NFL Moneyline vs Point Spread Betting - 2020 | Odds Shark

Caesars gives Seahawks fifth-best odds to win Super Bowl in 2020

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NFL teams most likely to go from worst to first in 2020

We have talked a lot about the draft, biggest remaining needs for every NFL team, some breakout candidates and other stuff, so let’s now get back to more of a big picture and look at some teams from an angle of where could they go next season. In this article, I am analyzing those teams that finished fourth in their division this past year and why they could win it in 2020 or land at the bottom once again, plus an outlook where I actually see them.
Of course much of this is about these eight teams and how much better or worse I feel about them than the general public, but it was heavily dependent on their three division rivals as well. The top half I could certainly see earn a playoff spot and surprise some people if everything goes right. After that a lot of my faith is more built around the lack of great competition and giving some hope to these respective fan bases. As the cliché goes – everybody is 0-0 right now.


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1. Arizona Cardinals


Why they can win the division:
Let’s just start with the main point here – this Cardinals squad has all the ingredients to make a big jump in 2020. I expect Kyler Murray to enter the superstar conversation in year two, after impressing with his arm talent and ability to extend plays in a (somewhat controversial) Offensive Rookie of the Year campaign. Steve Keim managed to unload a bad David Johnson contract and basically acquire an elite receiver in DeAndre Hopkins for a second-round pick. Kenyan Drake now has a full offseason to learn this offense and make himself a major factor once again, following up an outstanding second half of the season once the Cardinals traded for him with Miami. He perfectly fits into this offense with a lot East-West based rushing from shotgun sets and his involvement in the pass game, including those quick throws as an extension of the rushing attack. Arizona’s defense should be a lot better with run-stoppers being added in the draft that fit their 3-4 base front with Utah’s Leki Fotu and LSU’s Rashard Lawrence, since they can stay in those packages against the other teams in their division running a lot of 12 and 21 personnel probably. Add to that a do-it-all player with ridiculous range and overall athleticism in Isaiah Simmons at eight overall, plus all the other guys being in their second year under DC Vance Joseph. I love Budda Baker as a missile from his safety spot and I think some of the other young guys on that unit will take a step forward, like second-year corner Byron Murphy, who I talked about last week. Now let’s get to rest of the West – every other team in that division has some issues. The 49ers are facing the objects of a potential Super Bowl hangover and some limitations with Jimmy G at the helm. The Seahawks have question marks on the edge on either side of the ball with Cedric Ogbuehi and Brandon Shell fighting for the starting gig at right tackle and Jadeveon Clowney still on the open market, with a bunch of draft picks these last couple of years having to step up. And the Rams had one of the worst O-lines in football last season and they lost some pieces on defense. The Cardinals already gave all these teams issues in 2019 and have now added pieces that were clearly missing when last matching up against each other.

Why they could finish last again:
Most importantly, I am still not completely sold on the Cardinals offensive line, with D.J. Humphries being signed to a rather expensive deal as a below-average left tackle, third-rounder Josh Jones – while earning a late first-round grade from me – still needing an overhaul on his footwork before he can slide in at right tackle and guard Justin Pugh finally having played a full 16 games for the first time since 2015 last season. NFL coaches had a lot of time to study Kliff Kingsbury’s Air-Raid offense, which when you break it down is pretty simplistic in the amount of schemes they run. Yes, he diversified it a little as last season went along, going under center and running some pro-style rushing plays, but at its core, you can learn how to create some issues for all those mesh concepts and spread sets. As far as the Cardinals defense goes, it is more about pieces than proven commodities. Patrick Peterson is seemingly on the decline, they are thin in the secondary and could Chandler Jones follow soon, after he has been one of the most underrated pass-rushers in the league for a while now? You are staring the reigning NFC champs in the eyes, a team that was a few inches away from earning a playoff bye and another squad that went to the Super Bowl just two years ago. This is probably the best division in the entire league.

Bottom line:
I still believe the 49ers have done enough to repeat as division champs, re-tooling for all the losses they have suffered this offseason. However, I’m feeling pretty good about the Cardinals earning a wildcard spot. While I believe in the Seahawks quarterback and the Rams head coach respectively to not allow their teams to not have throwaway seasons, I also see enough issues with those squads to make me believe the Cardinals could have the second-best year of anybody in the West. To me they are pretty clearly the best of these eight teams, because they have a young phenom at quarterback, stars at pretty much every position, a different type of system around them and what I’d like to call “juice” coming into 2020.


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2. Detroit Lions


Why they can win the division:
Matt Stafford is back healthy and when he was in the lineup last season, this was a team that defeated the Eagles, Chargers and only didn’t finish the job against the eventual Super Bowl champion Chiefs because of some crazy stuff going on late. The veteran QB stood at 19 touchdowns compared to five picks and was playing at a near-MVP type level. However, Detroit’s identity will be built on the run game with re-investments in the offensive line as well as adding D’Andre Swift to form a dynamic one-two punch with him and Kerryon Johnson. Kenny Golladay and Marvin Jones may be the most underrated receiving duo to go with Danny Amendola as a tough guy in the slot and T.J. Hockenson coming into year two as a top-ten pick a year ago, having shown flashes when he was healthy. The defense is finally starting to take shape with third-overall Jeffrey Okudah as an elite corner prospect being added to an underrated secondary, Jamie Collins being a chess piece in the front seven after already having worked well with Matt Patricia and some young guys up front trying to prove themselves to go with the versatile Trey Flowers. Maybe more importantly than the Lions themselves – Nobody else got that much better and none of the other three really stand out to me. Other than the Vikings probably – who had the advantage of making a record-breaking 15 selections – the Lions might have had the best draft within the division. Thanks to that last-place schedule, they get to face the Redskins in the East (instead of Eagles & Cowboys) and Cardinals in the West, who I just talked about taking a step forward, but are still a better draw than the reigning conference champions or possibly having to travel to Seattle. I believe that new regime in Detroit has finally built an identity on both sides of the ball with the heavy investments in the run game and back-seven on defense. Winning ten games might earn you a division title, if everybody plays each other tough.

Why they could finish last again:
Can these guys finally stay healthy? Matt Stafford to my surprise played a full 16 games in eight straight years before last season, but a lot of that had to do with his toughness to fight through pain and he had major issues with that shoulder early on in his career before basically breaking his back after putting the team on it for the last decade. Kerryon Johnson has missed 14 of 32 possible starts and he has never carried the ball more than 118 times a season. Their receiving corp has been banged up quite a bit too. More glaring even – how will all these additions of former Patriots players work out? Can Matt Patricia build a New England 2.0 in Michigan or is he just bringing in players he knows will listen to him and the way he wants things to be done? Detroit could also rely on a lot of rookies to be immediate impact players – possibly two new starting guards on offense, running back D’Andre Swift probably sharing the load with Kerryon, Jeffrey Okudah having to immediately become their CB1 and Julian Okwara being asked to become a much more consistent player if they give him major snaps. And I recently talked about how their uncertainty at punter could be an issue for their ball-control, defense-minded style of play. They also have an early bye (week five), which I’m never a big fan of, after facing the Bears, Packers, Cardinals and Saints, which probably includes three playoff teams. If Chicago can get any competent QB play, all these teams should be highly competitive.

Bottom line:
I don’t think any team in this division wins more than ten games. Unfortunately I don’t see the Lions go over that mark themselves either. The Packers won’t come out victorious in so many close games (8-1 in one-possession affairs), the Vikings have lost a few proven commodities and look for young talent to immediately replace those and the Bears still have a quarterback competition going on. So if Detroit can do any better than just split the season series with those three teams, I see them finishing above .500, but ten wins is the ceiling for me. In terms of the competition inside the division, the Lions may be my number one team in this conversation, but I see a much clearer path to things crashing down for Matt Patricia and them having another disappointing season than I do with the Cardinals. No team in this division may finish below that 8-8 mark.


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3. Miami Dolphins


Why they can win the division:
When you ask the general public, the Buffalo Bills right now are the favorites to win the AFC East, but they haven’t done so since 1995 and they still have to prove they really are that team. The Patriots lost several pieces on defense and Tom Brady of course, which probably leads them to starting a quarterback, who over his four career pass attempts has thrown more touchdowns to the opposing team than to his own. The Jets are still building up that roster, with GM Joe Douglas trying to plant seeds on burnt earth, and they face a BRUTAL schedule. So Miami has a lot of things going in their favor for an organization that I believe in what they are trying to build. Depending on what happens at quarterback, you could have a veteran in Ryan Fitzpatrick, who was by far the best inside the division in several key categories last season and/or Tua Tagovailoa, who had one of the most prolific careers we have seen from anybody in the SEC. They added at least two new starters on the O-line, they now have one of the premiere cornerback trios in the league with the all-time highest paid player at the position in Byron Jones and first-round pick Noah Igbinoghene to go with Xavien Howard and with some added beef up front, they are finally looking a lot like what Brian Flores had in New England. DeVante Parker really broke out over the second half of 2019 and Miami should have a much better rushing attack because of the additions up front and two quality committee backs in Jordan Howard and Matt Breida being added. They have two other young pass-catchers ready to break out this upcoming season in tight-end Mike Gesicki and a UDFA receiver from a year ago in Preston Williams. Whenever Tua’s name is called upon, he will be a perfect fit for Chan Gailey’s horizontal passing game.

