metz, France 60 €3.30 30
Reinildo MOZ Lille LB Beira 54 €0.75 26
Nurio ANG Charleroi LB Luanda 60 €3.60 25
Midfielders
Wilson Eduardo ANG Braga RW Pedras Rubras 66 €5.90 30
Percy Tau RSA Club Brugge RW Witbank 65 €17.60 25
Marvelous Nakamba ZIM Aston Villa CDM Hwange 64 €14.00 26
Khama Billiat ZIM Kaiser Chiefs RW Harare 66 €0.50 30
Thulani Serero RSA Al Jazira CDM Soweto 61 €4.90 30
Keagan Dolly RSA Montpellier CAM Johannesburg 62 €3.70 27
Bongani Zungu RSA Amiens CM Duduza 64 €4.80 27
Djalma ANG Alanyaspor LM Luanda 60 €1.10 32
Forwards
Mbwana Ally Samatta TAN Aston Villa ST Dar Es Salaam 66 €19.90 27
Patson Daka ZAM RB Salzburg ST Chingola 64 €2.60 21
Lebo Mothiba RSA Strasbourg ST Johannesburg 62 €3.70 24
Tinotenda Kadewere ZIM Lyon ST Harare 62 €3.70 24
Averages/Totals 63 €118.22 28
On paper the team shouldn’t need to rely on talismanic powers as the middling quality runs true throughout this team. Aston Villa surely have a scout in this part of the world as they are blessed with the services of key players Marvellous Nakamba and Mbwana Samatta.
Samatta became the Premier League’s first Tanzanian in January and will hopefully have a chance to add to his three appearances sooner rather than later. The imposing frontman scored 23 goals in the Belgian league in 2018-19 which makes him almost over qualified to lead the line in this XI.
Patson Daka was 13 and playing for locals Nchanga Rangers when Zambia sensationally shocked the world to lift the 2012 AFCON; the goldenboy of a generation determined to sequel the Copper Bullets’ success. The speedy Salzburg striker already has 24 caps for his country, time will tell if he is to follow Haaland and Minamino out of Austria to a European giant.
Mononymous Angolan Bastos will command the defence as best he can. Although recently struggling to make the squad, Bastos has served Lazio well with his protective prowess.
A plethora of pacey playmakers completes the assembly that will most likely finish runners up in this group. An exit in the round of 16 is on the cards as by process of elimination lots of you have already worked out Group H’s heavyweights are North & Central Europe.
West India
3 Indian States (Maharashtra, Gujurat, Madhya Pradesh)
Population (millions)
All the way back to the simpler time of Group A I hastily declared Uttar Pradesh as the worst region in the world, I’d like to publicly apologize for that remark as it’s become clear to me that West India is the bottom of a very deep barrell.
The region that provides the setting for Slumdog Millionaire has plenty to answer for as finding 22 players in this part of the world was harder than a where's wally of Manish market.
Goalkeepers Birthplace FM20 Value Age
Kunal Sawant IND Mumbai City GK Maharashtra 16 €0.01 28
Sukhdev Patil IND Churchill Brothers GK Maharashtra 14 €0.00 21
Defenders
Rahul Bheke IND Bengaluru RB Maharashtra 33 €0.03 29
Ashutosh Mehta IND Mohun Bagan RB Gujurat 22 €0.02 28
Raju Galkwad IND Kerala Blasters CB Maharashtra 21 €0.01 29
Jayesh Rane IND ATK RB Maharashtra 21 €0.01 27
Abhishek Ambekar IND East Bengal LB Maharashtra 20 €0.01 28
Rohan Adnaik IND DSK Shivajians CB Maharashtra 13 €0.00 28
Karan Amin IND Jamshedpur LB Maharashtra 13 €0.01 30
Pratik Chaudhuri IND Mumbai City CB Maharashtra 18 €0.01 30
Midfielders
Raynier Fernandes IND Mumbai City CDM Maharashtra 26 €0.02 24
Farukh Choudhary IND Jamshedpur CAM Maharashtra 25 €0.02 23
Kean Lewis IND Bengaluru LM Maharashtra 21 €0.01 27
Alwyn George IND Minerva Punjab CM Maharashtra 20 €0.01 28
Shilton D'Silva IND Mohun Bagun CM Maharashtra 19 €0.01 27
Aditya Ashok Jha IND ARA fc LW Gujarat 11 €0.01 20
Nikhil Kadam IND Northeast United RW Maharashtra 17 €0.01 25
Darren Caldeira IND Kerala Blasters CM Maharashtra 17 €0.01 32
Forwards
Aniket Jadhav IND Jamshedpur CF Maharashtra 16 €0.01 19
Arif Shaikh IND Gokulam ST Maharashtra 13 €0.01 26
Bipin Singh IND Mumbai ST Maharashtra 17 €0.01 25
Girik Khosla IND Minerva Punjab ST Maharashtra 17 €0.01 25
Averages/Totals 19 0.25
With 8 caps for the national team, Rahul Bheke is made to look like prime Cafu alongside his defensive compatriots. The Bengaluru full back plays a leading role in a one-star Bollywood show.
Aniket Jadnav is maybe the one to keep an eye on, the wide forward failed trials at Blackburn late last year, but the fact that they even asked him makes this teenage talent the side’s crappy Mbappe.
A Bombay mix of unknowns will be thankful they haven’t drawn against the real heavyweights of the competition, or they could be on the end of a cricket score.
Mexico & Central US
Mexico, 16 US States (Texas, Arizona, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Louisiana, Arkansas, Colorado, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Iowa, Missouri, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Illinois)
Population (millions): 244.75
The big wall will have to wait as this side leaves rednecks turning in their trailers. The region has fathered two point three tournaments with one on the way, but the main feature of this team always seems to leave the party early when it’s not at their house.
Mexico have been excruciatingly expelled in the second round an eye-watering SEVEN times running, the sombrero wearing soccer obsessed Senior’s are so frequently the bridesmaid it’s no exaggeration to call them football’s spinsters.
The US’s largest state, Texas, is the birthplace of one of America’s greatest players and worst rappers, Clint Dempsey. His impressive club career was an MLS sandwich with a London filling, the posterboy of a Fulham team that miraculously reached the Europa league final. Romantically tied with fellow yank legend Landon Donovan, Dempsey retired joint top scorer for USMNT, including four goals in three seperate world cups.
Mexican legends of the game include Hugo Sanchez, who scored over 200 goals for Real Madrid, and Barcelona treble winner Rafael Marquez who incredibly played 19 games across five World Cups, considering they never manage more than four, that’s almost as good as it gets.
Today El Tri are seemingly at the beginning of a promising Mexican generation that coincides with some notable late bloomers.
Goalkeepers Birthplace FM20 Value Age
Guillermo Ochoa MEX America GK Guadalajara 71 €4.20 34
Jonathan Orozco MEX Santos Laguna GK Monterry 68 €2.90 33
Defenders
Jesus Corona MEX Porto RB Sonora 72 €23.00 26
John Brooks USA Wolfsburg CB Berlin 67 €7.10 26
Hector Moreno MEX Al Gharafa CB Sinaloa 68 €6.10 31
Carlos Salcedo MEX Tigres CB Guadalajara 68 €5.70 25
Nestor Aruajo MEX Celta Vigo CB Guadalajara 70 €15.80 26
Hugo Ayala MEX Tigres CB Michoacan 68 €2.70 32
Miguel Layun MEX Monterrey RB Veracruz 66 €3.80 31
Jorge Sanchez MEX America LB Coahuila 63 €2.30 21
Midfielders
Isaac Brizuela MEX Chivas RM California 64 €4.40 29
Hector Herrera MEX Atleti CM Tijuana 75 €33.40 29
Hirving Lozano MEX Napoli RW Mexico City 75 €27.70 24
Victor Guzman MEX Pachua CM Guadalajara 66 €4.20 24
Andres Guardado MEX Real Betis CM Guadalajara 71 €9.20 32
Jonathan Dos Santos MEX LA Galaxy CM Monterry 70 €5.60 29
Rodolfo Pizarro MEX Miami FC CAM Tamulipas 72 €4.40 25
Edson Alvarez MEX Ajax CDM State of Mexico 70 €8.10 21
Forwards
Raul Jimenez MEX Wolves ST Hidalgo 74 €39.00 28
Javier Hernandez MEX LA Galaxy ST Guadalajara 66 €4.10 31
Gio Dos Santos MEX America CF Monterry 64 €2.20 30
Carlos Vela MEX LAFC LF Quintana Roo 75 €6.30 30
Averages/Totals 69 €222.20 28.04545455
One of the more mundane concoctions, it’s plain to see that Johnathan Brooks is the only ‘American’ to dare cross the border. The centre back scored a winner against Ghana in 2014 avenging the defeat of 2010.
After struggling badly at Atleti and then Benfica, it’s an unlikely story that aged 27 Raul signed for Wolves and has since become one of the Premier Leagues most feared strikers. The nation is hoping to harness whatever time he’ll be able to stay at this level, having scored five goals in a winning Gold Cup campaign.
Eredivisie fans will be familiar with Guardado and Alvarez, the bookends of a variety of age groups in the middle of the park.
‘Chucky’ Lozano is the posterboy, the Napoli winger scored the only goal in an historic victory over 2014 champions Germany. At just 24, it shouldn’t be of too much concern that he is competing to become a regular amongst fierce Neopolitan competition.
As usual, perhaps North-America’s best bet for success. They should win this group, but with the second round curse yet to be broken, maybe another John Brooks goal is needed to make the quarters.
Greater Beijing
7 Chinese provinces (Beijing, Hebei, Heilongjiang, Inner Mongolia, Jilin, Liaoning, Tianjin)
Population (millions): 246.63
The capital with plenty of capital, Beijing is the focal point of a Chinese region that stands the best chance of all it’s countryfolk. The region boasts half of the national team’s top ten appearance makers.
Liaoning is the most vibrant reserve of Chinese talent, defender Sun Jihai is often revered as the country's greatest player with 127 premier league appearances for Man City, after years of battling relegation his departure came just one month before the Abu Dhabi group took over, a cautious tale of what happens when you let cookies decide your fortune.
Domestic football is rife in the region with six of 16 CSL teams, including Beijing Guoan, who pay for the services of Cedric Bakambu and Renato Augusto.
Goalkeepers Birthplace FM20 Value Age
Liu Dianzuo CHN Guangzhou E GK Liaoning 47 €1.90 29
Wang Dalei CHN Shandong Luneng GK Liaoning 53 €3.70 31
Defenders
Nico Yennaris CHN Beijing Guoan RB London 59 €10.40 26
Li Xuepeng CHN Guangzhou E LB Liaoning 51 €3.40 32
Wang Tong CHN Shandong Luneng RB Liaoning 50 €3.20 27
Liu Yiming CHN Guangzhou E CB Liaoning 49 €3.40 25
Dai Lin CHN Shandong Luneng CB Liaoning 49 €2.00 32
Feng Xiaoting CHN Guangzhou E CB Liaoning 48 €1.10 35
Gao Zhunyi CHN Guangzhou E CB Jilin 48 €3.50 25
Ren Hang CHN Hebei C Fortune CB Liaoning 48 €2.40 31
Midfielders
Wu Xi CHN Jiangsu Suning CDM Hebei 53 €4.40 31
Yu Hanchao CHN Free Agent RM Liaoning 53 €2.50 33
Chi Zhongguo CHN Beijing Guoan CDM Jilin 52 €4.60 30
Zheng Zhi CHN Guangzhou E CM Liaoning 52 €0.48 40
Zhang Chengdong CHN Hebei C Fortune RM Hebei 50 €3.20 31
Jin Jingdao CHN Shandong Luneng CM Jilin 47 €2.60 28
Piao Cheng CHN Beijing Guoan CM Jilin 47 €3.20 31
Yin Hongbo CHN Hebei C Fortune CAM Jilin 47 €2.70 30
Forwards
Dong Xuesheng CHN Hebei C Fortune ST Liaoning 49 €3.50 31
Yang Xu CHN Tianjin ST Liaoning 47 €3.00 32
Tan Long CHN Changchun Yatai ST Liaoning 47 €3.00 32
Wu Xinghan CHN Shandong Luneng ST Liaoning 46 €2.40 32
Average/Totals 50 €70.58 30.81818182
Ex-Celtic and Charlton midfielder Zheng Zhi has 108 national caps and counting, still wearing the arm-band at 39 years old. An industrious and efficient playstyle combined with terrific passing range lends itself to still being able to compete at such a late age, although he will require the leg work of fellow 30-somethings Wu Xi and Chi Zhonguo if moves can be made.
Born in London, Nico Yennaris or ‘Li Ke’ was the first ever naturalised Chinese player, the former Arsenal youth and Brentford stalwart is hoping to become a trailblazer to the development of Asian football.
It isn’t an absolute certainty that this team will come third, but beating Southern Africa will be key, in a group of subjectively low quality, China’s best team is maybe their only hope.
Emotional times as tomorrow brings the final group, by this point it should be obvious who’s left.
See you all in the comments to discover what I’ve got wrong today (I will comb through the whole thing with your suggestions once this is done).
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i_Milk's Official 3 Round Mock Draft

Disclaimer #1: This is based on what I would do not what I think will happen
Disclaimer #2: This mock will include trades

1.01 CIN - Joe Burrow QB LSU
Duh

1.02 WAS - Chase Young EDGE The Ohio State
Again, duh

Trade: MIA receives 1.03. DET receives 1.05, 2.39, 2.56, & 2021 MIA 2nd
1.03 MIA via DET - Tua Tagovailoa QB Alabama
In a bidding war between the Los Angeles Chargers and the Miami Dolphins, Miami just has too much draft capital to spend for their QB of the future. If this was a normal year where teams would be able to get Tua in their building for updated medicals, then I'd be much more willing to spend extra 1st round capital to trade up and get him for either LA or Miami. The injury concerns obviously make this pick very risky, but some of it has simply come down to bad luck for Tua. When healthy, he's obviously an extremely talented passer who can cut apart a defense in so many different ways. Personally, I don't think the Fins are going to trade up for a QB. I think they want to keep as many draft picks as possible and are more than happy with either Tua or Justin Herbert at 5. However I have a solid gap between Tua and Herbert as prospects, so for me I feel like I need to go up and make sure I get my far and away top QB available.0

1.04 NYG - Jedrick Wills OT Alabama
I think this pick will be Isaiah Simmons come Thursday, however I would definitely be looking at taking one of these OTs at 4 for the G-Men. At the end of the day, Daniel Jones needs more help on the offensive line and specifically with his bookends. Nate Solder has been plagued by poor play since signing with the Giants, and Cam Flemming is much more suited to being a backup than relied on as a starter. With Wills, there might be freakier athletes in this OT class but I don't see anyone who has more pluses to their name than Jedrick. He's a very good athlete, has good length, and is probably the most technically sound OT in this draft class. Rarely is a pick ever "safe" but Wills is as good as it gets when it comes to tackle prospects in the NFL Draft.