Why they could finish last again:
As much as I like what I see from this entire organization, it is probably just a year too early for Miami. So many young players could be thrown into the fire and a lot of them I look at as needing that experience – 18th overall pick Austin Jackson (USC) is more of a developmental tackle still with his footwork and hand-placement issues, 30th overall pick Noah Igbinoghene (Auburn) has only played cornerback for two years and was bailed out by his athletic tools at times, third-rounder Brandon Jones has to develop more of a feel in deep coverage and at least one more rookie lineman will likely start for them. Even outside of this year’s draft class, they already had several players on their roster that are still moving towards their prime. Whether you look at last year’s first-rounder Christian Wilkins, a lot of second- and third-year pass-catchers or their young linebackers outside of Kyle Van Noy. The Bills are entering year four of that turn-around under Sean McDermott and Brandon Beane, the Patriots still have the greatest coach of all time and will be a tough matchup solely based on that and the Jets at least have people playing for their jobs, plus a very talented young quarterback I still believe in. As much as I doubt Adam Gase, as long as Sam Darnold doesn’t get mono again, the offense should at least be competent, and the defense could potentially have a top-five player at every level with All-Pro Bowl safety Jamal Adams, an 85-million dollar linebacker in C.J. Mosley and my number one prospect in last year’s draft on the interior D-line with Quinnen Williams.

Bottom line:
As I mentioned before, the Bills are the front-runners in this division for me. As much respect as I have for Bill Belichick, I haven’t seen enough from Jarrett Stidham to make me a believer and he shrunk in some big moments at Auburn. The Jets to me could be a lot better than they were in 2019 and still go 6-10 just because of the type of schedule they are up against. So the Dolphins to me could easily finish anywhere from second to fourth, depending on how some of the players on that roster progress. I wouldn’t bet on them actually making the playoffs, but they could absolutely be a pain in the butt for some of the better teams in the AFC and in 2021 they might be the pick here.


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4. Los Angeles Chargers


Why they can win the division:
First and foremost, this Chargers defense is absolutely loaded with no real hole that you can point to. Derwin James is back healthy after a first-team All-Pro rookie campaign, Chris Harris Jr. comes in to make this secondary one the elite units in the NFL to go with two more Pro Bowlers among it and they have some guys I expect to break out like Jerry Tillery, Drue Tranquill and Nasir Adderley. In terms of having matchup pieces and a versatile pass rush to challenge Kansas City, nobody in the league may be on the same level as these guys. Offensively, Ihave talked about how the left tackle spot is concern for L.A. with a battle between Sam Tevi and Trey Pipkins for the starting job, but the other four spots are as good as they have been in a while, acquiring Pro Bowl guard Trai Turner via trade, signing a top five right tackle in Bryan Bulaga and getting Mike Pouncey back healthy. Tyrod Taylor can steer the ship and even if Justin Herbert is thrown into the fire – which I wouldn’t recommend – they have the skill-position players and willingness to run the ball to take pressure off those guys. While the Chiefs return 20 of 22 starters from a year ago, this wouldn’t be the first time we saw a Super Bowl champion have some issues the following season and as much as we want to hype up the Broncos and Raiders, both their quarterbacks (and other players of course as well) have a lot to prove still. Outside of KC, the Chargers likely have the smallest changes to what they do other than moving on from Philip Rivers and we saw that formula work the year prior, when they challenged Kansas City until the very end for the division crown and the conference’s top seed potentially. While they probably would have liked to bring in Tom Brady over the offseason, the fact they decided against signing Cam Newton to a roster that is ready to win right now, shows you the confidence they have in that quarterback room.

Why they could finish last again:
I’m not a huge fan of Derek Carr, but the Chargers will probably have the worst quarterback in the division in 2020. And their starting left tackle could be the worst in the entire league. As good as their defense will probably be, you can not consistently win games in which your offense doesn’t put up 20+ points in the league today – especially when all these teams in their division have spent so much on acquiring offensive firepower these last couple of years. I believe all three of their division rivals got better this offseason and the Chargers spent their top draft pick (sixth overall) on a young quarterback, who might not even help them win games this season. As I already mentioned, Kansas City brings back almost their entire starting lineups and they went 12-4 despite Mahomes seemingly having his knee cap facing the sideline while laying on his back. I have uttered my thoughts on Denver several times now, which you can read up on later. As for Las Vegas’ new team, they did start last season 6-4 and just heavily invested into their two major issues – wide receiver and linebacker. And while I don’t like to talk about it – injuries have been a huge issue for this Chargers team in recent years and I don’t really know what it is even, but I can’t assume that they all of a sudden can stay healthy.

Bottom line:
In terms of talent on the roster outside of the quarterback position, you could make a pretty compelling argument that the Chargers are ahead of all the other teams on this list. That’s the reason they have a pretty high floor of finishing around .500 and if everything works out, they could absolutely be a playoff contender. However, for this exercise in particular, I believe their upside is capped by what they have under center. Tyrod Taylor can be a top-20 quarterback in the NFL this season and in terms of upside, Justin Herbert has all the tools to become a difference-maker once he steps on the field, but they don’t have the explosiveness the Chiefs or the Broncos have for that matter. With so much continuity on a team that has the best player in the entire league, I can’t go against the Chiefs and in the end we are evaluating the chances to actually win the division.


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5. Washington Redskins


Why they can win the division:
These guys are very reminiscent of the 49ers with their defensive line, in terms of having invested a lot of high draft picks into the unit these last couple of years and now with that second overall pick bringing in a true stud from Ohio State – this time in Chase Young. When you look at all those guys up front – with the Bama boys patrolling the middle, Matt Ioannidis capable of moving around the front, Montez Sweat looking to break out in year two and Ryan Kerrigan still being there as a productive veteran – they will wreak some havoc this season. Ron Rivera could finally bring some structure to this organization and help them turn it around on defense with the addition of an old companion in Thomas Davis, plus some high-upside players like Reuben Foster and Fabian Moreau looking to prove themselves. Quarterback Dwayne Haskins had a very underwhelming rookie campaign, but he clearly wasn’t ready to be out there and found himself in a bad situation in terms of the support system around him. I like a lot of their young skill-position players the front office has surrounded him with, when you look at Terry McLaurin trying to become a young star in this league, who produced despite shaky quarterback play last season, Kelvin Harmon and Antonio Gandy-Golden being two big-bodied targets I liked these last two drafts, Derrius Guice hopefully finally being able to stay healthy to lead this backfield and this year’s third-round pick Antonio Gibson being a chess piece that you can manufacture touches for. Somebody I forgot to mention in this discussion recently is Steven Sims Jr., who is a jitterbug with the ball in his hands. New offensive coordinator Scott Turner will implement a system that should make life easier on his second-year signal-caller as well, while relying heavily on the run game.

Why they could finish last again:
Haskins is by far the least proven QB of the bunch, with Daniel Jones even being head and shoulders above him in their respective rookie seasons. No pass-catcher outside of Terry McLaurin had any major production to speak. Counting on a 37-year old Thomas Davis to not only be a leader for them, but also make plays on the field, could create issues, and Washington lost some pieces in the secondary. This offseason is a challenge for any team, that is looking to implement a new system on each side of the ball, but I think especially for a motivator like Rivera, who can give his squad a heartbeat and push them to success, not being there in person with those guys will hurt. Most importantly however, this division to me will be a two-man race between the Eagles and Cowboys – as it has been for a while now. They both will likely have top ten quarterbacks, better receiving corps, better offensive lines and more experienced defenses. The Giants may not blow anybody away coming into 2020, but looking at the two matchups from last year between them and the Redskins, Big Blue beat them 24-3 the first time around, when Daniel Jones threw one touchdown compared to two interceptions and then he diced them up for five TDs and no picks in week 16. The one area Washington would have had the clear upper hand was with their front-four, but New York just invested a lot of draft capital into their O-line to prevent that. Just go through the Redskins’ schedule and show me more than six wins. I dare you.

Bottom line:
These last two sentences really say it all. Even if Philly and Dallas split the season series and Washington can get a game off either one of them, it will be tough to turn around this squad as quickly as this season – with reduced practice time and team activities – to a point where they can finish above both of them. Both of them could easily win double-digit games in 2020 and while I think the Redskins are on the right track if Haskins looks more like the Ohio State version of himself, other than their defensive line, no unit for them is ready to compete for the division quite yet. Just going through their schedule in an objective manner, it is tough to find any lay-ups and say Washington has some baseline of wins they count on. To not have them any lower than this is more due to the respect for Riverboat Ron and how high I was on a lot of the guys they drafted recently.


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6. Jacksonville Jaguars


Why they can win the division:
I was going back and forth between my number six and seven teams, because the Jaguars are projected to pick first overall come next April for a reason – they did lose a lot of pieces. However, to me it came down to the fact that the AFC South might be won at 9-7 or 10-6 and this coaching staff actually has to win to keep their jobs. There is a lot noise about the Colts, but when you go back to last season, Philip Rivers was a turnover machine with serious questions about his arm strength. Bill O’Brien made some very questionable decisions for Houston and Tennessee is counting on a formula that is built on a 250-banger running the ball 25+ times and Ryan Tannehill finally repeating a career year, as they are coming off an AFC title game appearance. As far as Jacksonville goes, Gardner Minshew was the highest-graded rookie quarterback according to PFF and altogether I would have put him second only behind Kyler Murray. D.J. Chark broke out as one of the young star receivers and I had a first-round grade on Colorado’s Laviska Shenault if he can be healthy, because his talent is off the charts. I think the O-line would have benefitted from another tackle to kick Cam Robinson inside to guard, but those guys are some road-graders to make the run game work. Defensively the only real contributor from that Sacksonville group a couple of years ago who actually wants to be there is Myles Jack, but I really like their young duo off the edge in first-rounders Josh Allen last year and now K’Lavon Chaisson (LSU). There are some questions about the back-end, but they were built front-to-back with a lot of zone coverage behind it and depending on the development of ninth overall pick C.J. Henderson, they can roll away from him matching up with the opposing team’s number one receiver. Avoiding some of the better AFC squads altogether is pretty sweet as well, to go with facing no playoff team from last year outside their division until the middle of November.

Why they could finish last again:
I’m just not sure if all of these players are ready to fight for that coaching staff and organization. Two of their remaining veterans (Leonard Fournette and Yannick Ngakoue) have openly talked about how they want to be traded, they only have a few actually proven commodities on that entire roster and with the way they have unloaded big cap numbers, they have set themselves up for a true rebuild potentially, as they are expected to be in the Trevor Lawrence-Justin Fields sweepstakes come next April. Even if they can get a few breaks and the division is up for grabs, does this organization even want to win this season? If not for the injury to Jacoby Brissett in the middle of the season, all three other teams in that division would have almost certainly finished above .500 and the Colts are actually the team that improved by far the most among them. That Texans, who have actually won the South four of the last five years, including last season, may be the smallest challenge and still sweep Jacksonville. Vegas rarely misses completely and the Jaguars right now are the odds-on favorite to pick first overall come next April, with an NFL-low OveUnder of 4.5 wins on the season. And as favorable as the early portion of their schedule looks like right, check out this eight-game stretch after their week seven bye – at Chargers, vs. Texans, at Packers, vs. Steelers, vs. Browns, at Vikings, vs. Titans, at Ravens. Ouch. They might go winless over that period.

Bottom line:
The Jaguars to me are a very interesting team, because I believe they have accumulated a bunch of young talent, which gets lost a little when you see all the names that aren’t there anymore. There is a lot to like about this roster, when you look at what these players could develop into, but that doesn’t mean they will have success this year already. The Colts have the best 53 currently in the division (or 55 now), the Texans have the best quarterback and the Titans are coming off an AFC Championship game appearance. Gardner Minshew could make this kind of a tough decision if they end up picking anywhere after first overall and I think some of those other kids will put up pretty good numbers, but they are still pretty clearly fourth in the South as for now.


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7. Carolina Panthers

Why they can win the division:
Nobody knows for sure what Matt Rhule and his new coaching staff will throw at them. Joe Brady gets to work with Teddy Bridgewater once again, who he already coached in New Orleans – so there will be familiarity for him in this system and they already “speak the same language”. That young receiving corp with D.J. Moore, Curtis Samuel, free agency addition Robby Anderson and even an up-and-coming tight-end in Ian Thomas is pretty underrated actually, plus of course they have one of the truly elite weapons out of the backfield in Christian McCaffrey, who is probably set to break his own RB reception record once again. The Panthers defense-only draft has brought them a monster in the middle in Derrick Brown (Auburn), a really talented edge rusher in Yetur Gross-Matos (Penn State) on the opposite of last year’s rookie stud Brian Burns, a super-rangy safety with linebacker size in Jeremy Chinn (Southern Illinois), what I think is a starting corner in Troy Pride Jr. (Notre Dame) and some other pieces in the secondary. The talent is clearly there and now you bring in a scheme that is probably going to be unique for the NFL level as well, when you look at that 3-3-5 Baylor ran under Rhule and defensive coordinator Phil Snow. As much as we want to praise our legends of the game, the quarterbacks of the two front-runners in this division will be 41 and 43 years old respectively and let’s not forget that Atlanta started out last season 1-7.

Why they could finish last again:
Especially this offseason, without certainty if there will be anything like training camp or even a real preseason, that completely new staff with new systems they are trying to teach will certainly have some growing pains. Bridgewater has been a top-20 starting QB maybe one year of his career and even when he was applauded for the way he filled in for Drew Brees last season, he finished dead-last in intended air yards among quarterbacks with at least 100 pass attempts. How will that mesh with a lot of vertical targets around him? When he has those guys running free on slants and dig routes, the ball will get there, but will he be willing to throw that deep post or give his guys a chance on go-balls? Defensively they are counting on a lot of young players and they have nobody to even come close to replacing Luke Kuechly, as well as making the switch to an unproven scheme possibly, if they actually use some of those 3-3-5 looks coming over from Baylor. When you look at Rhule’s track-record, it always took him until year two to show improvement and then in that third season is when those teams can really make some noise. And that was in the AAC and Big 12 respectively. Now he is in the NFC South with a team that just went 13-3 in the Saints and a Bucs squad that already was 7-9 and lost six of those games by one score, only because despite finishing fifth in takeaways, they ranked in the bottom five in turnover differential due to easily leading the league with 41 giveaways. That should get a lot better with Tom Brady coming in, who has never even quite thrown half of Jameis Winston’s 30 interceptions in any of his 20 years in the league. Even the Falcons – for as poorly as they started last season – went 6-2 after really coming together and making some changes in their bye week last season.

Bottom line:
The Panthers are clearly the most unproven team in this division. While new systems that haven’t been scouted yet certainly have an advantage in terms of game-planning early on, especially in this offseason with heavily limited live reps most likely, that might equal a net minus. You have to root for a guy like Teddy Bridgewater and the way he has worked his way up to a starting spot again, but I just don’t look at him as a surefire franchise signal-caller. The other three teams in the South all have top ten quarterbacks in the league in my opinion and much more continuity around them. Until the Panthers finally get to their bye week at the start of December, I don’t see them winning more than four of those twelve games. At that point they may have their eyes on a different goal already, if Teddy B isn’t the clear answer under center.


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8. Cincinnati Bengals


Why they can win the division:
We’re not that far away from 2015, when the Bengals won the AFC North with a 12-4 record as the fifth year in a row making the playoffs. Since then this is the first time I feel like there really is change happening with this team. Marvin Lewis was replaced by a young Zac Taylor, trying to prove himself to the league, they drafted Heisman trophy winner Joe Burrow first overall to replace as average a quarterback as we have had over the last decade in Andy Dalton and the front office finally spent some money in free agency. While you would think a quarterback going first overall usually comes into a situation, where he is devoid of talent around him, Cincinnati suddenly has one of the better group of skill-position players in the entire league, assuming A.J. Green is back healthy. Tyler Boyd is a stud in the slot, who will be Burrow’s version of Justin Jefferson, a 50-50 ball specialist in second-round pick Tee Higgins (Clemson) matches perfectly with Burrow’s expertise of winning with ball-placement and if they get anything from former first-rounder John Ross at least as a decoy with his speed, that’s a plus. I expect Joe Mixon to be among the league leader’s in running back receptions and be more effective in space with those receivers around him as well. The signings the Bengals have made on defense gives them a lot more talent and complements very well what they already had. D.J. Reader is one of the most underrated defensive linemen in the league and frees everybody up along the front, they completely overhauled that linebacker group, which was a major issue these last couple of years, they brought in a starting CB2 and nickel from Minnesota to pair up with William Jackson III, who is ready to announce himself as one of the best corners in football, and Von Bell is a great match with the rangy free safety Jessie Bates.