1.05 DET via MIA - Jeffery Okudah CB The Ohio State
For the third time, duh

1.06 LAC - Andrew Thomas OT Georgia
So this pick has pretty much always been Justin Herbert, however I wanted to do something different and go through a scenario where the Chargers don't go QB. When I look at Herbert, I'd be okay with his currently development if he were a 2 year starter instead of a 4 year starter. I'm worried about some of the mistakes Justin makes with so much experience under his belt, however he dealt with numerous WR injuries in 2019 and Marcus Arroyo was (IMO) way too conservative in his play calling throughout much of the year (the Auburn loss in particular I blame a lot on Arroyo). There were flashes of Herbert being able to handle a heavier offensive load in 2019, however we never really got to see that come to fruition consistently. Herbert, like Jordan Love, really needs the right place to develop and I'm not sure the Chargers are it. I don't think it's a horrible place for him, with guys like Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, Hunter Henry, and Austin Ekler as targets. However that OL needs some serious work, and after playing with the best OL in the nation at Oregon I think the adjustment could be tough for Justin. Instead I want to experiment with a different route in Andrew Thomas. Thomas has SEC experience at both RT and LT, along with solid athleticism, technique, and amazing strength and length. Thomas is as solid as they come, and whether it's for Tyrod Taylor, another vet, or a young QB, he should be a rock on the OL for whoever the Bolts starter is in 2020 and in the future.

1.07 CAR - Isaiah Simmons DEF Clemson
My #2 overall player comes off the board to Matt Rhule and the Panthers here at 7. Carolina has a lot of needs, and at the end of the day I think they just need to take the most talented player on the board at their pick. Enter Isaiah Simmons, the do-it-all slot cornesafety/linebacker who has the talent and athleticism to transform a defense. Simmons isn't a 1-to-1 replacement for Luke Kuechly, but you need a similar type of game changer on the defense. I believe Simmons is that player, and he should provide day 1 impact to a team in a rebuilding phase. With Brian Burns at DE and Donte Jackson already at CB, now Carolina has a young building block on all 3 levels of their defense.

1.08 ARI - Tristan Wirfs OT Iowa
This pick has got to be on either the offensive line or the defensive line for the Cardinals unless a player like Isaiah Simmons or Jeffery Okudah falls to them. I think a guy like Javon Kinlaw makes a lot of sense here, however like with the Giants, I am most concerned with protecting my young QB. Tristan Wirfs is an other-worldly athlete who has P5 experience at LT and RT. In terms of athleticism and strength, Wirfs has a rare combination of both of those tools to work with at the NFL level. Tristan needs some more development in the technical department in the NFL, but even though the Cards have vets like DeAndre Hopkins, Chandler Jones, Larry Ftizgerald, and Patrick Peterson, I don't feel that they need him to be awesome from day 1 and they can just let him learn at his own pace. If you can develop Wirfs properly, you'll have a fantastic bookend for Kyler Murray for a very long time.

Trade: TB receives 1.09. JAX receives 1.14, 3.76, 4.117, & 2021 2nd
1.09 TB via JAX - Mekhi Becton OT Louisville
I think this trade makes a ton of sense for both sides. Jacksonville's roster has been gutted over the past couple needs, and they just need to get as many picks as possible to try and build back up their roster. Tampa acquired the services of Tom Brady in free agency, and their win-now window has become obvious. The Buccaneers have a really good offense with guys like Brady, Howard, Evans, Godwin, Brate, Marpet, and Jensen as well as a great offensive mind in Bruce Arians as head coach. At this point with where the Bucs are at, I'm most concerned with fortifying the rest of the OL and spending whatever draft capital I have to in order to do it. Becton is by far the best OT left on my board and he's worthy of this pick. He's an absolute freak with incredibly nimble, explosive feet at 6'7 364 lbs. Leverage will probably always be a bit of an issue for Becton since he's so big and I think he needs work on his hand placement, but at the end of the day someone that huge and that athletic will be able to stop plenty of pass rushers. For Tampa, your time is now so let's go get someone who will have an immediate impact protecting your new investment at QB.

Trade: DEN receives 1.10. CLE receives 1.15, 3.77, 3.95, 4.118 & 2021 3rd
1.10 DEN via CLE - Jerry Jeudy WR Alabama
With all 4 top OTs off the board, Cleveland has the freedom to trade down and get a couple more assets for missing out on their top need. Denver gets to jump up into the top 10 after trading out of the top 10 in the 2019 draft. With the top WR still available, this is a no-brainer choice for the Broncos to help round out their offense. Denver seems to be prioritizing a top WR in this draft to pair with Courtland Sutton and I feel like that's a great approach to take. While Henry Ruggs would also be a great fit in Denver, I just can't pass on the overall talent that someone like Jeudy brings. Route running, speed, YAC, production, Jerry has it all and an offense with Jeudy, Sutton, Fant, Lindsay, and Gordon should give Drew Lock all the weapons he needs to have a good sophomore campaign in the Rocky Mountains.

1.11 NYJ - Henry Ruggs WR Alabama
And well, here's my WR2 coming off the board. The Jets have made an effort to sign a lot of offensive linemen in free agency and while none of them are good enough to stop them from taking an OT in the 1st round, it does give them somewhat of a safety net in case they aren't able to get one of the top 4 OTs. Henry Ruggs is a top 10 rated player in this entire class for me and I feel like he'll be an absolute game changer at the NFL level. Ruggs has good hands, amazing speed, and really promising route running as an underclassman. Ruggs can win at any level and take any route to the house. Sam Darnold needs as much help on offense as possible and a playmaker like Ruggs will sure go a long way in making Darnold's life better in the Big Apple.

1.12 LV - CeeDee Lamb WR Oklahoma
Yeah this pick is another real easy one for me. The Raiders need another WR to complete their offense and give Derek Carr all the weapons he could hope for. With that OL, Lamb as a #1 option, Tyrell Williams, Renfrow in the slot, Waller at TE, and Jacobs at RB, Las Vegas should have one of the better offenses in the league if Carr can perform like a quality starting QB.

1.13 SF - Javon Kinlaw DT South Carolina
I don't necessarily think the Niners need to be desperate for a Deforest Buckner replacement, but in this spot the board just lines up perfectly to take a DT. Kinlaw is the best player left on my board and although San Fran already has a talented DL, they certainly could use a player like Kinlaw. With the top 3 WRs all off the board, that leaves SF the freedom to really take BPA and I love the fit for Kinlaw. He would be able to make an impact early while not having the pressure on him to develop right away with all the talent around him. This is a BPA pick that could really keep the gravy train rolling in the bay area.

1.14 JAX via TB - CJ Henderson CB Florida
Time for CB2 to come off the board. The teens are right around the sweet spot for CJ to go and a place like Jacksonville makes a lot of sense. With both Jalen Ramsey and AJ Bouye gone from the team, there's a large hole that needs to be filled in the secondary for the Jags and Henderson has the talent to help fill those holes. With long arms, great speed, smooth hips, and the ball skills to make plays on the ball, CJ can make an immediate impact in coverage for a team that needs to reload with impact players.

1.15 CLE via DEN - Kenneth Murray LB Oklahoma
This is a really tough pick for me, because nothing they can take here is particularly great value. I considered taking Denzel Mims just because I think he offers something a bit different to that WR room. I also considered safety here but with Karl Joseph, Andrew Sendejo, and Sheldrick Redwine already in house I just wasn't sure if addressing it with their first pick was the right move. At the end of the day I went with Murray because when I talked to Browns fans it seemed like LB was the other big need. I'm personally not a Takitaki fan but I'm a big Mack Wilson fan. With Mack having the main coverage responsibilities at the 2nd level, Murray can be allowed to do what he does best on passing downs and blitz the QB and make plays happen underneath. Murray can be slot into a starting spot immediately for Cleveland and make a terrifyingly athletic LB duo with Mack for years to come.

1.16 ATL - Kristian Fulton CB LSU
I know many might consider this pick a reach, but I believe that this is around the right value for Kristian Fulton. Fulton is still a talented corner with good, patient footwork and smooth hips. Fulton proved that he has the long speed to compete on the outside at the combine with a 4.46 40 yard dash. Fulton doesn't have great length, but he's got the athletic traits to still be a quality corner, and he gave many of the SEC's best WRs a ton of trouble as a CB. With the loss of Desmond Trufant, corner is solidified as the top need for the Falcons, and a player like Fulton will help in plugging up that hole on their roster.

1.17 DAL - K'Lavon Chaisson EDGE LSU
Another LSU Tiger comes off the board in the teens, the Cowboys have a number of options to consider here at 17. Even though a few corners are off the board, guys like Jeff Gladney, Trevon Diggs, AJ Terrell, and Jaylon Johnson could be considered in the first round. Safety is an option too with none of them being selected so far. However at this spot I went with a pass rusher since it's become a sneaky important need following the departure of Robert Quinn. Chaisson has the burst and hand usage to develop into a dynamite pass rusher on Demarcus Lawrence's opposite side. K'Lavon also has the discipline and strength to hold up as a stout run defender on the edge. Chaisson doesn't wow with amazing size or arm length, but he's got the necessary package of traits to be a quality DE in the NFL. He also had the honor of wearing the #18 for LSU this season, so his character and work ethic will not be questioned in the NFL either. After Chase Young if I had to bet on any other EDGE in this draft class being a successful pro, it would be K'Lavon Chaisson.

Trade: BAL receives 1.18. MIA receives 1.28, 2.55, 4.129, & 2021 3rd
1.18 BAL via MIA from PIT - Patrick Queen LB LSU
Well look at this, 3 LSU Tigers get selected in a row here in the middle of the first round. I think a trade up makes sense from Baltimore's perspective since they actually have a good amount of picks to work with and not a lot of holes on their roster. After trading away a couple 2nds to get Tua, Miami is able to recoup a 2nd round pick and move up 40 spots on day 3. The weakest spot on the Ravens team is at LB. They lost CJ Mosley to free agency in 2019, traded away Kenny Young to LA for Marcus Peters in-season, and lost Patrick Onwuasor in free agency this year. These departures leave a talent gap that needs to be filled, and with Isaiah Simmons and Kenneth Murray already off the board, Queen is clearly the best LB on the board and there's a significant gap between Queen and the rest of the LBs on the board. With a fairly desperate need and a big talent drop off, it makes sense for Baltimore to be aggressive in trading up for Patrick in their contending window.

1.19 LV via CHI - Jeff Gladney CB TCU
This is another easy pick for me to make. Gladney is my CB4 and final CB with a first round grade. Jeff brings the competitiveness that Jon Gruden absolutely loves, with ball skills and athleticism that should help him be a quality corner on the opposite side of Trayvon Mullen. Other than WR, CB is the biggest need for the Raiders but with the pair of Big 12 playmakers that I've taken for them in the 1st round, their roster rounds out really well and should be a tough team to play in a very competitive AFC West.

1.20 JAX via LAR - AJ Epenesa EDGE Iowa
I know AJ isn't the most popular prospect after a pretty disappointing combine, but I still think there's a lot of talent there to work with, and over the past couple seasons of Big 10 play we've seen how good Epenesa can be. With Yannick Ngakoue wanting out of Jacksonville despite receiving the franchise tag (we'll get to this later), The Jags will need a new running mate for Josh Allen with Calais Campbell also out of town. AJ Epenesa still flashes a lot of burst, flexibility, and hand usage off the edge despite the pedestrian combine numbers. On a defense where he can still make an impact but not have the pressure of being the #1 pass rusher, Epenesa and Allen could form to make a formidable pass rush duo on the outside for the Jacksonville Jaguars.

1.21 PHI - Justin Jefferson WR LSU
Justin Jefferson is actually my WR5 on my board, however I feel like the fit in Philadelphia is too perfect to pass up. Jefferson's combination of hands, athleticism, route running, and ball skills should fit very well to Carson Wentz, Doug Pederson, and that Eagles offense. With how much Pederson likes to keep defenses off balance with the quick game and RPOs, Justin should transition seamlessly into that offense and be an immediate contributor whether he's in the slot or out wide. Overall not only does Philly need athleticism at WR, but they also need reliability and with the receivers left on the board, no one is as reliable as Justin Jefferson.

1.22 MIN via BUF - Denzel Mims WR Baylor
And now here we are getting to my WR4. Mims has the traits you want out of an outside receiver wit his size, catch radius, and athleticism. His combine and senior bowl proved that he can run any route you want him to, and that he can also win against press and physical coverage. While this is somewhat a Stefon Diggs replacement, they are different body types and do some different things. What will be present from day 1 is the type of receiving threat that Mims can be, he'll win with his size and speed on intermediate and deep routes from day 1 and I think he'll be the product of some favorable coverages with teams worrying more about Adam Thielen. Minnesota needs to make some key picks for the talent they lost in the offseason, and I believe that Mims is a high upside pick that can help that offense keep on chugging even in Diggs' absence.

Trade: IND receives 1.23. NE receives 2.34, 4.122, & 2021 2nd
1.23 IND via NE - Justin Herbert QB Oregon
Finally we're seeing some QBs come off the board after the Chargers passed on Herbert at 6. I personally see Indianapolis as a much preferable spot for Justin's development compared to the Chargers. The main reason I believe this is for a couple reasons. 1. Having Jacoby Brissett and Philip Rivers would be really good for Herbert, as I feel like they have a less likely chance to force Justin into starting than Tyrod Taylor, who failed to Baker Mayfield off the bench in Cleveland. 2. Most of all though, I have more trust in Indy's OL compared to LA's. With Anthony Costanzo back after contemplating retirement, Quenton Nelson as one of the best young OGs in the NFL, and other solid starters on the OL, Justin will having comfort in his OL much more similar to his Oregon days than anything he could dream of for the Chargers. Having a target like TY Hilton and an all-around RB like Marlon Mack for the future as weapons doesn't hurt either. With Brissett and Rivers both on 1 year deals, Herbert can then take over the starting job after a year learning the offense and learning from 2 veteran QBs.

1.24 New Orleans - Jordan Love QB Utah State
Similar deal here at 24 with New Orleans. The Saints have a very limited number of holes on their roster and with Drew Brees getting older and older, this is the perfect spot for Jordan Love to develop. With coaches like Sean Payton and Pete Charmichael, a veteran HOF QB in Brees, a very good and young OL, and young weapons like Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara, Love is in a prime position to grow his first year or two and then thrive as Brees' successor. I really feel like NOLA is the best possible place for Love to end up and I think the Saints could be able to keep the good times rolling after Drew with Jordan at the helm.

1.25 MIN - AJ Terrell CB Clemson
I actually have Trevon Diggs slightly above AJ Terrell in my CB rankings, however I think AJ is the better fit in Minnesota. Diggs is very raw since he's only been playing CB for a few years, and I feel like the Vikings need a corner who will offer better play in year 1 because of how many CBs they need and because the Vikings probably still fancy themselves as playoff contenders. Terrell offers versatility in coverage, great athleticism/speed, and great length as a boundary corner. I don't think AJ offers a ton in the way of playmaking like someone like Trevon Diggs does, but AJ is still a very solid CB prospect who should be considered here in the late 1st round.