Why they could finish last again:
As talented as all those guys throwing, catching and running the ball may be, it all starts with what’s happening up front and the Bengals offensive line is still in transition. They could have two of the worst starters in the league at both guard spots and right tackle once again, with the prior ones close to reaching that bust status and Bobby Hart still somehow having a starting job. As great as Joe Burrow was last year at LSU and how clean his evaluation was, how much better than Andy Dalton will he be right away, especially going up against those scary defensive fronts inside his division? Defensively they could easily have six new starters, which obviously can be looked at as a positive sign, considering they allowed 20+ points in all but two games last season, but there is also a lack of continuity and reduced time to fit all those pieces together. Cincinnati’s coaching staff hasn’t really proven anything yet and they will be facing a massacre of a schedule, with three occasions of back-to-back road games and while three of their final four games of the season are at home, they will face the Cowboys, Steelers and Ravens, to go with a trip to Houston in-between. If they don’t beat the Chargers in the season-opener, they probably don’t get that first W until week four against the Jaguars and then they have to hope they can sneak out another one until their bye week. Baltimore is tied with Kansas City for the highest projected win total with reigning MVP coming into just his third season, Pittsburgh is favored to make the playoffs with Big Ben back under center and Cleveland was the offseason favorite in 2019, while fielding an even better roster this year.

Bottom line:
I feel bad for putting this team last, because I thought Joe Burrow was the top quarterback and definitely worthy of that number one pick and the Bengals finally spent big money in free agency to retool the defense. To me this is less about them than the Ravens, who just were the number one overall seed in the playoffs at 14-2 and haven’t done anything other than get better themselves, a Steelers team that made a run at the playoffs with the worst quarterback play in the league now getting Ben back and a Browns roster that is among the top ten league-wide in most people’s opinion. Still, there is a lot to like about this team at the skill-positions, which is probably behind only Cleveland in terms all the weapons they have, some young standouts on defense and hope that all of this brings a fresh breath of air.


If you enjoyed this content, I would really appreciate if you could visit the original piece (with video clips) - https://halilsrealfootballtalk.com/2020/06/16/nfl-teams-most-likely-to-go-from-worst-to-first-in-2020/
You can also listen to my breakdown on Youtube - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R9kCcuPobNU
submitted by hallach_halil to nfl [link] [comments]

APRIL PUTS bag holders.. so ya portfolio looking like the total opposite of what your expecting huh?

Let me guess, after quadruple witching failed, you guys all went to sleep during the weekend thinking this week our lambos and teslas will be printed by the end of this week huh?
Let me guess, you also couldn't wait for this coming monday to huh? thought it was going to be blooody monday huh?
Let me guess, you had one or even two circuit breakers planned for Monday huh?
Let me guess, those so called 'diamond hands' you have are starting to deteriorate into 'paper hands'
Let me guess, your asshole is clinching every time you look at your portfolio?
Do me a favour... GROW A PAIR YOU FUCKING PUSSY. You think we came this far to fold? From getting fucked quadruply from witches left right and centre, getting fucked by the stimulus bill every week, getting fucked by retarded bulls week in and week out. You think we're here to fold? YOU THINK WE CAME THIS FAR TO SELL BEFORE APRIL?
ARE YOU DUMB OR ARE YOU DUMB?
do me a fucking favour, go to the closest mirror thats in your vicinity, loook in the mirror and slap yourself so hard that theres an echo in the room. Slap yourself so hard so you realize that your not drunk, its the markets. We will wait for the markets to sober up, we will wait when the president shuts down the whole country, we will wait when the unemployment numbers come out, we WILL follow suit with italy's economy and europe's economy (unfortunately), we will have more cases and panic.. this fucking list goes on.
BIG RALLY = BIG FALL
Remember, it doesn't matter how much money the feds offer coronavirus, the ronazz will keep on taking. We gave that bitch TRILLIONS and she still wants more? Us fucking bears realize that whatever amount of money we offer the ronazz it wont be enough. the ronazzz wants the WHOLE FUCKING WORLD, not a couple of trillions. SMARTEN UP BEARS. You weak bears are embarrassing us running around this forum crying that your puts are down.
ANY SPORTS BETTORS OUT THERE?
Sports betting (live odds) = options trading, IMO. Except live odds are priced in with time decay, and the greeks priced in with point spreads, better qb, better coach.. etc for sports. lets play football NFL for example:
APRIL PUTS BAG HOLDERS WE ARE IN THE FUCKING SUPERBOWL RIGHT NOW NOT MAY HOLDERS OR JUNE BAG HOLDERS. WE ARE. APRIL FUCKING HOLDERS.
WE ARE ONLY IN THE FIRST QUARTER. FIRST HALF. NOT EVEN IN THE SECOND HALF YET.
The fucking superbowl HALF TIME SHOW(country lockdown, unemployment numbers, aggressive testing, supply chains disruptions, earning and sales) HASN'T EVEN FUCKING STARTED YET
HOLD THE FUCKING LINE.
TL/DR bears panicking right now, do me a ANOTHER favour, go to the fucking washroom, open up this link https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9ikSfs9LETc and stare at the mirror and follow what hes doing in the song. BEAT YOUR FUCKING CHEST HARDER AS THE SONG PROGRESSES, HUM LOUDER, BELIEVE HARDER AND STOP BEING A FUCKING PUSSY AND ..
HOLD THE FUCKING LINE.
EDIT#1: positions like a true fucking retard IM ALL IN BITCH
https://imgur.com/put52tZ
https://imgur.com/FABUomU
IT DOESNT GET MORE RETARDED THAN THIS BOYS. 2k -> 37k -> 11k. IM NOT FUCKING SELLING
HOLD THE FUCKING LINE. SCARED MONEY DON'T MAKE NO MONEY. DIAMONDS FUCKING HANDS.
EDIT#2 so much vaccine talks/cures. let me tell you something. I was alive when sars got introduced to the world. CV is even worse. they are both from the same family, the same strain. if we had a vaccine or a cure or something to suppress its rapid growth, we would have it by now and we would be working on a vaccine towards CV. reality is, they don't have one. everything is trial and error right now. clinical research trials takes years to produce and test. they are not going to come up with a vaccine before summer. stop being naive. look at the hard core facts with sars. there is no cure.
EDIT#3 AS OF 2:22 PM (LITERALLY 3 MINS AGO) The number of confirmed coronavirus cases in the U.S. has surpassed 50,000, or 12.3% of all known cases worldwide
submitted by 6ixSwings to wallstreetbets [link] [comments]

Am I the only one who is absolutely gonna lose their shit if this season gets cancelled?

Like obviously all of us wants the NFL 2020 season to work. But as a browns fan I want this season to work more than usual. Like I actually feel this season is going to be our best shot. I know I know, we say this every year... but there are just too many pieces this year that enables us to actually do something special. And if this season falls through due to covid 19 we are going to get the shaft in terms of contracts etc.
A coach that isn’t a complete joke (hopefully), Kareem Hunt AND Chubb (best Rb duo), A healthy OBJ and Landry (best WR duo IMO), Njoku and Hooper, additions of delpit, wills, a hopefully improved baker behind an actual capable O line that was just rated the leagues most improved offensive line (Conklin, Wills, Bitonio, Tretter), decent kicker and great punter, Myles coming back looking strong AF, good DB’s, I mean I can go on forever with why this year in particular has me so hyped to be a browns fan. I mean we are lacking in very few areas. If this season gets cancelled I’m gonna absolutely lose my shit. I would act like such a fucking drama queen.
I live in Louisiana where everyone is already talking about not watching the NFL if players kneel, and I just think to myself “you gotta be out of your FUCKIN mind if you think I’m not about to be glued to the television watching my browns”.
I am probably way over my head in the confidence I feel this time round, and I am not oblivious of how browns fans say this EVERY YEAR. But something just feels different this year. I straight up turn the channel when I hear some talking head talking about the NFL season not happening this year, I don’t need that negative energy. I’m placing a pretty sizable bet for browns to win the Super Bowl this year lmfao, not because I think we are ACTUALLY gonna win the super bowl or anything, but I just think we are pretty underrated this year and that there is a lot of value when the odds are 40/1 (well that and the fact that I’m addicted to gambling). But that’s just one more thing I am excited about this year.... that no one is pumping up the browns and everyone is down on us. Because the last thing we need is for another re-run of last year where the browns entered the season thinking they already did something.
Call me crazy guys...... but I don’t know...... I just got that feeling. I know there are a lot of other teams out there that look stacked as well, but we will definitely be more competitive. For reals though, I’m gonna tell my friends and family to watch out for me well being if this season gets canned. I know NFL will try their hardest to make the season work, considering how much money is on the line. Keeping my fingers crossed!
Dawgggg check!
submitted by Jasonfrost3425 to Browns [link] [comments]

My Introduction to a Professional Sports Betting Syndicate

This is part 1 of a 3 part story I recently shared within The Betting Network community. The Betting Network or TBN is a group of sports bettors that all share information with a common goal of winning more bets. I also do weekly lessons, a mentorship program, game previews and just pass along any and all information I’ve gathered over the past 15 plus years, the main goal is to help members improve their overall sports betting IQ and help them avoid the brutal trial and error I had to go through before becoming successful in the sports betting industry.
I decided to share this story because of the feedback I received within The Betting Network, hope you guys enjoy it and also gain something from it.