1.26 MIA via HOU - Josh Jones OT Houston
I would love to take Lucas Niang at this spot, but I just can't bring myself to take not 1, but 2 players with serious hip injuries for a single team. Instead I'm going with the senior bowl standout in Josh Jones. I wasn't in love with Jones' feet or hand placement on his college tape, but he could absolutely rock any pass rusher on a punch with his heavy hands and he certainly has the athleticism to play tackle in the NFL. Even as someone who didn't love his Houston tape, even I have to admit he was fantastic down in Mobile and that performance has me more comfortable with the prospect of taking him in the 1st round, I just wouldn't do it in the early or middle parts of round 1. Other than QB though, OT is the biggest need for the Fins. With a QB like Tua who does his best work in the pocket and has had the injury problems he's had, you need to build a strong OL to keep him upright and Jones has the potential to be a rock at either tackle spot for Tua for a long time.

1.27 SEA - Lucas Niang OT TCU
Trust me, this late 1st round Seattle pick from TCU has much better film than the late 1st round Seattle pick from TCU in 2019. Niang had a hip injury that cost him the 2nd half of his senior season, but his 2018 tape is some of the best tackle tape of anyone in this class. Niang has nimble feet, strong hands, great length, and good athleticism when healthy to be a pass protector in the NFL. He's also a very powerful run blocker who has strength and athleticism in his arsenal. Seattle has needed to address their OL for a while now, while they did that a couple of years ago by trading for Duane Brown, Brown is getting older and they haven't done a ton outside of that. Now all of a sudden the Seahawks have a nice mix of vets and young guys on the O-line to help Seattle and Russel Wilson in their playoff contention.

1.28 MIA via BAL - Grant Delpit S LSU
I know that Delpit is an extremely polarizing prospect and has many detractors, but I still think Grant is the beset safety in this class and for me he still has a 1st round grade. I actually think this is a tad bit late for Delpit, however there just isn't a great spot for him above this where he fits better than the other prospects taken. Combine that with the fact that it's a deep safety class and now you can see why Delpit has fallen a bit. While his 2019 left something to be desired, Delpit's 2018 tape is still incredible and needs to be taken into account when evaluating him. His size, range, instincts, and playmaking are exactly what you want for a safety who can play in a number of roles. For Miami, after addressing their 2 biggest needs in QB and OT, I feel like they can just start taking BPA and at this spot in the draft, Grant Delpit is just about BPA for me.

1.29 TEN - Justin Madubuike DT Texas A&M
My surprise DT2 makes an appearance in the first round! I'm not really sure why the Titans traded away Jurrell Casey for a mere 7th round pick, but there's a definite hole in his absence that I feel Madubuike can fill. The reason that I have Justin rated higher over Derrick Brown is simply because I think Madubuike can offer more pass rush than Brown. Justin has fantastic burst to combine with hand usage and a good frame for an interior pass rusher. With 22 TFLs and 10.5 sacks the past 2 years as a DT for the SEC TAMU Aggies, Madubuike is a proven disruptor that will help replace some of the production lost from Casey.

1.30 GB - Brandon Aiyuk WR Arizona State
Once again an Arizona State WR finds himself in the back end of the 1st round. Aiyuk is a dynamite athlete as seen by his combine testing, who flashes a good ability to create separation in his routes and has a great ability to create with the ball in his hands. With so much attention going towards Davante Adams, Aiyuk should get plenty of chances to wreak havoc with the ball in his hands like he did in the desert in 2019. Aaron Rodgers needs more weapons on offense outside of Adams and Aaron Jones and Aiyuk should provide precisely the playmaking the Packers need.

Trade: DET receives 1.31. SF receives 2.39, 3.67, & 3.85
1.31 DET via SF - Yetur Gross-Matos EDGE Penn State
With all the extra draft capital that the Lions picked up from trading back with Miami, it allows them the freedom to jump back in the first round to a team that really need to trade out of 31 and get some more draft picks. With no 2nd, 3rd, or 4th round pick, San Fran trades back to 39 and gets an early 3rd and early 5th for their troubles. Even though Detroit gave up those picks, they still have plenty of good assets. Outside of corner, Detroit's next biggest need is probably at pass rusher. The Lions defense was pretty poor overall, and Trey Flowers needs a solid running mate opposite his side on the DL. YGM lacks a lot of consistency, especially against the best competition he faced, but he has all the traits you look for in a 1st round pass rusher. The Penn State product has length, explosiveness, and strength that you want out of a DE, and he doesn't have bad bend either. He needs to work on his hands and his plan as a pass rusher, but those were areas that he improved on a little bit last season. If he continues to improve in those areas, he could become a young cornerstone for a defensive revival in Detroit.

Trade: CAR receives 1.32. KC receives 2.38, 3.69, & 2021 3rd
1.32 CAR via KC - Derrick Brown DT Auburn
It's okay Derrick Brown fans, I still have the big Auburn man going in the first round. Carolina needs help in the trenches so with someone like Brown still on the board, it makes sense just to go up and get him before anyone else can. I think Derrick has some serious limitations in terms of his upside as a pass rusher, but he should still be a damn good run defender and with his size he'll be able to always make an impact in the NFL. Kansas City shouldn't feel any desperation at 32, and being able to get a couple of 3s to move down a handful of spots is fine business for a team that doesn't really have a prospect staring them in the face that they have to take at 32. I think this is a sensible deal for both sides.

2ND ROUND
2.33 CIN - Lloyd Cushenberry IOL LSU
2.34 NE via IND from WAS - Laviska Shenault WR Colorado
2.35 DET - Cesar Ruiz IOL Michigan
Trade: JAX receives 2.36. NYG receives Yannick Ngakoue
2.36 JAX via NYG - Xavier McKinney S Alabama
2.37 LAC - Jalen Reagor WR TCU
2.38 KC via CAR - Jaylon Johnson CB Utah
2.39 SF via DET from MIA - Bryan Edwards WR South Carolina
2.40 HOU via ARI - Terrell Lewis EDGE Alabama
Trade: WAS receives 2.41. CLE receives Trent Williams
2.41 WAS via CLE - Austin Jackson OT USC
2.42 JAX - Jacob Eason QB Washington
2.43 CHI via LV - Trevon Diggs CB Alabama
2.44 IND - Michael Pittman Jr WR USC
2.45 TB - D'Andre Swift RB Georgia
2.46 DEN - Prince Tega Wanogho OT Auburn
Trade: MIN receives 2.47 & 2021 5th. ATL receives 2.58 & 3.105
2.47 MIN via ATL - Matt Peart OT UCONN
2.48 NYJ - Isaiah Wilson OT Georgia
Trade: KC receives 2.49 & 2021 6th. PIT receives 2.63 & 3.96
2.49 KC via PIT - JK Dobbins RB The Ohio State
2.50 CHI - Jeremy Chinn S Southern Illinois
2.51 DAL - Bryce Hall CB Virginia
2.52 LAR - Tyler Biadasz IOL Wisconsin
2.53 PHI - Ashtyn Davis S Cal
2.54 BUF - Jonathan Taylor RB Wisconsin
2.55 MIA via BAL from NE - Cam Akers RB Florida State
2.56 DET via MIA from NO - KJ Hamler WR Penn State
2.57 LAR via HOU - Julian Okwara EDGE Notre Dame
2.58 ATL via MIN - James Lynch DT Baylor
2.59 SEA - Josh Uche EDGE Michigan
2.60 BAL - Zack Baun EDGE Wisconsin
2.61 TEN - Jack Driscoll OT Auburn
2.62 GB - Noah Igbinoghene CB Auburn
2.63 PIT via KC from SF - Neville Gallimore DT Oklahoma
2.64 SEA via KC - Donovan Peoples-Jones WR Michigan

3RD ROUND
3.65 CIN - Akeem Davis-Gaither LB Appalachian State
3.66 WAS - Adam Trautman TE Dayton
3.67 SF via DET - Ben Bredeson IOL Michigan
3.68 NYJ via NYG - Michael Ojemudia CB Iowa
3.69 KC via CAR - Malik Harrison LB The Ohio State
3.70 MIA - Ezra Cleveland OT Boise State
Trade: DAL receives 3.71. LAC receives 3.82, 5.165, & 5.180
3.71 DAL via LAC - Kyle Dugger S Lenoir-Rhyne
3.72 ARI - Ross Blacklock DT TCU
3.73 JAX - Cameron Clark OT Charlotte
3.74 CLE - Antoine Winfield Jr S Minnesota
3.75 IND - Jonathan Greenard EDGE Florida
3.76 JAX via TB - Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB LSU
3.77 CLE via DEN - Tee Higgins WR Clemson
3.78 ATL - Antonio Gibson RB Memphis
3.79 NYJ - Jabari Zuniga EDGE Florida
3.80 LV - Jalen Hurts QB Oklahoma
3.81 LV via CHI - Troy Dye LB Oregon
3.82 LAC via DAL - Matt Hennessey IOL Temple
3.83 DEN via PIT - Willie Gay Jr LB Mississippi State
3.84 LAR - Zack Moss RB Utah
3.85 SF via DET - Damon Arnette CB The Ohio State
3.86 BUF - Kenny Willekes EDGE Michigan State
3.87 NE - Brycen Hopkins TE Purdue
3.88 NO - Troy Pride CB Notre Dame
3.89 MIN - Cameron Dantzler CB Mississippi State
3.90 HOU - Darnay Holmes CB UCLA
Trade: PHI receives 3.91. LV receives 4.127, 4.145, & 2021 3rd
3.91 PHI via LV from SEA - Reggie Robinson II CB Tulsa
3.92 BAL - Lynn Bowden Jr WR Kentucky
3.93 TEN - Terrell Burgess DB Utah
3.94 GB - Cole Kmet TE Notre Dame
3.95 CLE via DEN from SF - Robert Hunt IOL Louisiana-Lafayette
3.96 PIT via KC - Van Jefferson WR Florida
3.97 CLE via HOU - Darrell taylor EDGE Tennessee
3.98 NE - Jordan Elliot DT Missouri
3.99 NYG - Isaiah Hodgins WR Oregon State
3.100 NE - Curtis Weaver EDGE Boise State
3.101 SEA - Amik Robertson CB Louisiana Tech
3.102 PIT - Hakeem Adeniji OL Kansas
3.103 PHI - Jordyn Brooks LB Texas Tech
3.104 LAR - Logan Wilson LB Wyoming
3.105 ATL via MIN - Markus Bailey LB Purdue
3.106 BAL - Ben Bartch OL St. John's MN
submitted by i_MiLK to NFL_Draft [link] [comments]