PART 1/3

Before I get into the good stuff I have to explain what my job entailed at the time. The company I use to work for scraped sports betting information and data off the internet. A lot of pro bettors use “data scrapes” and what it does is it searches the internet 24/7 every second of the day for anything that has the keywords you programmed into the software. Think about how much time and effort this saves. You input “LeBron James Injury” and the second anything related to that is posted anywhere online it will be sent to you and even compiled in an organized fashion. You could put Steph Curry 3pt attempts and it will gather all that info and compile it. Data scrapes are really the only way a person could compile stats and information on entire leagues, it would take the entire season alone if you attempted to input it yourself without a scraper.
One of the most important data scrapers is for injuries and the company I worked for had it set up where it would be constantly searching the internet for injury related news and it would “ping” our computers already formatted so it could be sent out to members and social media. For example, this is what a “ping” would look like - CLE-F [LeBron James] - Calf- Questionable or GSW-G [Steph Curry] - wrist - Doubtful. Our job was to edit any errors and basically just click a button that was linked to send it out on all platforms, members text services, on twitter, everywhere we wanted. Our company's injury scrape was so good that live odds services like Don Best would simply have a scrape on our Twitter account. Pro bettors would just have notifications set for our tweets because we were breaking injury information 10 to 20 seconds before ESPN sometimes. By the way, 10 to 20 seconds is an eternity in the sports betting world. If you couldn’t tell already I’m no computer wiz, but what I believe separated our scrape from many others was how the information was formatted when we got it and how it was streamlined with all the platforms it needed to be sent out to after we got it. In other words, injury news breaks, we get the ping, hit one button and it’s sent. Other people may receive the injury information and have to type out the format and then send it out one by one to twitter or on their website. But like I said I have no fucking clue how it all works all I know is we were considered one of the best for NBA, NFL.
If you want to learn more about how to actually set up a scraper I provided a good intro to scraping link here: ⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️
http://crowdsourcesyndicate.info/MommyWowMyFirstScraper.html
The MIT Sloan conference is one of the biggest sports analytics conferences in the world. Myself and a few co-workers were sent to the Sloan conference to represent our company. It’s a big 2 day event and everybody from the sports world is there, anyone from sports book operators to NBA head coaches and players. Link below for this years speakers at Sloan ↙️↙️↙️
http://www.sloansportsconference.com/2020-conference/2020-speakers/
Anyone that’s heavily involved in the sports betting industry is usually there because it’s a great way to network with everyone all in one place. My company had a booth there and we would just answer questions, hand out promotional fliers and point out all the famous people we saw. This is where it gets good. While sitting at the booth a guy approaches me and asks: “What do you do”? Me: I’m a data analyst Guy: ok, but what do you do?
I explained to him my job responsibilities adding in a bunch of stuff to make it sound more important because the truth was I sat at a computer for 8hrs a day waiting for pings and answering phone calls where 90% of the callers had the wrong number. He pretended to be interested in the job details and before I could get into what he did or why he was there the convo ended with him asking if I’ll be attending day 2 of the conference. I said yes and he told me he would also be back tomorrow for day 2 and that after the conference tomorrow him and a bunch of guys were going to meet for drinks at the Westin hotel across the street from the conference, “drinks on me” he said while walking away.
The next day after the conference I went across the street to the Westin and they have a restaurant. I see “George” who I met the day before and invited me, he’s sitting at one end of a table that has 2 big tables pushed together making one big table. He waves me over and I sit next to him, there’s about 7 other people there. He tells me to order anything I want, drinks, food whatever and made a point to tell me and everyone there that he’s covering the bill. The Westin is really nice and expensive, not a place I would be going to eat and drink on my own considering I think I was making $16 an hour at this time. I couldn’t help but wonder why he invited me and only me when I had 2 other co-workers. After a couple hours and 4 vodka tonics I found out.
“George” was a professional bettor and was (still is) the head of a nationwide sports betting syndicate. He knew exactly what the company I work for dos and even knew my boss. Once we got into talking about what he does he wasted no time telling me what he wanted to do. He wanted me to notify him and his team about injuries before sending it out to the public, 15 seconds after to be exact. He knew that a majority of sports books used the live odds screen Don Best and that Don Best used our company for breaking injury news and if he was able to get the injury news before Don Best he would be able to beat the line on all the books that copied lines from them.
For example: Your bookie isn’t sitting in front of the computer moving the lines when an injury happens, it’s done automatically. Most local books set up what’s called an auto-mover and this copies the feed from another sports book. Some local books may copy the feed from say pinnacle or 5dimes or any book they feel has strong accurate lines. They can’t set up a direct feed to pinnacle or 5Dimes because established books such as those can detect software. So what they do is set the auto-mover up onto a live odds service like Don Best. Once the line moves on don best all the books that are copying lines will then move their lines.
George had software of his own that allowed him to bet games on thousands of accounts with a few clicks of a button. He explained to me how this would all work - I get the ping - CLE-F [LeBron James] - Rest - Out, I would copy and paste that onto the telegram messenger app and press send, he said sing happy birthday and when finished then I could post it to the world like I normally would. With his automated bet software he could pick off all the books that didn’t move the line yet based on Lebron being OUT. Of course not every single book was reliant on Don Best to move lines, many of the bigger well known offshore books had their own data scrapes and injury software, but more than enough books did rely on Don Best, who relied on my company. So the potential for this was through the roof.
I had some serious thinking to do, as much as I wanted to say yes on the spot my instincts held me back. I told him I had to weigh the pros and cons. After all I basically would be tanking my job duties and going from a committed employee to what seemed like a sneaky spy. It does our company and it’s members no good if I’m sending out information late or at the same time as every other company. Also, without getting too detailed regarding the financial arrangement I felt I needed to counter his offer. The biggest upside for me besides the money was my strong desire to get involved with a real sports betting syndicate but the negotiations quickly let me know that there is a dark side to the industry and I had one foot in.
To Be Continued....
PS I’ll likely share part 2 and 3 in the coming days.
submitted by bettingnetwork to sportsbetting [link] [comments]