2 Round Mock Draft

ROUND 1

Pick Team Player Thoughts
1 Cincinnati Bengals LSU QB Joe Burrow The rise of Joe Burrow has been one to behold, and sort of reminds me of Baker Mayfield's rise up draft boards during his draft year. He's had an incredible year so far, and could cap it off next Monday with a National Championship victory over the defending champions. With Cincinnati needing an identity at QB, I can't see them taking anyone but Burrow. Plus, he's from Ohio and it will sell a lot of tickets.
2 Washington Redskins OSU DE Chase Young Washington is in a great place to grab perhaps the best player in the draft. New DC Jack Del Rio has said they're going to establish a 4-3 defense, Chase Young would be the perfect pick to bolster this defense. Ron Rivera's first year with Washington will have him taking a potential game-changing pass rusher to terrorize the rest of the NFCE, which should scare Dak Prescott, Carson Wentz, and Daniel Jones.
3 Detroit Lions Clemson LB Isaiah Simmons This pick came down to OSU's Jeff Okudah and Clemson's Isaiah Simmons, but I went with Simmons in the end because I think he's the 2nd best player in the draft behind Chase Young, and a true captain of a defense. He can play safety or OLB, and play both positions well. I know the popular pick here is Okudah, but I am infatuated with Simmons and I think he's going to go a lot higher than people think.
4 New York Giants Georgia OT Andrew Thomas Gettleman has done some good things with the Giants despite the fact their record doesn't reflect it. Joe Judge as the next HC is a bit of a head scratcher, but I am always willing to wait before I cast judgment. Looking at this roster I see a lot of holes, but the #1 hole is the tackle position. I think kicking Nate Solder over to RT would be the best option, and then drafting the best LT in the draft, and to me that's Georgia's Andrew Thomas. Daniel Jones took a beating last year, and lot of his fumbles were due to bad tackle play. Solidify that tackle position and protect your franchise QB at all costs.
5 Miami Dolphins Alabama QB Tua Tagovailoa Can I just gush about Brian Flores real quick? Everyone thought this team would be the "worst team in NFL history" after that shalacking by the Ravens week 1, and what did Flores do? Win 5 games with this roster -- unbelievable coaching performance. Ryan Fitzpatrick has been a good bridge QB, and he is under contract another year, which will be perfect for Tua as he rehabilitates his injury and gets ready to take over when he's ready. I'm a little weary about Tua due to his injuries, but the talent is undoubtedly there.
6 Los Angeles Chargers Oregon QB Justin Herbert Let me preface this by saying that I understand there are some glaring needs on this team, mainly OL. I think Herbert is the 3rd best QB in this draft, but has the potential to be the best with proper coaching. He won't be a day one starter, and I believe the Chargers will roll with a bridge QB for 2020 until Herbert is deemed ready, but with Herbert here on the board, the Chargers should act fast at finding their potential franchise QB. Rivers is old, hasn't looked great, and is a pending free agent. Barring a trade up to grab Tua, or a big free agent signing, I can't see them passing on Herbert if here's there.
7 Carolina Panthers OSU CB Jeff Okudah Derrick Brown is a popular pick here, but with Okudah falling due to 3 QBs going top 10, I can't see the Panthers passing on him. Okudah is a top 5 talent, and to grab him here at 7 is probably a dream come true for any team that could use a corner. Okudah is my #4 overall prospect behind Young, Simmons, and Burrow, and while IDL is the more pressing need, I can't justify Derrick Brown over Okudah.
8 Arizona Cardinals Alabama WR Jerry Jeudy I've seen a lot of mocks that have CeeDee Lamb going before Jeudy due to the Kyler connection, and while I totally understand that, I think if Jeudy is here and you had your pick of the litter, you can't pass him up. He's the best route runner in the draft, and probably the best WR prospect to come out in quite some time. Jeudy fits this offense like a glove and would give Kyler Murray a big time target to throw to.
9 Jacksonville Jaguars Oklahoma WR CeeDee Lamb Back-to-back receivers off the board as Jacksonville gives Gardner Minshew a big-time playmaker to throw bombs to. I suspect the Jaguars will double-down on the Foles mistake and have him compete with Minshew for the starting job, but this offense works so much better with Minshew. Foles is a tremendous back-up, but a low quality starter - Minshew showed a lot of potential last year, so getting him a playmaker such as Lamb would be a slam dunk.
10 Cleveland Browns Alabama OT Jedrick Wills People will disagree on the rankings of the top tackles, but for me Wills is my #2 behind Thomas. While they need help at both positions (Hubbard/Robinson are just abysmal), Robinson is the lesser of the two evils. Wills will start day one for this offense, and perhaps the Browns could try to get Trent Williams from Washington to replace Robinson? Or another FA tackle, but Robinson must go. Baker should take a step forward with a new coaching staff that (hopefully) plays to the strengths of the personnel. Why Freddie was calling long-developing plays with turnstiles at tackle still baffles me, but grabbing Wills here at the 10th pick is a perfect fit for this team.
11 New York Jets Iowa OT Tristan Wirfs How this team won 7 games baffles me, but hey, good for you, Jets! You got a talented young QB who basically willed this team to 7 wins despite the worst OL in the league, a terrible head coach, and a lack of offensive weapons not named Le'Veon Bell. Joe Douglas needs to protect his franchise at all costs, and with Wirfs still available I suspect he'd tear his quad running so fast to turn that card in. Sam Darnold is the truth, and you need to keep him upright so he can show why he's just that good.
12 Las Vegas Raiders Alabama WR Henry Ruggs III I firmly believe Ruggs will establish himself as the 3rd best WR in this class after his combine performance, and for a team like the Raiders who really need a playmaker at the receiver position, it just makes too much sense, especially with Okudah and Simmons off the board. Ruggs in Gruden's offense will be so much fun to watch, especially when you add Josh Jacbobs into the mix. The Raiders were so close to a playoff berth this year, and I think they'll be there this time next year.
13 Indianapolis Colts Auburn DT Derrick Brown Snagging Brown at the 13th pick would be perhaps the steal of the draft for the Colts. There's an argument to be made that WR is a more pressing need, but Ballard has done a fantastic job of grabbing talent in the later rounds, so I believe he will find a good WR day two, especially with how deep this class is. Brown is the BPA on the board, and will be a great fit with this defense.
14 Tampa Bay Buccaneers LSU S Grant Delpit This seems like a really popular place for Delpit to be picked, and I can totally see why. I can see the allure of a QB here, especially if prospects like Jordan Love or Jacob Eason rise as the draft gets closer, but I think if Delpit is on the board he would be a great pick here for the Buccaneers. I could also see them taking SC DT Javon Kinlaw, but I went with Delpit due to him being a little higher on my own board.
15 Denver Broncos Clemson WR Tee Higgins Elway seemed to have found the QB he has longed for since Peyton retired with Drew Lock, and I think they have a solid offensive core to really build around. Courtland Sutton has been fantastic, and Philip Lindsay has had back-to-back 1,000 yard seasons. Tackle is definitely the more pressing need, but with Higgins on the board, I can see Elway and company pairing him with Sutton to give Lock two dynamic playmakers to throw to. Henry Ruggs would have been a perfect pick here, but he went a few picks earlier to Las Vegas; still, Higgins is a beast and will do great things with that offense.
16 Atlanta Falcons Iowa DE AJ Epenesa Atlanta's biggest need is EDGE, and with AJ Epenesa dropping to them they should be ecstatic that he fell this far. This EDGE class is pretty top heavy with Chase Young being the #1 guy, but Epenesa is a great player and a fringe top 10 talent, so snagging him at 16 is tremendous value. Fills a huge need, and is the best player on the board - two birds one stone. Yadayadayada.
17 Dallas Cowboys South Carolina DT Javon Kinlaw Depending on what happens with Dak and Amari, this pick could be all over the place. It could be a receiver, a QB, a corner, or even a safety, but I think they'll look at their board and see Kinlaw still available and take him. He does fill a need for this defense, and is a great prospect to boot. Mike McCarthy's first pick as the new coach of the Cowboys will be a safe one, but a great one nonetheless. It may not be flashy, but I believe it's the right pick.
18 Miami Dolphins (from PIT) Penn State DE Yetur Gross-Matos The Dolphins have 3 first round picks this year, and they already got their franchise QB with their first, and with the top 3 tackles off the board, I think they'll grab another glaring need first, then tackle... a tackle with their 3rd first round pick. Matos is a player I suspect will go top 20, and here at 18 with the Dolphins would be a really good fit for this team.
19 Las Vegas Raiders (from CHI) Oklahoma LB Kenneth Murray The Raiders got a dynamic offensive playmaker with their first pick, and a dynamic defensive playmaker with their 2nd - another strong draft for Mayock and Gruden. This team is so close to being in the playoffs I can almost taste it, and if I were a betting man I would put money on the Raiders to be in the playoffs next year, especially if they have another great draft like they did last year.
20 Jacksonville Jaguars (from LAR) LSU CB Kristian Fulton The Jaguars, much like the Raiders, have set themselves up nicely to add two playmakers for their team on both side of the ball. Kristian Fulton at 20 is a steal, as he's my 12th overall prospect - plus he fills a huge need after the trade of Jalen Ramsey. While Fulton may not be as good as Ramsey was/is, he will still bolster this Jacksonville secondary as a day one starter.
21 Philadelphia Eagles Alabama CB Trevon Diggs This team has two glaring needs - receiver and corner, but I rank corner as a more pressing need. Wentz had over 4,000 yards passing without a single receiver getitng 500 yards, which means Wentz was able to make chicken salad out of chicken shit. But this secondary? Yeesh. Upgrading there should be the #1 priority, and I think Howie can grab a really good receiver day 2 due to how stacked this class is. Diggs is my #3 overall corner prospect behind Okudah and Fulton, and he fills a huge needs for this team.
22 Buffalo Bills Colorado WR Laviska Shenault Hats off to Sean McDermott for getting this Bills team to the playoffs. They were just a few plays away from beating Houston and advancing to the divisional around, too. Getting Josh Allen a big-time target would do wonders for his development. Shenault has some injury concerns, but his upside is phenomenal. He's a big receiver at 6'2", 220, and will give Josh Allen some much-needed help offensively.
23 New England Patriots Boise State DE Curtis Weaver Tom Brady will be back next year, and I think it'll be with the Patriots. Their biggest need offensively is wide receiver and tight end, but I don't see Bill double-dipping at WR two years in a row in the 1st. Defensively, their biggest need is EDGE, and Curtis Weaver is the best left on the board. Bill will attack the offensive skill positions later on I suspect - at least, I hope so.
24 New Orleans Saints LSU WR Justin Jefferson Jefferson's stunning and dominant performance against Oklahoma made him skyrocket up a lot of boards - including mine. Now, is WR the biggest need for this team? No, but the thought of pairing Michael Thomas with another playmaker for Brees is just too good to pass up, especially with how the board fell. Jefferson and Thomas will cause even more trouble for opposing secondaries in the NFCS. Thank goodness the Panthers got Okudah, right?
25 Tennessee Titans LSU DE K'Lavon Chaisson After 5 years of mediocre QB play by Marcus Mariots, the Titans perhaps found their QB in... Ryan Tannehill? Color me shocked. Looking at my board and potential team needs, I think the Titans will go EDGE here, and Chaisson is the best EDGE left on my board.
26 Minnesota Vikings Florida CB CJ Henderson This team has perhaps the best overall roster in the NFL, but corner is probably their biggest need, especially after the disappointing year Rhodes has had. CJ Henderson can be a player that goes top twenty or the 2nd round - it depends on the boards. If he's there for the Vikings to pick, then I think he'd be a great fit with this team/defense.
27 Miami Dolphins (from HOU) USC OT Austin Jackson With their 3rd and final pick of the 1st round, the Dolphins hopefully solidify their line - and protect their QB of the future - with USC's Austin Jackson. He's my #4 overall OL prospect, and to grab him at the tail end of the 1st round is really good value, especially for a team that really needs help on the offensive line. Leaving the 1st round with Tua, Matos, and Jackson is a great haul for the Dolphins moving forward. Excited to watch this team next year.
28 Seattle Seahawks Wisconsin OL Tyler Biadasz Seattle is another team that could go a lot of ways. They could grab another receiver to pair with DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett, or take an EDGE prospect with potential (Julian Okwara/Terrell Lewis), but I think they'll go interior OL and take Tyler Biadasz if he's still on the board. He's a natural center, but I think he has the potential to play guard if needed. Either way, he will help this OL - which graded poorly most of the year, especially against the Eagles in the playoffs - and give Wilson some protection.
29 Kansas City Chiefs OSU RB JK Dobbins I know this is going to seem like a reach, but I'm going off what I watched last year and I feel JK Dobbins would be perfect in this offense. He can run as good as anyone, and was a playmaker catching the ball for the Buckeyes. Many have Georgia's D'Andre Swift as the better back, but I think Dobbins is better, personally. Dobbins adds so much to an offense, and imagining him taking screen passes from Mahomes to the house would give this Chiefs offense the link they've been missing since Hunt was released middle of last season.
30 Green Bay Packers TCU WR Jalen Raegor The Packers offense is basically Aaron Jones, Aaron Rodgers, and Davonte Adams, then a bunch of practice squad players. I think giving Rodgers another offensive playmaker, especially one as talented as Raegor, would be a homerun for the Packers in the 1st round. Pairing Raegor and Adams together would be quite the dynamic duo, especially with Aaron Jones as the lead back.
31 San Francisco 49ers Alabama S Xavier McKinney This is the BPA on my board, and I love the fit here. Robert Saleh has done a terrific job of making this defense one of the best in the league, and adding someone as good as Xavier McKinney would make an already stout unit even better.
32 Baltimore Ravens Alabama DE Terrell Lewis I could see the Ravens going WR early again, but they'll probably trade out of this pick to get more day 2 picks for depth. This team is stacked everywhere you look, and adding a quality pass rusher like Lewis at the end of the 1st would be a good selection for the team I believe will win it all this year.

ROUND 2

Pick Team Player Thoughts
33 Cincinnati Bengals Louisville OT Mekhi Becton You got the QB, now give him some protection.
34 Indianapolis Colts Utah State QB Jordan Love I think grabbing a project QB here would be a good move for the Colts. I think Jacoby is a good bridge QB that a project like Love could learn behind. It's a low risk, high reward scenario for Frank Reich and Chris Ballard.
35 Detroit Lions Stanford CB Paulson Adebo Another playmaker for Matt Patricia's defense to go along with Isaiah Simmons. Something deadly is brewing in Detroit... I just hope they can put it all together because this team is talented.
36 New York Giants Notre Dame DE Julian Okwara 2nd biggest need for the Giants gets filled with the talented pass rusher out of Notre Dame. Another solid choice by Gettleman and company to bolster this team that has a lot of holes.
37 Los Angeles Chargers Houston OT Josh Jones You got your QB, now give him some protection. Josh Jones is the best tackle remaining on the board, and will be a great value and pick here in the 2nd.
38 Carolina Panthers Alabama DT Raekown Davis Double dipping defense with their first two picks, the Panthers fill another need with this talented defensive lineman.
39 Miami Dolphins Virginia CB Bryce Hall A first round talent is taken in the 2nd, and the Dolphins continue to add great players to build their team. Tua, Matos, Jackson, and Hall would be a killer first four picks for Miami.
40 Arizona Cardinals Auburn OT Prince Wanogho You got your playmaker receiver, now grab some protection for your talented franchise QB Kyler Murray.
41 Cleveland Browns Oklahoma OL Creed Humphrey Double dipping OL is what the Browns should do here, especially when Humphrey is still on the board. They have a great center in JC Tretter, but I think Humphrey has the talent to play guard, and at the very least will be great depth for a team that desperately needs it.
42 Jacksonville Jaguars Washington TE Hunter Bryant Another weapon for whoever is the QB for the Jaguars in 2020, Hunter Bryant is my #1 TE in the draft.
43 Chicago Bears (from LV) Oregon OL Shane Lemieux No 1st round pick, but the Bears still grab a talented OL prospect to bolster their interior line for whoever is playing QB for the Bears next year.
44 Indianapolis Colts Penn State WR KJ Hamler Let's give Jacoby a weapon to pair with TY Hilton, and KJ Hamler is the best WR left on the board.
45 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Washington QB Jacob Eason Another low risk, high reward pick, the Buccaneers grab a rookie QB that can potentially be their long-term starter. I suspect Winston will be with the team next year, but they should address the position in some way, whether that be free agency or the draft.
46 Denver Broncos Washington OT Trey Adams Upgrading the OL should be the 2nd priority for Elway and the Broncos brass, especially with how bad Garrett "holding" Bolles has been thus far.
47 Atlanta Falcons Clemson CB AJ Terrell You got Epenesa in the 1st, now grab yourself a stud corner to add to your defense.
48 New York Jets Arizona State WR Brandon Aiyuk Get Sam Darnold an offensive weapon now that you've got him a franchise tackle.
49 Pittsburgh Steelers Georgia RB D'Andre Swift A 1st round talent falls to the Steelers here in the 2nd, as they grab a member of #RBU out of Georgia. Many believe Swift can be the #1 RB in the class, and I can see why. I have Dobbins rated higher, but here at 49 is insane value.
50 Chicago Bears Notre Dame TE Cole Kmet I don't see the Bears taking a QB here with the second 2nd round pick, but grabbing a tight end would be a great piece to add to their offense.
51 Dallas Cowboys California S Ashtyn Davis I really love this pick, and it fills a big need for Dallas. They grab two stud defensive players with their first two picks - can't beat that.
52 Los Angeles Rams Florida DE Jon Greenard The Rams finally pick and the take a pass rusher to bolster their defense.
53 Philadelphia Eagles Minnesota WR Tyler Johnson Best receiver left on my board, and gives Wentz some much-needed offensive help.
54 Buffalo Bills Oklahoma DT Neville Gallimore BPA on my board, and fits in beautifully with this Buffalo defensive line.
55 Atlanta Falcons (from NE) Georgia OT Isaiah Wilson The Falcons add some meat up front to protect Matty Ice with a local prospect in Isaiah Wilson.
56 Miami Dolphins (from NO) Wisconsin RB Jonathan Taylor I love Taylor as a prospect, and having the Dolphins snag him with the second 2nd round pick is just... chef kiss. What a draft for the Dolphins!
57 Tennessee Titans Georgia OL Solomon Kindley Tennessee adds some depth for their offensive line with Solomon Kindley.
58 Houston Texans TCU CB Jeff Gladney Texans' first pick of the draft is to improve their secondary, and with great value at that!
59 Minnesota Vikings Tennessee OG Trey Smith Another team that could use some depth on their offensive line grabs a versatile player that can play inside or outside.
60 Seattle Seahawks Utah CB Jaylon Johnson Seahawks add a good piece to their secondary near the end of the 2nd round.
61 Kansas City Chiefs Wisconsin LB Zack Baun BPA on my board and fits in well with this Kansas City defense.
62 Green Bay Packers Oregon LB Troy Dye Packers filled a need with their 1st pick, and do the same here at the end of the 2nd round. Pretty good start for the Packers as they look toward the 2020-2021 season.
63 Seattle Seahawks (from SF) Alabama DE Anfernee Jennings Seattle adds some pass rush help to give them a boost on their defensive line.
64 Baltimore Ravens USC WR Michael Pittman, Jr. The final pick of the 2nd round is a talented pass catcher that will give the league MVP another weapon on their offense.