Lynn Bowden Jr is a Problem

With each year that goes by, it seems as if we’re inching closer and closer to position-less football. In this draft class, the “hybrid players” that seemingly get the most attention are Laviska Shenault and Antonio Gibson. Though his profile is tantalizing, the question of health surrounds Viska. With a very questionable offense, will Gibson be able to shine?
If one can hit on a hybrid player in dynasty, there’s not many more stocks that are more fun to watch go up. For my money, this year, that guy isn’t Viska or Gibson - it’s Lynn Bowden Jr.
Let’s go over a few points:
1) Production
2019 stats:
1,235 rushing yards 11 Rushing TDs 330 Passing Yards 2 Passing TDs 348 Receiving Yards 1 Receiving TD 200 Kickoff Return Yards 53 Punt Return Yards
To add, he accounted for a third (literally, 33.3%) of all Kentucky’s rushing and receiving yards. This is SEC competition folks. Florida, SC, UGA themselves are typically among the most stout of defenses (the East typically doesn’t have the most high octane offenses, but, traditionally, their defenses have been superb).
To cap it all off: he won the Paul Hornung Award (nation’s best all purpose/most versatile player), was 1st team All-SEC...and a consensus 1st team All-American.
In terms of production and displaying his talent, he was nothing short of special in 2019.
2) Fit with the Raiders
Prior to the draft, GM Mike Mayock had a very interesting line:
"You start looking at guys on the offense that can play in the slot, play at RB, be H-backs, there’s not really a label for them. They’re just either dynamic players, or they’re not."
Sure enough, Lynn Bowden Jr was the pick weeks later.
It’s odd to me how many folks still have him listed as a WR. Mayock, after the pick, was pretty clear about his intentions with Bowden...as he explicitly stated that he’d be mostly a RB/Joker type of role. Moving him around is assumed, due to the obvious nature of Bowden’s talent, but it’s nice for a GM to call out his primary role.
Mayock has shown he is as good of a scouting GM as there is in the NFL. There’s little reason to doubt they don’t have a plan (that will end up paying dividends for dynasty owners) for Bowden.
3) 2020 Outlook
Suddenly, the Raiders have a lot of mouths. Since Bowden will be lining up in multiple places, let’s look at things at a high level:
Jacobs Waller Ruggs Edwards Renfrow Richard T Williams
There’s more, but these are the ones that matter.
Let’s go down the list:
I do not believe Ruggs will be “fed” in 2020. I truly believe Ruggs will do the Raiders wonders, both in stretching the field and kick returning. He’ll have his game breaking plays, but he will not be filling up stat sheets on a weekly basis.
Bowden was the plan.
I think Lynn Bowden can easily get 70 carries and 40 catches. There are a lot of names here...but the opportunity for Bowden is clearer than one would expect.
Remember, he’s superior to Tarik Cohen as a prospect, has the higher draft cap, and has the hardware to show that he can line up anywhere. That raiders offense will also move the ball more effectively than the bears.
4) The Conspiracy Theorist in Me
Play along with me here. Derek Carr has been in the crosshairs of many trade rumors for multiple years. There’s a strong argument that the raiders are a QB away from being a significant threat in the AFC (that division is hell...with the chargers being a crazy D on paper, Broncos O being as loaded as it is, and KC being KC).
Mariota got paid, to say the least. IF Carr flames/gets hurt....and IF Mariota subsequently flames/gets hurt (very possible, much more so than Carr)...what happens?
Lynn Bowden Jr, right?
I’m willing to bet this scenario, or even just having Lynn pass a few times a game, played a factor in this pick. Lynn Bowden Jr is flat out dangerous with the ball, regardless of where he has it. If Gruden can figure out a way to make Bowden dangerous from the QB position in the NFL...watch out.
The point is: he’s an OPTION
To close, I think people are sleeping on Lynn Bowden Jr. He doesn’t have any business going in the 4th round of a rookie draft. He has the talent to be a star in the NFL, and the amount of names in the Raiders offensive room has spooked people. These names aren’t as robust as one may think, and we may see a 3rd round gem blossom into a game breaker.
Draft Lynn Bowden Jr and enjoy the ride. We haven’t seen many players like this man.
submitted by BigBankBilly to DynastyFF [link] [comments]

The 2017 roster versus the 2019 roster analysis

An attempt to judge the roster from week one of 2017 to the expected group for 2020. The scale is -2 to +2 with the caveat that price is removed from the equation and to only judge by the player.
Offense:
Quarterback +1 for 1 spot
  • Eli Manning -> Daniel Jones (+1)
This is tough to give a grade on simply because we have no idea if Jones will end up as the franchise QB. When he was throwing and making reads he did not look like a rookie, but his pocket awareness and knowing when to slide created far too many turnovers than a starting QB can make. Still, I'm going with a +1 with +2 upside for addressing the position with a young player who shows promise.
Runningback +2 for 1 spot
  • Orleans Darkwa -> Saquon Barkley (+2)
Let's not over think this one, it is +2.
Tight End 0 for 2 spots
  • TE1: Evan Engram -> Evan Engram (0)
  • TE2: Rhett Ellison -> Levine Toilolo (+Kaden Smith) (0)
Engram is Engram. He's great when he is on field with an emphasis on 'when'. I'm glad they gave him the 5th year option. I always thought Ellison was underused relative to his pay, and thought you could get someone to do the same for less... apparently they read my mind and got Toilolo who is less and paid less, but now you have no upside in the pass game. I'm tempted to give a +1 for Kaden Smith but since I don't consider him a starter at the moment I won't, I also think his YAC is particularly alarming to put him in the conversation for a potential starter down the road.
Wide Receiver +1 for 3 spots
  • WR1: OBJ -> Golden Tate (-1)
  • WR2: Roger Lewis -> Darius Slayton (+2)
  • SWR: Sterling Shepard -> Sterling Shepard (Extension) (0)
If OBJ had a better year I'd give that transition a -2, but if Shepard didn't have the concussions I'd give the new deal a +1 so we'll split the difference. Tate's 16 game production in games with Jones at QB was 84 catches, 1092 yards, and 9 TDs - for his contract that is great production - I don't give a rat's ass about his age until he actually isn't producing. Slayton is obviously a +2 over Roger Lewis who is out of the league.
Offensive Line +4 for 5 spots
  • LT: Ereck Flowers -> Nate Solder (+Matt Peart) (+1)
  • LG: Justin Pugh -> Will Hernandez (+1)
  • C: Weston Richburg -> Spencer Pulley (-2)
  • RG: John Jerry -> Kevin Zeitler (+Nick Gates) (+2)
  • RT: Bobby Hart -> Andrew Thomas (+2)
Thomas starting at LT is an idea I'm in favor of but for now this is more linear. Solder even after his down year is a much better bet at LT going in to 2020 than Flowers was going in to 2017. Hernandez easily has more upside than Pugh who was injury prone and a failed tackle, but after a down year I'm only giving +1, that could be +2 fast with a better scheme. Richburg didn't actually play much in 2017, it was Jones, in for 80% of snaps but even then Pulley simply is only barely starter level - Gates could turn that around if he somehow transitions but that still remains possibly the most neglected roster spot of 2020. Jerry to Zeitler is an easy +2. Replacing the worst RT in the NFL with the #4 pick gets a +2 simply by allocation of resources.
Defense:
Front Five +1 for 5 spots
  • LDT: Damon Harrison -> Dalvin Tomlinson (+1)
  • RDT: Dalvin Tomlinson -> Dexter Lawrence (+BJ Hill) (+1)
  • LE: JPP -> Leonard Williams (0)
  • RE: Olivier Vernon -> Kyler Fackrell (-1)
  • SLB: Devon Kennard -> Oshane Ximines (+Lorenzo Carter) (0)
First comment will be that JPP is a DE and Williams is a DT, I get it, but in a 3-4 to 4-3 they both play the left end so they're the closest comparison - JPP also moved to DT on the Spags NASCAR packages. Moving Tomlinson back to nose where he belongs while Harrison regresses was a good move, double so in a 3-4 where neither is a pass rusher. Investing in a pass rushing interior man like Lawrence was a good move. If Williams Vernon to Fackrell is bargain hunting but at the same time Vernon can't even remotely stay healthy so -1 is all he nets. Kennard wasn't really a starter when he left only playing half the time, but he was a solid, but if "solid" is the label that's about where Ximines and Carter are so there's no real loss, plus I really like Ximines and think he showed promise to be much better. For those that will bemoan the loss of pass rush this is a group that in t2016 (Hankins over Tomlinson) managed 22 sacks with an elite performing secondary, the strength of this group is the strength of that group.
Off Ball Linebacker +2 for 2 spots
  • MLB: BJ Goodson -> Blake Martinez (+1)
  • WLB: Jonathan Cassilas -> Ryan Connelly (+1)
It is odd to think this is one of the more improved groups... that's how pathetic Goodson and Cassillas were. Connelly could easily jump to a +2 if his performances in limited reps were not a mirage. Martinez can actually cover unlike Goodson so he's an easy up to even if he isn't a game changer.
Cornerback 0 for 3 spots
  • CB1: Janoris Jenkins -> James Bradberry (0)
  • CB2: Eli Apple -> DeAndre Baker (+Sam Beal) (0)
  • SCB: DRC -> Julian Love (+Darnay Holmes) (0)
On face value some might think a 0 for this group is a disaster but don't forget this was the strength of the 2016 team. Jenkins may have fallen off lately but he was a lockdown guy on his good days, Bradberry is younger so it is like getting young Jenkins back again. Baker just had a terrible season and we don't know his future, Beal can't stay healthy, but since Apple is now a bottom of the barrel player there isn't a change - it could go up but right now a position of weakness is still a weakness. DRC is the guy who is now retired from the defense so that skews things a little. Love had a solid rookie year and with the McKinney pick likely moves to slot where he probably should have stay and he will have competition for the #110 pick from 2020 in Holmes. DRC was an All Pro player but is retired, there is some promise with rookie and 2nd year players, teams have to replace guys and they found two solid bodies.
Safety +2 for 2 spots
  • FS: Darian Thompson -> Xavier McKinney (+1)
  • SS: Landon Collins -> Jabrill Peppers (+1)
Getting Thompson to McKinney out of the way - Thompson is a backup level player and McKinney was a projected first rounder. I won't give McKinney the +2 since he's unknown and not a first, but this is the first time we've seen extensive resources spent on FS since Phillips. Collins netted a 3rd round compensatory, still can't cover, and Peppers is a play making athlete - since Collins is still good for what he does it is just a +1 and not a +2, rather have Peppers every day.
Total: +13 for 24 spots, +10 not counting rookies
At the end of the day this isn't a ringing endorsement of Gettleman, there were plenty of "they showed promise" guys and of course this was a mediocre to bad roster to start. Jones alone is really the only one that I think could turn around his legacy from "somewhere around okay" to good/great, with that though, unlike Reese in 2016 this is a pretty solid roster that the right staff can work with to get results AND doesn't have far reaching obligations should it fail and a new GM need to clean up.
  • Worst Downgrades: C, WR1, RE
  • Biggest Upgrades: WR2, G, RB
  • Greatest Upsides: QB, FS, OT
  • Question Marks: SCB, QB, CB2
  • Lateral Moves: SLB, CB1, TE2
Looking at this it is disappointing there were no positions in the upgrade spots where FA money was spent. It is nice the drafting is looking better, and I think they replaced some declining guys with similar players in FA which is sound when they were guys who showed promise earlier but were decling, but outside of Zeitler there weren't any spots where I would say that in free agency there were noticeable upgrades to anything above "good" (Martinez is an upgrade for sure, but not elite).
This was my attempt to sift out all the other noise and just look at the starting group, let me know where/how/why you hate me in the comments.
submitted by Fillinlater12345 to NYGiants [link] [comments]

Basic foundational metrics for measuring your relative sports betting performance

Measuring Returns
Understanding how to measure your performance is a crucial element of being a successful sports bettor. With varying odds and bet allocations, it’s not as simple as just counting your wins and losses. You can win 80% of your wagers, but if those bets were made at poor odds or you had poor bankroll management, you could still have disastrous results.
What you need to measure is your return on investment (“ROI”). In the finance world, ROI is defined as a measurement of the gain or loss generated on investment, relative to the amount of money invested. For example, if you bought Amazon stock at $1,000 per share and it’s currently trading at $1,900 per share, you would say that investment has an ROI of 90% (($1900 - $1,000) / $1,000). Pretty straightforward calculation.
In sports betting, however, there is often confusion regarding how to measure ROI.
Wager ROI
In the 2019 MLB season, Aaron and I wagered around $1.39 million across approximately 800 games. When it was all said and done, we had made approximately $113 thousand. If you divide $113 thousand by $1.39 million, you get 8.1%. Is this our ROI?
If you ask the average sports bettor, they would say yes. If you ask the average finance professional, they would probably ask you “well, how much money did you start with?”
We’re going to define that 8.1% (Net Win / Wagered Amount) as our Wager ROI. For every dollar that we wagered, we made around 8.1 cents.
Wager ROI = [Net Win / Wagered Amount]
Portfolio ROI
We didn't start the 2019 season with a bankroll of $1.39 million, however.
We started with $130 thousand. And we ended with $243 thousand.
Yes, we wagered significantly more than our bankroll. But we started this endeavor with an investment of $130,000. Thus, by the financial definition of ROI, we had an ROI of approximately 87%. To avoid confusion with Wager ROI (and an unnecessary argument from sports bettors), we will define this as our Portfolio ROI. Calculations as follows:
Portfolio ROI = [Ending Investment / Starting Investment – 1]
Cash Turnover Ratio
So how did we wager $1.39 million when we only started with $130,000? Well one of the beauties of sports betting (besides futures) is that the outcome of a wager is determined quickly (~24hrs for MLB, a week for NFL). When you win a game, your sports betting account is credited, and you can then use those proceeds to bet on something else.
How efficiently we use our bankroll is something we’re going to call Cash Turnover Ratio. The Cash Turnover Ratio is the amount of wagers placed, divided by the average portfolio balance over the measurement period. For simplicity, it’s best to calculate your average portfolio balance as the average between your starting and ending bankroll.
Cash Turnover Ratio = [Wagered Amount / ((Starting Portfolio + Ending Portfolio) / 2)]
Our Cash Turnover Ratio for the 2019 baseball season was 7.4x as calculated below:
7.4x = $1.39 million / [($130k + $243k) / 2]
The Cash Turnover Ratio is a measurement of how efficiently we are using our capital. If we had an average portfolio balance of $10 million and only wagered $1.39 million, that would be a very inefficient use of our capital. The only way to increase our Cash Turnover Ratio is to 1) increase our wager size or 2) place more wagers. Of course, increasing our wager size increases our risk and methods such as at Kelly Criterion give us the framework to optimize our bet allocation.
Performance Objective
So what should be our objective? To maximize our Wager ROI? To maximize our Portfolio ROI? Each person is different, but we prioritize Portfolio ROI over Wager ROI.
There’s always going to be a tradeoff between Wager ROI and the number of wagers you play (and therefore your Cash Turnover Ratio). Let’s say you only bet the most select wagers and are able to hit 60% against -110 lines. You would be sporting a very impressive 14.5% Wager ROI, but you could likely improve your Portfolio ROI by being less selective and betting the games that you may only win at a 55% clip. Your Wager ROI would decrease, but the increased volume would increase your Portfolio ROI.
So maximizing Portfolio ROI is a better strategy than maximizing Wager ROI, but is it our performance objective?
Risk Adjusted Returns
Simply, no. What we haven’t addressed yet is the riskiness of a betting strategy.
For example – Bettor 1 has $10,000 and decides to make five $2,000 wagers at -110 over the course of a week. Bettor 1 wins three and lose two, winning a net $1,455, which is good for a Wager ROI of 14.5% and a Portfolio ROI of 14.5%.
Alternatively – Bettor 2 also has $10,000 and makes 50 wagers of $200 instead, winning 30 and losing 20 over the same one-week period. Bettor 2 also has a Wager ROI of 14.5% and a Portfolio ROI of 14.5%.
Do Bettor 1 and Bettor 2 do have equally strong betting strategies? Absolutely not. Bettor 2 was able to achieve the same returns as Bettor 1 but assumed a lot less risk in the process. We can borrow another concept from the financial realm to assess risk-adjusted performance.
The Sharpe Ratio
I’ll save you the boring history and definition of the Sharpe Ratio, but it is essentially a measurement of investment performance compared to a risk-free asset, after adjusting for risk. The Sharpe Ratio represents the additional return generated for an incremental unit of risk. Risk is generally measured as the standard deviation of returns.
For our purposes, we will assume the risk-free asset to have a return of 0.0% given that these bets are short-term securities (and Treasuries are yielding next to nothing).
We can use the Sharpe Ratio to assess the performance of each Bettor. In the table below, we’ve compared Bettor 1 with Bettor 2.
Comparison of Strategies
The big difference between the two bettors is that Bettor 1 assumed a lot more risk with 1) larger bets and therefore a higher standard deviation. As a result, Bettor 2 has a much higher Sharpe ratio than Bettor 1.
You can download a workbook with the above calculations along with a more realistic example of differing betting strategies. Simply replace the shaded cells with your own data to calculate your own Sharpe Ratio. PM me if you want the workbook, or we can migrate it to a google sheet if enough people are interested.
submitted by cleatstreet to sportsbook [link] [comments]

2021 Cap Situation per the Athletic

[ Removed by reddit in response to a copyright notice. ]
submitted by cornbread36 to G101SafeHaven [link] [comments]

PSSST...HEY...THE NBA IS BACK!

PSSST...HEY...THE NBA IS BACK!

PSSST...HEY...THE NBA IS BACK!

NBA IS BACK
MAC has been anticipating the return of the NBA, and he is looking forward to cashing in winning slips at the end of the season as well! Be sure to take advantage of the incredible deposit bonuses at MyBookie - $1000 First Time Deposit Bonus or $500 Reload Bonus for existing customers!! MyBookie has been the industry standard for US sports betting odds because they supply the very best lines possible!
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2019/2020 NBA CHAMPIONSHIP - ODDS TO WIN