BEST REMAINING PROSPECTS

  • Clemson RB Travis Etienne
  • Purdue TE Brycen Hopkins
  • Texas A&M DT Justin Madubuike
  • Georgia QB Jake Fromm
  • Oklahoma QB Jalen Hurts
  • Alabama RB Najee Harris

DISCLAIMER

I understand mock drafts aren't perfect, and I'm not saying mine is. If you disagree with a pick (which I am sure plenty of you will), please feel free to politely say what you would do instead - I don't think there's need for hostility for something as harmless as a mock draft. I hope everyone enjoys it; I put a lot of work into it. Thanks!
submitted by MylesDidNothingWrong to NFL_Draft [link] [comments]

CeeDee Lamb, WR, Oklahoma - Our newest Dallas Cowboy, in depth film study

Hey guys, I'm back with all-22 film study of our draft picks and I'm going to do it after every day and pick we make and possibly for our UDFA too after the draft. The information I'm going to give you, to the best of my ability are what games I watched and link to youtube cut ups of publicly available games, measurables and athletic testing (potentially incomplete because of COVID-19), my notes of the player that I took while watching him and a grade I gave him with a player comparison and finally with some all-22 film to show you what kind of player we're getting.
1.17 - CeeDee Lamb, WR, Oklahoma
You can find all the cut ups of the publicly available games here, credit to the guys that run the database
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1T-K3H4rMaV6hYrIVFyIqEzXE8HIKTVW-jX2xlgL-Z7U/edit
Measurables and athletic testing (Height, Weight, Hand size, Arm length, Wingspan, 40 yard time, 10 yard split, 20 yard split, Bench, Vertical jump, Broad jump, 3-cone drill, 20 yard shuttle, RAS, sparQ score)
6015, 198, 9 1/4", 32 1/4", 76 5/8, 4.50, 1.58, 2.62, 11, 34.5", 124", N/A, N/A, RAS of 7.44 - Good, 121.8 sparQ (70.5% of all NFL WRs)
Strengths: Yards after catch ability, electric playmaker, enough speed to create separation at the top of his route, explosive mover, extremely reliable hands and big catch radius, true #1 type at 6'2" 198 old school glass eating type of a WR, he will bully your CB, can play inside and outside, great downfield threat, great at the catch point, tracks the ball in flight well and adjusts to it accordingly, incredible ball skills, incredibly hard to bring down in open field, strong and breaks weak arm tackle attempts easily, improved in almost all areas from a good 2018, production improved, showed improvement in his route running from 2018, improved a lot with his releases off the LOS in 2019, lulls the defenders to sleep just to exploit them, understands leverage and how to attack the blind spot of the DB, showed additional craftiness in 2019 that he lacked in 2018, very good at running a stop route threatening with speed and dropping his hips to create separation, knows how to sell the fakes on the crossing routes which are his bread and butter with slowplaying it and then exploding, good and willing blocker in the run game, added value as a ST return player and can be used in the run game as well with jet sweeps and other creative plays.
Weaknesses: Does not show a diverse route tree (Go routes, Crossers, Screens, Comebacks, very rarely square out/in), has to continue improving in route running area of his game, big 12 defenses were not a good competition level that he made look silly at times, questions about being a „system“ WR if that is anyway possible because of how he was utilized in the Lincoln Riley offense.
Bottom line: When I started the WR evaluation, I never expected somebody would get a higher grade than Jerry Jeudy because I love Jerry Jeudy and his game. I'm sold. CeeDee is my WR1. Even though I value route running the highest and CeeDee is not the route runner that Jeudy is (it's not really close in that regard), the volume of big plays, big play ability, highlight type plays and things he has done on tape this year made me reconsider my position on this. He has one of the craziest highlight tapes ever with plays like 2 against Texas, Kansas State or Baylor where he avoids 5 or 6 defenders, breaks 3 or 4 tackles and scores from 70 yards out on a simple WR screen or after the catch. He is absolute joy to watch and has his own skillset that might lead to him being the #1 WR drafted come April. I am just a bit concerned with how will he look outside of Riley's system but the athleticism, the hand strength, the aggressiveness at the catch point, the sure hands, the catch radius even while not having a diverse route tree is too much for me to ignore.
Final grade - 6.9 (Round 1/Top 10 player)
Player comparison - DeAndre Hopkins
That's all folks. I hope you enjoyed my film breakdown on our newest Dallas Cowboy.
CeeDee Lamb is a WR1 in this draft class and a top 10 pick that we got at 17. We absolutely made the right choice. Be happy about this and enjoy 50 points that we will score every week.
submitted by am3nn to cowboys [link] [comments]

HairBear Mock: One and Done.

I like many am currently sitting at home, why not chime in with my interpretation of Thursdays Draft.
I’ve not posted this in the Monday thread as I intend to flesh it out a fair bit.
I’ve included trades, as they always happen, we never quite get them spot on and someone always throws a major curve ball I.e. Chiefs and Pat Mahomes.
1.1- Cincinnati- Joe Burrow- QB- LSU
The most obvious 1st overall since Garrett a few years ago. Not necessarily the best player in the draft but the Bengals have to make this pick.
1.2- Washington- Chase Young- EDGE- Ohio State
Best player available. Similar situation to Nick Bosa last year with a QB being picked first. Not necessarily a pick at a position of need but will upgrade any front he joins.
••Trade••
1.3- LA Chargers- Tua Tagavailoa- QB- Alabama
Chargers pull the trigger. Detroit can trade down a few spots and still likely get their target, and even if you don’t they aren’t 1 player away from the play-offs. Chargers get a player that they can sit behind Tyrod Taylor for the year, get himself fully healthy whilst learning the offence. Getting cheaper at QB will help them retain other key pieces also.
1.4- NY Giants- Andrew Thomas- OT- Georgia
Not a sexy pick, but Gettleman isn’t a sexy pick guy. Thomas has been the sure thing at OT all year, combine and testing has muddied those waters slightly but Thomas is the safe bet and Gettleman can’t afford to bust this pick or he is out of a job. Multi year starter at LT in the SEC, don’t rock the boat.
1.5- Miami- Justin Herbert- QB- Oregon
Miami keeps its capital and gets the player they most likely want. Herbert gets to iron out his flaws behind the consummate journeyman QB pro in Fitzpatrick. If anyone could learn a thing or 2 from Firtzmagic it’s Herbert. No pressure on him to start this year. I like Herbert, can’t think of a player more hamstrung by System than him and think he will make a good NFL QB, although likely not a great.
1.6- Detroit- Jeffrey Okudah- CB- Ohio State
Take the extra picks, get the same player. Good system fit, excellent athlete, has the tape to back it all up. Send the card.
1.7- Carolina- Javon Kinlaw- DT- S. Carolina
Carolina have a need on the D-Line. Short was injured last year and they’re supposedly switching up the front the run under Rhule. Kinlaw will make a great 3T in the mould of D.Buckner who the colts just backed the Brinks truck up for. Might be a bit rich for some tastes especially with Simmons on the board but it’s a fit at a need.
1.8- Arizona- Jedrick Wills- OT- Alabama
Kyler Murray was sacked too many times last year. It isn’t sustainable. Wills played RT at Bama and that’s where he will play for the Cards. No need to project anything here plug and play. Another multi year SEC starter that according to PFF has only ever given up 1 sack. Sure thing.
••Trade••
1.9- Denver- Jerry Jeudy- WR- Alabama
Jeudy is the best WR in the class. Lamb is a very small fraction behind him but what Jeudy did in college well is more transferable to the Pros than what Lamb did best. Denver comes up and gets a Blue Chip player, and sets up Drew Lock for a make or break season.
1.10- Cleveland- Tristan Wirfs- OT- Iowa
Cleveland gets a player many expect to be the first tackle taken. I think Wirfs is still more potential than polish but he is already a good tackle with room to grow into a great one.
1.11- NY Jets- CeeDee Lamb- WR- Oklahoma
I’d take a tackle here. George Fant isn’t an NFL tackle. He couldn’t displace Germain Ifedi who is now on a Vet minimum to play Guard. Lamb is a genuine Number 1 receiver and the Jets desperately need WR help for Darnold. I’m guessing the Jets will be in the Lawrence/Fields conversation in next years draft.
1.12- Las Vegas- Henry Ruggs III- WR- Alabama
More than a deep threat. Ruggs will be a field stretcher both vertically and horizontally and will open up things underneath for Waller and Jacobs. A great complimentary piece to their offence. CJ Henderson would be in consideration here too.
••Trade••
1.13- Atalanta- Isiah Simmons- S/LB- Clemson
Falcons are supposedly getting frisky and have made no secret of wanting to get up the board this year and the Niners have made no secret about wanting to get down and acquire capital. I think this may turn into a bidding war as the Falcons want to get above the Jags now at 15 and the Dolphins want to get above the Buccs for Beckton. Falcons get A Swiss Army knife that falls because he is a Swiss Army knife. If I’m an NFL GM I want to know how my DC plans to use Simmons before you draft him. Falcons have a need at DB, LB and at Edge and Simmons can play all 3. Simmons is going to be a security blanket for this team and Quinn can get creative with Blitzes and Coverage. Don’t waste him as a Box LB.
1.14- Tampa Bay- Mecki Beckton- OT- Louisville
Tampa Bay gets the benefit of a Falcons overpay and beats the Dolphins in getting Beckton. Joe Thomas has him ranked as his Number 1 OT and he knows a fair bit about playing tackle. I’ve never been a big fan of combine movers but it’s BPA at need. Brady played with Trent Brown in New England and Beckton is in that mould though better in the run game.
1.15- Jacksonville- Derrick Brown- DT- Auburn
I’ll preface this by saying I think Brown is a relic in the NFL. For me his is exclusively a 1T. He isn’t athletic enough to play 3/5T and his body type won’t suit playing the 0T. It’s 2020 being a good run defender isn’t that important.
••Trade••
1.16- Jacksonville - CJ Henderson- CB- Florida
It’s a bit of a slide for the 2nd best CB but I think this triggers a run on them. Niners need more picks and Jacksonville is willing to share. Jacksonville picking back to back re-building their defence with 2 solid players.
1.17- Dallas- K’Lavion Chaisson- EDGE- LSU
Position of need for the Cowboys. Chaisson has had the injury bug at LSU but was a leader of their defence. Will step into Quinn’s shoes opposite Lawrence but unlike Quinn has upside in coverage. Could be utilised in Blitz packages when they send Linebackers.
1.18- Miami- Josh Jones- OT- Houston
OT is a need for Miami and Jones is a 4 year starter at LT. It’s not a sexy pick and Jackson from USC probably has a higher ceiling but it’s safe. Miami needs to hit on these picks and they won’t see much from Herbert his first year.
1.19- Las Vegas- AJ Terrell- CB- Clemson
Mayock has made no secret that he likes players from big programmes, Terrell has played in CFB Championships. Got attacked by Chase but Chase will be attacking NFL DBs for years to come. Another need filled.
1.20- San Francisco- Justin Jefferson- WR- LSU
All of the Blue Chip talent has gone off the board at this point. Jefferson is seen as WR3 by some, I think he is the perfect Emmanuel Sanders replacement for the Niners. Proficient route runner, willing in the run games and offers a lot in the quick game which the Niners seem to thrive on. Day 1 starter.
1.21- Philadelphia- Denzel Mims- WR- Baylor
Mims is a bit of a freak. Has deep speed, great change of direction ability. His numbers suggest a player that would excel in the quick game but his tape shows him making downfield contested catches. A bit of an enigma really. Wentz doesn’t shy away from throwing 50/50 balls and Mims can be to Philly what Jeffery should have been.
1.22- Minnesota- Grant Delpit- S- LSU
Harris is likely to be traded before the draft or let leave to take the comp. pick for next years draft. Delpit will be good foil for Harrison Smith and fill in straight away for Harris. CB is a need but they have another 1st rounder.
••Trade••
1.23- Baltimore- LB- Kenneth Murray- Oklahoma
Murray is an off-ball coverage LB. Line him up on TE and RBs. Don’t give him gap responsibilities as he isn’t a good run defender, see @Betz tweets. New England trades down and gets a pick for next year.
1.24- New Orleans- Patrick Queen- LB- LSU
The best linebacker in the class, yes better than Simmons at LB, and a gaping hole in the Saints D. Kilo Alonso has the agility of a luxury Cruise liner and that was before another ACL tear. Not a QB worth taking, especially as they’ll likely be all in for Brees last year.
1.25- Minnesota- Yetur Gross-Matos- EDGE- Penn State
Replacement for Griffin opposite Hunter. There isn’t a CB worth reaching for here. Considered Fulton from LSU to slot in alongside Delpit but just too Rich.
1.26- Miami- Xavier McKinney- S- Alabama
Don’t draft running backs in the first round. McKinney is a tone setter, unlike Minkah is a pure safety and so won’t get shunted around to plug gaps. Miami comes out of the draft with these picks and they’ll be happy.
••Trade••
1.27- Indianapolis- Jordan Love- QB- Utah State
Colts pull the trigger and move up from the second round. The Seahawks love trading out of the first and so are a willing partner. Love is mercurial, he will be complete garbage and then blow your mind 2 plays later. He cannot start his first year but a year behind Rivers will do him wonders.
1.28- New England- AJ Epenesa- EDGE- Iowa
New England aren’t competing this year. Epenesa isn’t a flashy player but will be a solid building block for the Pats.
1.29- Tennessee- Ezra Cleveland- OT- Boise State
Conklin moving onto the Browns leaves a hole at tackle. Cleveland seems like a safe pick as a replacement. There aren’t any EDGE players worth a 1st at this point.
1.30- Green Bay- Brandon Aiyuk- WR- Arizona State
A player that does well in space. Really it’s a toss up here between Shenault/ Higgins/ Aiyuk/ Pitman. I think Aiyuk does some good YAC work that could compliment the space that Adams creates.
1.31- San Francisco- Ross Blacklock- DT- TCU
Blacklock can help plug some of the hole created by the Defo trade. The 49ers also lost a key rotational piece in Sheldon Day from that deep interior. The Niners have ample run defenders on the interior but Blacklock will start out as an interior Pass rusher on a very good front. Ruiz was in consideration here, but guards aren’t hyper critical in KS scheme and could probably pick one up day 2.
1.32- Kansas City- Jeff Gladney- CB- TCU
2 TCU players in a row. Gladney replaces Fuller for the Chiefs as they attempt to run it back. Running backs aren’t worth 1st round picks.
I haven’t detailed out the trades on this. The trades I did make a all smaller moves. The big one being the chargers moving up to 3 from 6. But even that wouldn’t take a great deal of capital as I don’t imagine there will be a lot of prospective partners.
submitted by TomHairBear to NFL_Draft [link] [comments]

Throne Room Sports 1st Round Mock Draft

I mocked out the first round assuming no trades and said who I think the team should pick and who I'm projecting that they actually will pick. Make sure to tell me how wrong I am, it is a mock draft after all, mock away.
  1. Cincinnati Bengals - Should draft Joe Burrow QB LSU. Will draft Joe Burrow QB LSU. Plain and simple pick here, Burrow is the best QB prospect since Andrew Luck. His season at LSU was the best college season in history for a QB. Typically a team like the Bengals would be better served building up the talent in the trenches but you can’t pass on Burrow, he’s a once in a generation talent.
  2. Washington Redskins – Should draft Chase Young DE Ohio State. Will draft Chase Young DE Ohio State. Another easy pick that shouldn’t require any thought. In any other year he’s most likely the number 1 pick. The disruption he provides against the opposing offense is too tantalizing to pass up.
  3. Detroit Lions – Should draft no one here. This team has way too many holes to not try and pick up additional picks and build some depth on the roster. Tua is a big carrot that they should dangle to other QB needy teams who might overpay for the former presumed number 1 pick. Will draft Isaiah Simmons LB Clemson. Since I refuse to try and predict actual trades in this mock I think Simmons will be the pick here if they actually make it. His combine performance was one for the ages. Guys his size should not be that quick. Someone is going to reach for him when there are safer options still on the board.
  4. New York Giants – Should draft Derrick Brown DT Auburn. Will draft CeeDee Lamb WR Oklahoma. This pick should be defense all the way. Offensive weapons can be found later in the draft but with the top defensive prospect in Chase Young already gone I think the Giants try and pick up a huge receiving threat for Daniel Jones to hopefully try and open up the offense more for Saquan. He allows the Giants to stop relying totally on Saquan for everything and gives Daniel Jones a big time target to throw the ball to.
  5. Miami Dolphins – Should draft Tristan Wirfs OT Iowa. Will draft Tua Tagovailoa QB Alabama. Look it really doesn’t matter who the QB is if he can’t stay upright. You have to protect the QB and guys like Wirfs are a plug and play starting LT for the next decade. I think he’s vastly underrated and will clearly be the best O-line prospect out of the class. They should try and pick up a QB with 18 or use some other capital to move up later in the draft and try to get their QB in the middle of the first when the price to move up isn’t so expensive. But ultimately the lure of Tua will be too much for them to pass up. And before his injury I would agree with the pick but there’s way too much uncertainty with injuries of his type for me to invest a top five pick in.
  6. Los Angeles Chargers – Should draft Justin Herbert QB Oregon. Will draft Justin Herbert QB Oregon. After moving on from Philip Rivers the Chargers look to pick the top QB left on the board. I’ll be shocked if QB isn’t the pick here. LA could fall in love with Jordan Love and make the mistake of taking him over Herbert but that would be surprising.
  7. Carolina Panthers – Should draft Tristan Wirfs OT Iowa. Will draft Jedrick Wills OT Alabama. Honestly neither selection would be a bad pick at all. I just favor the upside that Wirfs has. As I said earlier I think Wirfs will be the best tackle in this class. Wills is considered the more polished tackle right now but Wirfs is the direction that I would go. But with new coach Rhule calling all the shots now the safer pick in Wills is my guess as to what the Panthers will do.
  8. Arizona Cardinals – Should draft Tristan Wirfs OT Iowa. Will draft Tristan Wirfs OT Iowa. With a dual threat QB like Murray it’s imperative to have a strong line to protect him. Plus, with the acquisition of Hopkins in the dumbest trade in the history of the NFL (more on this later) giving Murray some extra time should pay off immensely. Wirfs has the ability to protect his blind side for the next ten years. I would expect Wirfs to immediately step in and start at the Guard position from his first game of the season but be the starting Left Tackle before the end of the season. There’s a chance Arizona falls in love with the athleticism of Becton here and selects him but Wirfs is my guess here. And if I didn’t pick him to go here every other selection on my “should draft” section would be Wirfs until a lineman needy team comes up. You’re welcome.
  9. Jacksonville Jaguars – Should draft Jerry Jeudy WR Alabama. Will draft Derrick Brown DT Auburn. Jacksonville should be jumping for joy that a talent like Jeudy has fallen to them at the ninth pick. He would immediately step in as the most talented wide out on the team and provide a spark to an offense that could appear anemic at times last year. He would open up the field more for Fournette to go to work, which would be scary. However in the scenario of this mock draft one of the most talented defensive players has fallen in, Derrick Brown. Four of the last five first round selections the Jaguars made have been defensive players and I believe that trend will most likely continue this year.
  10. Cleveland Browns – Should draft Jeff Okudah. Will draft Jeff Okudah. Honestly, I considered just skipping this pick (Sorry Browns fans). With the total front office turmoil and yet another new head coach it’s basically impossible to predict what the Browns will do from year to year. So I’m just going with the best player available in Okudah. And Browns fans would be ecstatic if Okudah falls this far. I promise I didn’t just forget about Okudah but with QBs being pushed up the draft board above more talented players at other positions someone had to fall some and Okudah latches on in Cleveland in this scenario.
  11. New York Jets – Should draft Mekhi Becton OT Louisville. Will draft Mekhi Becton OT Louisville. This pick just makes too much sense. The Jets need a top tackle and one of the most athletic freaks at the position in years is available. Guys Becton’s size should not be as quick and athletic as he is, it doesn’t make sense. Selecting Becton would protect Darnold which is imperative for the Jets.
  12. Las Vegas Raiders – Should draft Jerry Jeudy WR Alabama. Will draft Jerry Jeudy WR Alabama. Look I love Josh Jacobs but he’s not Christian McCaffrey, he can’t be the Raiders entire offense. Jeudy would come in and immediately pull defensive players out of the middle of the field and open the backfield up more for Jacobs. I’m not going to lie though I badly wanted to get crazy and predict a QB here. You just know that Gruden is dying to replace Derek Carr. I won’t be shocked at all if Jordan Love is the pick here. Personally, I wouldn’t take him in the first round but that’s just me and I’ll be shocked if Love doesn’t go in the first somewhere. Perhaps the Raiders trade back to 25 with the Patriots and they take Jeudy and the Raiders pick whoever if Love and Jacob Eason are still available. Sorry I’ll stop the trade talk immediately. It’s banned in this mock, remember?
  13. San Francisco – Should draft K’Lavon Chaisson DE LSU. Will draft K’Lavon Chaisson DE LSU. The Niners traded Buckner to the Colts to acquire this pick. I would fully expect them to try and use this pick to grab a cheaper defensive player than Buckner. Dude is a straight beast but I love this trade. The Niners get a quality defensive playmaker without having to pay Buckner 84 million over the next four year. Colts came out of this winners as well. He’ll be a HUGE upgrade on the defensive side of the ball where the 49ers are already stacked.
  14. Tampa Bay Bucaneers – Should draft D’Andre Swift RB Georgia. Will draft CJ Henderson CB Florida. Yes I realize that Swift going this high would be considered a reach. But I love this kid’s game. I think without him Georgia loses 3 or 4 games this past year in the regular season. I think he carried the team because Georgia was the most predictable offense I saw in football at any level. First down – run, second down – run, third down – pass (if Swift didn’t get a first down on either first or second). He is exactly what Tampa needs especially now that Tom effing Brady has come to town, adding him as a weapon to go along with Godwin and Evans would make the Bucs one of the scariest offensives in the NFL. But ultimately I think Arians grabs a CB out of Florida who has the highest upside of any defensive back in this draft. Okudah is the better player right now but Henderson’s ceiling is through the roof. He is one of the most fluid backs I’ve seen in years. He has the ability to be put on an island and lock down his side of the field, or shadow the best receiver on the offense and remove him from the game.
  15. Denver Broncos – Should draft Grant Delpit S LSU. Will draft Andrew Thomas OT Georgia. Delpit is in my opinion the best safety in this class, by a lot. But safety isn’t the biggest position of need for the Broncos, offensive line is. I’m not as high on Andrew Thomas as some are. I don’t think Georgia is a good school to send O-Line prospects to the NFL. Did you know that there are only 2 offensive tackles in the NFL from Georgia, shocking huh? And one of them is Cordy Glenn who is older than I am, and if I would have had the talent to play in the NFL I would have already retired. With the level of talent that Georgia has recruited there has to be a reason that more offensive tackles aren’t in the NFL, and for that reason I wouldn’t take Thomas but he’s my best guess here. There’s a chance Denver falls in love with one of the available receivers here in Ruggs or Higgins but OT is the safe option.
  16. Atlanta Falcons – Should draft Javon Kinlaw DT South Carolina. Will draft D’Andre Swift RB Georgia. The Falcons have been trying to find a dominant pass rusher for years and Kinlaw would provide that to the Falcons. But guys like Swift can come in and provide a spark to an offense that really needs it. Freeman didn’t provide much in the way of spark last year so getting someone as talented as Swift from Georgia could really push the Falcons offense forward and help provide a playoff push for the aging offense.
  17. Dallas Cowboys – Should draft Javon Kinlaw DT South Carolina. Will draft Javon Kinlaw DT South Carolina. Defense should be the pick here and there are multiple options for the Cowboys here. I went back and forth between Kinlaw and Delpit here and neither would surprise me at all. I decided to go with Kinlaw because he is the safer option. You can never have enough depth on the defensive line and the Cowboys are only a couple pieces away from being serious playoff contenders. Getting a guy like Kinlaw who can provide an impact from day one should be the priority.
  18. Miami Dolphins – Should draft Josh Jones OT Houston. Will draft Josh Jones OT Houston. Miami badly needs to add talent to the offensive line and unfortunately, they missed out on the top linemen in this draft. But Jones is not one to sleep on and he’s the best lineman from the second tier available. I’d project him as a Guard for at least his first year but he has the ability to become a very good strong side tackle for the Dolphins and give Tua some solid protection.
  19. Las Vegas Raiders – Should draft Kristian Fulton CB LSU. Will draft Jordan Love QB Utah State. I thought long and hard about projecting Love to the Raiders at the 12th pick, but Gruden’s patience pays off and he gets his QB of the future. I totally disagree with this pick. Love is way too careless with the ball for my tastes and I prefer Jacob Eason anyway. But athleticism is the future at the position and he has it in spades. He has a live arm that coaches rave about. Just don’t expect him to be a consistent starter in the league this next year.
  20. Jacksonville Jaguars – Should draft Henry Ruggs WR Alabama. Will draft AJ Epenesa DE Iowa. Again, I have the Jaguars passing on the top receiver left on the board when they really shouldn’t. But Jacksonville can’t seem to help itself from drafting defensive players in the first round. Jacksonville has drafted three wide receivers in the first round in the history of the franchise and all of them have been busts. I don’t see them selecting a WR in the first round this year. But do look for them to try and add one in the later rounds. I also don’t expect Yannick Ngakoue to still be with the team at the start of this next season and Epenesa would make a nice replacement for him. And I know his combine wasn’t great but the tape doesn’t lie, he’s a talented rusher.
  21. Philadelphia Eagles – Should draft Henry Ruggs WR Alabama. Will draft Tee Higgins WR Clemson. I’m really splitting hairs on this one and neither player would be a bad pick at all. The Eagles need to give Wentz a talented playmaker to throw to, and either player would be just that. I prefer Ruggs and think he has the ability to someday be what Tyreek Hill is right now. Tee Higgins size is why Philly goes with him over the equally talented Ruggs.
  22. Minnesota Vikings – Should draft Henry Ruggs WR Alabama. Will draft Henry Ruggs WR Alabama. Finally we find a taker for Henry Ruggs. With Diggs being traded to Buffalo Minnesota could look to replace him with a faster, more athletic version. Ruggs is hella fast, get this man the ball in some open space and he is gone. Personally, there is no way that I think he should have fallen this far but this whole thing is just a guessing game. If there is one thing that I probably got terribly wrong it’s this pick. Ruggs could end up going top 10.
  23. New England Patriots – Should draft Jacob Eason QB Washington. Will draft Grant Delpit S LSU. Well Tom Brady is no longer a New England Patriot. If I was going to project trades in this mock draft I would bet that New England tries hard to move up and get one of the elite QBs, especially if Tua falls which is quite possible. But it could actually work out better for them because there is a QB that is completely being slept on, Jacob Eason. He has only started for two years and one of those was at Georgia in the most predictable offense in all of college football so it really shouldn’t be held against him. At Washington he was more than serviceable and his best days are ahead of him. He has an absolute piss rocket for an arm and can make every throw that an NFL QB ever needs to make. Some mockers don’t have him in the first round which is crazy to me. But with all that said I think Belichick takes the best safety in the draft in Delpit, who falls a lot further in this mock than he should.
  24. New Orleans Saints – Should draft Kristian Fulton CB LSU. Will draft Justin Jefferson WR LSU. The best player left on the board is Kristian Fulton and corner is an area that the Saints need to address at some point in this draft. Even though New Orleans has the best receiver on the planet already playing for them they still need someone to line up on the other side of the field. Justin Jefferson is an all around wideout who could make an impact on day one, especially since Michael Thomas will draw the majority of the attention from the secondary.
  25. Minnesota Vikings – Should draft Kristian Fulton CB LSU. Will draft Kristian Fulton CB LSU. This pick just makes too much sense. Fulton is the best player available at a position of need for the Vikings. The Vikings could fall in love with Jacob Eason here and draft him to sit for a year and then be the QB of the future. But I think Zimmer will try and pick someone who can make an impact this year as they hope to make another playoff push.
  26. Miami Dolphins – Should draft Yetur Gross Matos DE Penn State. Will draft Cole Kmet TE Notre Dame. Matos is the top edge rusher left on the board and that is a position that the Dolphins need depth at badly. Matos would be a pretty good cherry on top of a good draft for the Dolphins. But I think that Brian Flores tries to give his new Quarterback a strong safety net in the top Tight End in the draft. A pass catching TE is the best weapon for young QBs to turn to when the play breaks down and Kmet has the ability to put up good numbers day 1.
  27. Seattle Seahawks – Should draft Austin Jackson OT USC. Will draft Neville Gallimore DT Oklahoma. Seattle is so tricky to try and guess who they are going to pick. They like to lock onto their guy and draft. And value be damned they will pick him at the first chance they get. Offensive line is in my opinion their biggest area of need unless they want Russell Wilson to retire early from all of the hits that he takes. Jackson is an athletic, massive mountain of a man who probably starts his career on the inside at Guard but Seattle needs depth and he would provide that. But I’m going to guess that Seattle picks Gallimore. He’s one of the biggest freaks in this draft. Mountains like Gallimore should not be able to run as fast as he does. He blew the combine up and I just have a gut feeling Seattle is going to pick him, but I won’t be surprised at all if Seattle selects a player with a third round grade here.
  28. Baltimore Ravens – Should draft Yetur Gross Matos DE Penn State. Will draft Jonathan Taylor RB Wisconsin. Chalk this pick up totally as a luxury pick. Running back really isn’t a position of need for the Ravens and Lamar rushes as much or more as some other team’s running backs. But that’s not a method for success long term. Mark Ingram has crossed the 30-year age mark for running backs, which means he’s practically in the retirement home. It’s entirely possible Ingram is the next Frank Gore who plays until he’s 40 (Gore is 36 but it feels like he’s been in the league for 20 years). But I think at some point Ingram’s production is going to fall and getting a guy like Taylor in the running back room is only going to further increase the potency of this offense.
  29. Tennessee Titans – Should draft Xavier McKinney S Alabama. Will draft Xavier McKinney S Alabama. This is purely a best player available pick. McKinney could have gone 10 picks ago and no one would have blinked an eye. The Titans pick up an absolute stud safety who many believe is the best in this class. I also wouldn’t be surprised if Vrabel decides to go with Kenneth Murray here as the leader of his defense from the linebacker position. But I think the value McKinney provides is too good to pass up.
  30. Green Bay Packers – Should draft Laviska Shenault WR Colorado. Will draft Jacob Eason QB Washington. Well history repeats itself in this mock draft. Let’s flash back to the year 2005 for a second. Green Bay is picking 24th and they have a 36-year-old quarterback by the name of Brett Favre who is a legend in Green Bay. But decide to draft their quarterback of the future in a 22-year-old with a cannon for an arm named Aaron Rodgers. Well this year Aaron Rodgers is 36 and I think that Green Bay will select the 22-year-old quarterback with a cannon for an arm out of Washington named Jacob Eason. If this happens it will immediately become the main story of the draft. Rumors will start to swirl about Green Bay trading Aaron Rodgers for the next few years. Now the question becomes should Green Bay make this pick? Probably not, Shenault is a versatile wideout who looks more like a running back once he catches the ball. He would provide the Packers with the ability to line him up all over the field. But let’s be honest Green Bay picking Eason is the much more fun reality. Plus, I think people are sleeping all over Eason. If he had been the starter for more than one year I think he would have been picked in the top 15.
  31. San Francisco 49ers – Should draft AJ Terrell CB Clemson. Will draft AJ Terrell CB Clemson. Depth in the secondary is going to be a problem for the 49ers next year and they can address it here by selecting the top cornerback left on the board in Terrell. He probably should have already been selected by now, but you won’t be hearing 49ers fans complaining about him still being available. This kid is going to make an impact in the league and should be able to contribute immediately.
  32. Kansas City Chiefs – Should draft JK Dobbins RB Ohio State. Will draft Kenneth Murray LB Oklahoma. Is running back the biggest need for the Super Bowl champions? No, that rests on the defensive side of the ball. If I were running the Chiefs, I would select Dobbins because adding a three down back to that offense would be terrifying. Will the Chiefs actually do this? Probably not, but they absolutely should. The Chiefs are a smartly ran team and they will most likely try and add a defensive playmaker. Kenneth Murray is the best available player on the board and has the skillset to be the defensive leader of whatever team drafts him in the next few years. But you have to admit, imagining Dobbins on this offense is pretty damn scary.
submitted by ThroneRoomWayne to NFL_Draft [link] [comments]

Rankings: Every D1 Team vs. Spread Since 2011 (Cumulative) - UVA, MSU, Nova on top

Since 2011 (as far back as I have data), how has each team done vs. the spread?
Specifically, if you bet $110 on every single game to beat the spread (which wins you $100 profit) since 2011, where would you be today? The chart below shows.
Interestingly, a lot of the best teams of the era were also the best vs. the spread. Coincidence? I'm not sure, honestly. Someone has to be best vs. the spread, and assuming it's a bell curve (and it is) someone will be 2+ standard deviations ahead. But there's no a priori reason it should be UVA and MSU instead of e.g. Washington State or St. Peter's.
(To pre-answer a question, sometimes you can win more money with fewer net wins vs. the spread because losses hurt you more than wins benefit you, and not every game gets a spread.)
Additional data / year-by-year cuts
Team Money Won Lines Set **Net Wins vs. Spread % Games Won & Beat Spread Points Above Spread
1 Virginia Cavaliers $4430 275 55 55.27% 559
2 Michigan State Spartans $3940 290 51 54.14% 440
3 Villanova Wildcats $3610 290 48 54.48% 329
4 South Dakota State Jackrabbits $3550 259 46 53.28% 593.5
5 Utah Utes $3200 272 43 44.49% 310.5
6 Wichita State Shockers $2340 276 35 52.54% 273
7 Tulsa Golden Hurricane $2290 264 34 45.08% 131
8 Yale Bulldogs $2070 201 29 47.26% 109.5
9 Gonzaga Bulldogs $1570 281 28 52.67% 525
10 Creighton Blue Jays $1480 277 27 50.54% 312
11 Buffalo Bulls $1420 270 26 46.67% 447.5
12 Saint Josephs-Pennsylvania Hawks $1410 206 23 46.12% 131.5
13 Houston Cougars $1410 250 25 47.2% 381.5
14 Davidson College Wildcats $1370 274 26 49.27% 134.5
15 Robert Morris Colonials $1350 109 18 44.04% -62.5
16 North Florida Ospreys $1350 108 18 38.89% 48.5
17 Northwestern State Demons $1330 74 16 29.73% 4
18 North Carolina Tar Heels $1290 296 26 50% 289.5
19 Georgia Bulldogs $1280 272 25 39.71% 203.5
20 Texas-Arlington Mavericks $1260 239 23 43.1% 231
21 Hartford Hawks $1250 87 16 42.53% 105.5
22 Oregon Ducks $1240 285 25 49.82% 315
23 Seton Hall Pirates $1170 275 24 43.64% 140
24 IUPU-Fort Wayne Mastadons $1130 242 22 40.5% 213
25 New Mexico State Aggies $1070 190 19 48.95% 352.5
26 Southeastern Louisiana Lions $1070 80 14 32.5% 102
27 California-Irvine Anteaters $1060 281 23 45.2% 185
28 William & Mary $1060 212 20 41.98% 47
29 Furman Paladins $1030 236 21 42.8% 187
30 Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix $1030 262 22 41.98% 87.5
31 Kansas Jayhawks $990 290 23 52.41% 66.5
32 Purdue Boilermakers $980 274 22 45.99% 299
33 Vermont Catamounts $940 112 14 48.21% 119
34 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets $920 264 21 35.98% -21
35 San Diego State Aztecs $910 271 21 49.08% 140
36 Wofford Terriers $870 253 20 43.08% 298.5
37 Saint Francis-Pennsylvania Red Flash $840 85 12 42.35% -89.5
38 Mississippi Rebels $820 281 21 40.57% -18
39 Florida International Panthers $770 232 18 34.91% 99.5
40 Nevada Wolf Pack $760 277 20 45.13% 138
41 Colgate Red Raiders $750 104 12 42.31% 146.5
42 Louisville Cardinals $740 282 20 47.16% 383
43 Providence Friars $740 279 20 44.44% 332.5
44 North Carolina Central Eagles $740 108 12 40.74% 166
45 Gardner Webb Runnin Bulldogs $730 106 12 42.45% 106.5
46 Norfolk State Spartans $720 110 12 35.45% 69
47 Tennessee State Tigers $660 233 17 33.48% 25.5
48 North Carolina State Wolfpack $650 275 19 43.64% 114.5
49 Fresno State Bulldogs $620 259 18 38.61% 295.5
50 Maryland Terrapins $610 268 18 44.03% 84
51 Saint Bonaventure Bonnies $600 265 18 46.04% 287
52 California Baptist $590 51 8 45.1% 51.5
53 Northern Illinois Huskies $540 258 17 32.17% -17
54 Southern University A&M Jaguars $540 105 10 34.29% 13.5
55 Army Black Knights $520 107 10 42.06% -37.5
56 South Dakota Coyotes $480 246 16 38.62% 139
57 Merrimack Warriors $480 30 6 56.67% -8
58 California-Santa Barbara Gauchos $480 247 16 41.7% 66.5
59 Iowa State Cyclones $470 269 17 44.98% 403.5
60 Prairie View A&M $470 97 9 36.08% 140.5
61 Manhattan Jaspers $460 270 17 41.11% 76.5
62 Hofstra Pride $440 256 16 40.23% 4.5
63 East Tennessee State Buccaneers $420 193 13 45.08% 125
64 Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks $420 236 15 30.08% 193
65 Lipscomb Bison $410 108 9 37.04% 84.5
66 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs $380 244 15 45.9% 80
67 Georgia Southern Eagles $370 248 15 38.71% 248
68 No.Carolina A&T $340 59 6 35.59% 90.5
69 Murray State Racers $340 252 15 46.43% 228.5
70 Fairleigh Dickinson-Metropolitan Knights $320 83 7 36.14% 197
71 Seattle University Red Hawks $310 129 9 37.21% 107
72 Iowa Hawkeyes $280 268 15 45.9% 129
73 Florida A&M $270 93 7 33.33% 64
74 Sam Houston State Bearkats $270 95 7 41.05% 34.5
75 Texas Rio Grande Vaqueros $250 80 6 32.5% 92
76 North Alabama $240 57 5 28.07% 25.5
77 Winthrop Eagles $230 102 7 38.24% -52.5
78 Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans $230 251 14 39.04% 9.5
79 San Francisco Dons $210 258 14 39.92% 143
80 Campbell Fighting Camels $200 86 6 37.21% -18.5
81 California State-Bakersfield Roadrunners $180 70 5 31.43% 48.5
82 Stetson Hatters $170 93 6 23.66% -21.5
83 Michigan Wolverines $160 287 15 48.78% 318.5
84 Utah Valley Wolverines $40 100 5 35% 22
85 Arizona Wildcats $30 294 14 50.34% 246
86 Indiana Hoosiers $10 276 13 45.65% 213.5
87 Dayton Flyers $0 277 13 47.29% 212.5
88 Valparaiso Crusaders $-40 267 12 44.94% 34.5
89 Central Florida Knights $-40 244 11 38.93% -70
90 Northern Kentucky Norse $-80 164 7 42.68% 139
91 Delaware Blue Hens $-80 254 11 37.01% -55.5
92 Jackson State Tigers $-100 86 3 26.74% -17
93 Montana Grizzlies $-100 263 11 44.11% 185.5
94 Long Island Brooklyn Blackbirds $-110 107 4 40.19% 104
95 Tennessee Volunteers $-110 282 12 42.2% 305
96 Bowling Green State Falcons $-120 261 11 38.7% -14
97 South Carolina-Upstate Spartans $-150 94 3 28.72% -66
98 Harvard Crimson $-170 227 9 42.73% 112
99 Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns $-170 247 10 43.72% 14.5
100 Stony Brook Seawolves $-200 108 3 40.74% -21.5
101 New Hampshire Wildcats $-260 75 1 24% -67.5
102 Hampton University Pirates $-260 96 2 39.58% 175.5
103 Kansas State Wildcats $-280 270 10 42.59% 131
104 Duke Blue Devils $-280 292 11 50.68% 87
105 American Eagles $-290 102 2 39.22% 83.5
106 Princeton Tigers $-310 212 7 43.87% 43
107 Abilene Christian Wildcats $-310 62 0 40.32% 41
108 Missouri-Kansas City Kangaroos $-320 150 4 34.67% -5.5
109 Evansville Aces $-320 259 9 34.75% 50
110 Portland State Vikings $-360 246 8 36.59% -1
111 Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders $-400 276 9 42.75% 288
112 New Mexico Lobos $-400 274 9 45.99% -17
113 Florida State Seminoles $-400 276 9 46.38% 143.5
114 Coppin State Eagles $-410 105 1 21.9% -43
115 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers $-420 277 9 41.52% -7.5
116 South Carolina State Bulldogs $-430 88 0 20.45% 8
117 New Orleans Privateers $-440 69 -1 31.88% -18.5
118 Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils $-450 92 0 14.13% -111
119 Maryland-Baltimore County Retrievers $-450 92 0 35.87% -3.5
120 Samford Bulldogs $-460 244 7 31.15% 107
121 Oklahoma Sooners $-470 269 8 42.01% 178
122 Loyola-Chicago Ramblers $-470 265 8 38.49% 123.5
123 Radford Highlanders $-480 98 0 39.8% 78
124 Maine Black Bears $-500 80 -1 13.75% -41
125 Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles $-510 253 7 35.18% 92.5
126 Southern Methodist Mustangs $-520 260 7 43.08% 13.5
127 Eastern Washington Eagles $-530 258 7 40.31% 142.5
128 Baylor Bears $-540 261 7 45.59% 216.5
129 Florida Gulf Coast Eagles $-550 112 0 38.39% 60.5
130 Illinois-Chicago Flames $-580 267 7 31.84% -96.5
131 Towson Tigers $-580 246 6 36.59% 38
132 Albany Great Danes $-580 97 -1 31.96% 67
133 Saint Francis-New York Terriers $-590 55 -3 32.73% -93.5
134 Nicholls State Colonels $-590 77 -2 31.17% -99.5
135 Grambling State Tigers $-590 58 -3 32.76% 36
136 Memphis Tigers $-600 274 7 44.53% 135
137 North Carolina-Asheville Bulldogs $-610 101 -1 28.71% -69
138 Butler Bulldogs $-620 278 7 46.04% 55.5
139 Canisius Golden Griffins $-640 263 6 38.4% -108
140 Longwood Lancers $-640 87 -2 31.03% 85.5
141 Air Force Falcons $-650 240 5 30.83% -98
142 Virginia Tech Hokies $-650 260 6 36.92% 101
143 Akron Zips $-660 262 6 42.37% 86.5
144 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors $-680 247 5 42.11% 49
145 McNeese State Cowboys $-690 76 -3 30.26% -49
146 South Alabama Jaguars $-710 253 5 36.36% -91
147 Incarnate Word Cardinals $-710 58 -4 17.24% -50.5
148 Eastern Michigan Eagles $-720 251 5 39.44% 115.5
149 Mississippi State Bulldogs $-730 257 5 36.96% -66.5
150 Charleston Southern Buccaneers $-750 89 -3 32.58% 48.5
151 Mercer Bears $-750 195 2 36.92% -94.5
152 Mount Saint Marys Mountaineers $-770 70 -4 37.14% 9
153 Wyoming Cowboys $-770 265 5 35.85% -55.5
154 Auburn Tigers $-780 265 5 40% 4.5
155 Lafayette College Leopards $-790 98 -3 33.67% -151.5
156 Coastal Carolina Chanticleers $-790 139 -1 40.29% -25
157 Pennsylvania Quakers $-800 227 3 37% -27
158 Alabama A&M $-840 86 -4 19.77% -113
159 Saint Marys College-California Gaels $-850 237 3 47.68% 17
160 Jacksonville State Gamecocks $-860 239 3 31.8% 28
161 Belmont Bruins $-880 243 3 46.09% 95
162 Central Arkansas Bears $-890 74 -5 24.32% -103
163 New Jersey Tech Highlanders $-900 77 -5 28.57% 4.5
164 Saint Louis Billikens $-910 269 4 40.52% -86.5
165 Binghamton Bearcats $-910 81 -5 22.22% -17.5
166 Bethune Cookman Wildcats $-920 81 -5 33.33% -23
167 Clemson Tigers $-940 256 3 39.84% 34
168 Houston Baptist Huskies $-950 86 -5 18.6% -22
169 Nebraska-Omaha Mavericks $-960 216 1 35.65% 59.5
170 Presbyterian Blue Hose $-960 88 -5 25% -54.5
171 Pepperdine Waves $-970 263 3 31.18% -30
172 Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks $-990 95 -5 14.74% -185.5
173 Oregon State Beavers $-990 267 3 36.7% -52.5
174 Bucknell Bison $-1020 121 -4 39.67% 107.5
175 Texas-El Paso Miners $-1030 252 2 37.7% -71
176 North Texas Mean Green Eagles $-1040 236 1 33.05% -187.5
177 Lamar Cardinals $-1050 85 -6 35.29% 21.5
178 Navy Midshipmen $-1050 107 -5 30.84% -20.5
179 Pacific Tigers $-1060 260 2 32.69% -109
180 California-Davis Aggies $-1060 259 2 35.91% 22
181 Xavier Musketeers $-1090 287 3 45.99% 57.5
182 Utah State Aggies $-1090 264 2 43.94% 151
183 Lehigh Mountain Hawks $-1100 116 -5 37.93% 55
184 Missouri Tigers $-1100 273 2 36.26% 31.5
185 Northern Colorado Bears $-1120 250 1 36.4% -134.5
186 Temple Owls $-1130 275 2 41.82% -66
187 Savannah State Tigers $-1140 63 -8 25.4% -219.5
188 Saint Peters Peacocks $-1150 213 -1 34.27% -45
189 Sacred Heart Pioneers $-1160 86 -7 33.72% -144
190 Toledo Rockets $-1180 260 1 42.69% 168
191 Wisconsin Badgers $-1190 286 2 46.85% 53.5
192 Grand Canyon Antelope $-1190 93 -7 34.41% 8
193 Loyola-Marymount Lions $-1210 140 -5 37.14% -100.5
194 Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions $-1230 99 -7 21.21% -1.5
195 Virginia Commonwealth Rams $-1250 278 1 46.04% 111.5
196 West Virginia Mountaineers $-1260 280 1 43.21% 38
197 Brown Bears $-1260 197 -3 30.46% 69
198 San Diego Toreros $-1260 258 0 31.78% 104.5
199 Texas A&M CC $-1260 85 -8 24.71% 21
200 Drake Bulldogs $-1270 264 0 36.36% 79.5
201 Penn State Nittany Lions $-1300 268 0 35.45% 38.5
202 Northern Iowa Panthers $-1310 271 0 45.02% -32.5
203 Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks $-1310 75 -9 33.33% -29.5
204 Wright State Raiders $-1320 269 0 42.75% 108
205 Georgia State Panthers $-1320 266 0 45.11% 130
206 Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles $-1330 232 -2 32.76% -228.5
207 Massachusetts Minutemen $-1340 273 0 37.36% -130.5
208 Morgan State Bears $-1340 100 -8 29% -57
209 Quinnipiac Bobcats $-1350 193 -4 36.79% -61
210 Texas A&M $-1360 255 -1 38.82% -103.5
211 Western Michigan Broncos $-1380 262 -1 35.11% -9
212 Stephen F. Austin State Lumberjacks $-1380 89 -9 39.33% -85
213 Saint Johns Red Storm $-1380 241 -2 34.02% -53.5
214 Colorado Buffaloes $-1390 283 0 43.82% 72
215 Tennessee-Chattanooga Moccasins $-1410 246 -2 34.96% -180.5
216 North Carolina-Charlotte 49ers $-1420 251 -2 33.07% -259.5
217 Idaho Vandals $-1450 231 -3 33.77% -7
218 Western Carolina Catamounts $-1460 256 -2 30.47% -207
219 Alabama State Hornets $-1480 89 -10 19.1% -126.5
220 California-Riverside Highlanders $-1480 243 -3 26.75% -88.5
221 Idaho State Bengals $-1480 240 -3 25% -65.5
222 Oakland Golden Grizzlies $-1480 262 -2 35.88% -183
223 Chicago State Cougars $-1490 91 -10 6.59% -218
224 Loyola-Maryland Greyhounds $-1500 268 -2 28.73% -83.5
225 Jacksonville Dolphins $-1500 92 -10 27.17% 51.5
226 Boston University Terriers $-1510 115 -9 38.26% -63
227 Kentucky Wildcats $-1530 292 -1 47.6% 91.5
228 Miami-Florida Hurricanes $-1530 270 -2 42.96% 123
229 Siena College Saints $-1530 252 -3 35.71% -32.5
230 Stanford Cardinal $-1540 274 -2 41.97% -49
231 Vanderbilt Commodores $-1560 274 -2 36.13% 114.5
232 Holy Cross Crusaders $-1560 104 -10 27.88% -35.5
233 Rutgers Scarlet Knights $-1570 255 -3 29.41% -242.5
234 East Carolina Pirates $-1580 238 -4 29.83% -41
235 Eastern Kentucky Colonels $-1580 238 -4 34.03% -84.5
236 Delaware State Hornets $-1590 88 -11 17.05% -115.5
237 Louisiana State Tigers $-1600 266 -3 40.23% -100.5
238 Monmouth-New Jersey Hawks $-1600 220 -5 38.64% -59
239 Austin Peay State Governors $-1620 246 -4 32.93% -116
240 Boise State Broncos $-1630 265 -3 40.38% 92.5
241 Citadel Bulldogs $-1630 226 -5 19.47% -217
242 North Dakota Fighting Hawks $-1650 230 -5 33.91% -121
243 Kent State Golden Flashes $-1690 261 -4 40.61% -28
244 Liberty University Flames $-1690 107 -11 39.25% -30
245 Bryant University Bulldogs $-1700 88 -12 26.14% -128.5
246 Miami-Ohio Redhawks $-1700 263 -4 30.42% -53.5
247 Southern Illinois Salukis $-1710 266 -4 37.22% -153.5
248 Appalachian State Mountaineers $-1720 245 -5 29.39% -109.5
249 Marshall Thundering Herd $-1730 268 -4 37.31% -224.5
250 Rhode Island Rams $-1730 269 -4 38.66% 60
251 Nebraska Cornhuskers $-1740 268 -4 35.07% 23
252 Alabama Crimson Tide $-1750 273 -4 37% 21.5
253 Marquette Golden Eagles $-1770 274 -4 41.97% -16
254 Denver Pioneers $-1780 253 -5 37.15% -103
255 Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners $-1790 214 -7 33.18% 70.5
256 Alcorn State Braves $-1800 87 -13 20.69% -164.5
257 High Point Panthers $-1820 91 -13 29.67% -136
258 Texas Southern Tigers $-1840 119 -12 30.25% -33
259 Central Michigan Chippewas $-1840 254 -6 34.65% -50
260 Arkansas Razorbacks $-1860 269 -5 43.49% -104
261 Rider Broncs $-1870 254 -6 38.58% -27.5
262 Syracuse Orange $-1880 274 -5 45.26% -139.5
263 Brigham Young Cougars $-1880 278 -5 46.04% 118
264 Oklahoma State Cowboys $-1940 268 -6 39.18% 93.5
265 North Carolina-Greensboro Spartans $-1950 249 -7 37.75% 130
266 Texas Longhorns $-1970 273 -6 36.26% -9.5
267 Cleveland State Vikings $-2030 267 -7 33.71% -109
268 Ohio State Buckeyes $-2030 283 -6 45.94% 20.5
269 Niagara Purple Eagles $-2040 265 -7 30.94% -131
270 Marist Red Foxes $-2050 245 -8 27.35% -19
271 South Carolina Gamecocks $-2060 272 -7 38.6% -93.5
272 Central Connecticut State Blue Devils $-2070 79 -16 15.19% -148.5
273 California State-Sacramento Hornets $-2100 239 -9 31.38% -83.5
274 Texas State Bobcats $-2110 217 -10 35.94% -44.5
275 Missouri State Bears $-2120 237 -9 32.07% -167
276 Southern California Trojans $-2150 288 -7 37.85% -174.5
277 Northwestern Wildcats $-2160 270 -8 35.56% -62
278 California State-Long Beach 49ers $-2170 274 -8 34.67% -16
279 California State-Northridge Matadors $-2190 254 -9 25.98% -247.5
280 Duquesne Dukes $-2210 240 -10 32.08% -133.5
281 Columbia Lions $-2240 199 -12 27.64% -79.5
282 Notre Dame Fighting Irish $-2250 267 -9 40.07% -117.5
283 Wagner Seahawks $-2250 94 -17 35.11% -144.5
284 UCLA Bruins $-2290 292 -8 44.86% 9
285 Connecticut Huskies $-2290 273 -9 38.83% -94.5
286 Troy Trojans $-2360 245 -11 29.8% -47.5
287 Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers $-2360 270 -10 33.33% -188
288 Cornell Big Red $-2360 207 -13 26.57% -150
289 Morehead State Eagles $-2370 253 -11 30.83% -171.5
290 Cincinnati Bearcats $-2390 272 -10 45.22% 84.5
291 Ohio Bobcats $-2400 252 -11 40.87% -110
292 Washington Huskies $-2400 275 -10 38.91% -70
293 UNLV Rebels $-2450 289 -10 39.1% -154.5
294 Richmond Spiders $-2470 269 -11 40.15% 18
295 Northeastern Huskies $-2470 267 -11 41.95% 15
296 Dartmouth College Big Green $-2480 192 -15 24.48% -12
297 Howard Bison $-2500 103 -19 21.36% -141
298 Florida Gators $-2510 281 -11 41.64% 193
299 Boston College Eagles $-2520 257 -12 26.85% -112.5
300 Portland Pilots $-2530 262 -12 26.34% -235
301 Colorado State Rams $-2530 262 -12 37.4% 142.5
302 Southeast Missouri State Redhawks $-2540 240 -13 27.08% 44
303 Youngstown State Penguins $-2580 250 -13 28.4% -153
304 Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Cougars $-2620 231 -14 23.38% -83
305 Minnesota Golden Gophers $-2620 278 -12 38.49% -295.5
306 Fairfield Stags $-2650 260 -13 33.85% -199.5
307 Georgetown Hoyas $-2670 265 -13 38.11% 14
308 Indiana State Sycamores $-2670 267 -13 37.83% -159.5
309 North Carolina-Wilmington Seahawks $-2690 253 -14 32.02% -162
310 Arkansas State Red Wolves $-2700 249 -14 34.54% -193
311 Virginia Military Keydets $-2750 177 -18 21.47% -339
312 Southern Utah Thunderbirds $-2820 255 -15 24.71% -195
313 Illinois State Redbirds $-2820 274 -14 40.15% 54
314 Arizona State Sun Devils $-2900 278 -15 39.93% -28
315 Old Dominion Monarchs $-2910 271 -15 39.85% -11.5
316 Weber State Wildcats $-2920 252 -16 40.48% -69
317 Elon Phoenix $-2920 252 -16 34.52% -134
318 Drexel Dragons $-2970 265 -16 32.83% -120.5
319 Wake Forest Demon Deacons $-2980 265 -16 30.19% -100.5
320 Rice University Owls $-3050 238 -18 25.21% -38
321 Fordham Rams $-3090 248 -18 25.4% -177.5
322 South Florida Bulls $-3100 267 -17 27.72% -131
323 DePaul Blue Demons $-3100 271 -17 28.78% -167.5
324 Iona Gaels $-3130 274 -17 41.97% 116
325 North Dakota State Bison $-3140 254 -18 42.52% -7.5
326 Alabama-Birmingham Blazers $-3170 261 -18 38.7% -117.5
327 Western Illinois Leathernecks $-3180 220 -20 27.73% -167
328 Washington State Cougars $-3190 265 -18 31.7% -191
329 Montana State Bobcats $-3210 251 -19 30.68% -213.5
330 Bradley Braves $-3220 274 -18 31.02% -266.5
331 Northern Arizona Lumberjacks $-3260 258 -19 26.36% -372
332 Texas Tech Red Raiders $-3270 258 -19 33.33% -57
333 Kennesaw State Owls $-3280 91 -27 8.79% -186
334 Santa Clara Broncos $-3390 263 -20 31.94% -207.5
335 Oral Roberts Golden Eagles $-3550 209 -24 29.67% -180
336 La Salle Explorers $-3570 260 -22 35.38% -194
337 James Madison Dukes $-3580 260 -22 33.85% -144.5
338 Eastern Illinois Panthers $-3630 246 -23 33.33% -214
339 Texas Christian Horned Frogs $-3690 261 -23 31.8% -44.5
340 Detroit-Mercy Titans $-3700 266 -23 27.07% -221.5
341 George Mason Patriots $-3850 272 -24 35.29% -55.5
342 Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks $-3870 229 -26 29.26% -239
343 Tulane Green Wave $-3900 242 -26 27.69% -223
344 California Golden Bears $-4020 283 -25 36.4% -326
345 Illinois Fighting Illini $-4030 274 -26 35.04% -193
346 Ball State Cardinals $-4170 249 -28 32.13% -143.5
347 California State-Fullerton Titans $-4170 252 -28 32.14% -66.5
348 Florida Atlantic Owls $-4350 244 -30 27.87% -151
349 San Jose State Spartans $-4370 252 -30 16.67% -384
350 College of Charleston Cougars $-4790 266 -33 37.97% -194.5
351 George Washington Colonials $-5090 267 -36 34.46% -79.5
352 Indiana-Purdue Jaguars $-5140 254 -37 25.59% -339
353 Pittsburgh Panthers $-5190 272 -37 31.25% -289.5
354 Cal Poly-Slo Mustangs $-6250 249 -48 26.1% -338
submitted by Cav_vaC to CollegeBasketball [link] [comments]

Kansas vs. Iowa State odds, line: 2020 college basketball picks, Feb. 17 predictions by model on 42-27 roll SportsLine's advanced computer model simulated Monday's Kansas vs. Iowa State matchup Iowa State has opened as a heavy favorite for Saturday's home finale against Kansas with the largest betting line in its favor in two years. Coming off a win against No. 19 Texas, Iowa State Picks, odds, and game forecast for Iowa St. at Kansas St. on Sat 03/07 9:00 PM GMT in Manhattan College Basketball Line Movements for Las Vegas Casino and Sportsbook Odds for Iowa State Cyclones at Kansas State Wildcats provided by VegasInsider.com, along with more NCAA Basketball information for your sports gaming and betting needs. Kansas at Iowa State Betting Odds 11/23/2019. Iowa State is the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 25 points to Kansas. The over/under has been set at 58.5 points, and there will probably

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