Wager cut off: 2020 31st July 6:00 PM
LOS ANGELES LAKERS +185 - (MAC's #3 PICK , The Lakers will most likely be a huge disappointment this year, too much ego in the locker room, not enough energy to tip the scale towards the competitive collaboration needed too get a chip, but you have to play the odds, and the Lakers at +185 still has some value)
MILWAUKEE BUCKS +275
LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS +300
BOSTON CELTICS +1200
TORONTO RAPTORS +1400
HOUSTON ROCKETS +1500 - (MAC's #1 Pick, the most underrated team this year, with the squad being led by head coach Mike D’Antoni, all you have to do is watch James Harden & Westbrook make YouTube highlight videos out of teams this year, especially the Lakers)
DENVER NUGGETS +2400
PHILADEPHIA 76ERS +2400
MIAMI HEAT +3300
DALLAS MAVERICKS +3000
UTAH JAZZ +4000
BROOKLYN NETS +5000
INDIANA PACERS +8000
NEW ORLEANS PELICANS +8000
OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER +9000
PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS +15000
MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES +17500
ORLANDO MAGIC +17500
SAN ANTONIO SPURS +17500
PHOENIX SUNS +20000 - (MAC's #2 - The MAC will be attentively watching the lines coming out for the Suns this year, the money moving on this from key betting syndicates is a bit suspicious. Look for double digit covers from the Suns, long dog wins, and back door bucket shots to blow the cover in the last 2 minutes of their games)
SACRAMENTO KINGS +25000
WASHINGTON WIZARDS +30000
MAC's is anticipating a horrible season for teams like the Nuggets and the Magic so bad that the NBA might even disband the teams and consolidate the NBA if the money starts showing that it's the thing to do, but MAC is making elevator assumptions. The NBA season odds are a start, the NFL and MLB and NHL are all going to be relying on the outcome and handling of these games.
More Free Picks and Exclusive Release Picks from the Red Alert Wagers SS LLC Consensus Team available on The Sports Report and RedAlertWagers.com + Check out MAC's Patreon for monthly memberships and Daily Betting Advice Newsletter
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submitted by TheMACSPicks to SportsReport [link] [comments]

The 2017 roster versus the 2019 roster analysis

An attempt to judge the roster from week one of 2017 to the expected group for 2020. The scale is -2 to +2 with the caveat that price is removed from the equation and to only judge by the player.
Offense:
Quarterback +1 for 1 spot
  • Eli Manning -> Daniel Jones (+1)
This is tough to give a grade on simply because we have no idea if Jones will end up as the franchise QB. When he was throwing and making reads he did not look like a rookie, but his pocket awareness and knowing when to slide created far too many turnovers than a starting QB can make. Still, I'm going with a +1 with +2 upside for addressing the position with a young player who shows promise.
Runningback +2 for 1 spot
  • Orleans Darkwa -> Saquon Barkley (+2)
Let's not over think this one, it is +2.
Tight End 0 for 2 spots
  • TE1: Evan Engram -> Evan Engram (0)
  • TE2: Rhett Ellison -> Levine Toilolo (+Kaden Smith) (0)
Engram is Engram. He's great when he is on field with an emphasis on 'when'. I'm glad they gave him the 5th year option. I always thought Ellison was underused relative to his pay, and thought you could get someone to do the same for less... apparently they read my mind and got Toilolo who is less and paid less, but now you have no upside in the pass game. I'm tempted to give a +1 for Kaden Smith but since I don't consider him a starter at the moment I won't, I also think his YAC is particularly alarming to put him in the conversation for a potential starter down the road.
Wide Receiver +1 for 3 spots
  • WR1: OBJ -> Golden Tate (-1)
  • WR2: Roger Lewis -> Darius Slayton (+2)
  • SWR: Sterling Shepard -> Sterling Shepard (Extension) (0)
If OBJ had a better year I'd give that transition a -2, but if Shepard didn't have the concussions I'd give the new deal a +1 so we'll split the difference. Tate's 16 game production in games with Jones at QB was 84 catches, 1092 yards, and 9 TDs - for his contract that is great production - I don't give a rat's ass about his age until he actually isn't producing. Slayton is obviously a +2 over Roger Lewis who is out of the league.
Offensive Line +4 for 5 spots
  • LT: Ereck Flowers -> Nate Solder (+Matt Peart) (+1)
  • LG: Justin Pugh -> Will Hernandez (+1)
  • C: Weston Richburg -> Spencer Pulley (-2)
  • RG: John Jerry -> Kevin Zeitler (+Nick Gates) (+2)
  • RT: Bobby Hart -> Andrew Thomas (+2)
Thomas starting at LT is an idea I'm in favor of but for now this is more linear. Solder even after his down year is a much better bet at LT going in to 2020 than Flowers was going in to 2017. Hernandez easily has more upside than Pugh who was injury prone and a failed tackle, but after a down year I'm only giving +1, that could be +2 fast with a better scheme. Richburg didn't actually play much in 2017, it was Jones, in for 80% of snaps but even then Pulley simply is only barely starter level - Gates could turn that around if he somehow transitions but that still remains possibly the most neglected roster spot of 2020. Jerry to Zeitler is an easy +2. Replacing the worst RT in the NFL with the #4 pick gets a +2 simply by allocation of resources.
Defense:
Front Five +1 for 5 spots
  • LDT: Damon Harrison -> Dalvin Tomlinson (+1)
  • RDT: Dalvin Tomlinson -> Dexter Lawrence (+BJ Hill) (+1)
  • LE: JPP -> Leonard Williams (0)
  • RE: Olivier Vernon -> Kyler Fackrell (-1)
  • SLB: Devon Kennard -> Oshane Ximines (+Lorenzo Carter) (0)
First comment will be that JPP is a DE and Williams is a DT, I get it, but in a 3-4 to 4-3 they both play the left end so they're the closest comparison - JPP also moved to DT on the Spags NASCAR packages. Moving Tomlinson back to nose where he belongs while Harrison regresses was a good move, double so in a 3-4 where neither is a pass rusher. Investing in a pass rushing interior man like Lawrence was a good move. If Williams Vernon to Fackrell is bargain hunting but at the same time Vernon can't even remotely stay healthy so -1 is all he nets. Kennard wasn't really a starter when he left only playing half the time, but he was a solid, but if "solid" is the label that's about where Ximines and Carter are so there's no real loss, plus I really like Ximines and think he showed promise to be much better. For those that will bemoan the loss of pass rush this is a group that in t2016 (Hankins over Tomlinson) managed 22 sacks with an elite performing secondary, the strength of this group is the strength of that group.
Off Ball Linebacker +2 for 2 spots
  • MLB: BJ Goodson -> Blake Martinez (+1)
  • WLB: Jonathan Cassilas -> Ryan Connelly (+1)
It is odd to think this is one of the more improved groups... that's how pathetic Goodson and Cassillas were. Connelly could easily jump to a +2 if his performances in limited reps were not a mirage. Martinez can actually cover unlike Goodson so he's an easy up to even if he isn't a game changer.
Cornerback 0 for 3 spots
  • CB1: Janoris Jenkins -> James Bradberry (0)
  • CB2: Eli Apple -> DeAndre Baker (+Sam Beal) (0)
  • SCB: DRC -> Julian Love (+Darnay Holmes) (0)
On face value some might think a 0 for this group is a disaster but don't forget this was the strength of the 2016 team. Jenkins may have fallen off lately but he was a lockdown guy on his good days, Bradberry is younger so it is like getting young Jenkins back again. Baker just had a terrible season and we don't know his future, Beal can't stay healthy, but since Apple is now a bottom of the barrel player there isn't a change - it could go up but right now a position of weakness is still a weakness. DRC is the guy who is now retired from the defense so that skews things a little. Love had a solid rookie year and with the McKinney pick likely moves to slot where he probably should have stay and he will have competition for the #110 pick from 2020 in Holmes. DRC was an All Pro player but is retired, there is some promise with rookie and 2nd year players, teams have to replace guys and they found two solid bodies.
Safety +2 for 2 spots
  • FS: Darian Thompson -> Xavier McKinney (+1)
  • SS: Landon Collins -> Jabrill Peppers (+1)
Getting Thompson to McKinney out of the way - Thompson is a backup level player and McKinney was a projected first rounder. I won't give McKinney the +2 since he's unknown and not a first, but this is the first time we've seen extensive resources spent on FS since Phillips. Collins netted a 3rd round compensatory, still can't cover, and Peppers is a play making athlete - since Collins is still good for what he does it is just a +1 and not a +2, rather have Peppers every day.
Total: +13 for 24 spots, +10 not counting rookies
At the end of the day this isn't a ringing endorsement of Gettleman, there were plenty of "they showed promise" guys and of course this was a mediocre to bad roster to start. Jones alone is really the only one that I think could turn around his legacy from "somewhere around okay" to good/great, with that though, unlike Reese in 2016 this is a pretty solid roster that the right staff can work with to get results AND doesn't have far reaching obligations should it fail and a new GM need to clean up.
  • Worst Downgrades: C, WR1, RE
  • Biggest Upgrades: WR2, G, RB
  • Greatest Upsides: QB, FS, OT
  • Question Marks: SCB, QB, CB2
  • Lateral Moves: SLB, CB1, TE2
Looking at this it is disappointing there were no positions in the upgrade spots where FA money was spent. It is nice the drafting is looking better, and I think they replaced some declining guys with similar players in FA which is sound when they were guys who showed promise earlier but were decling, but outside of Zeitler there weren't any spots where I would say that in free agency there were noticeable upgrades to anything above "good" (Martinez is an upgrade for sure, but not elite).
This was my attempt to sift out all the other noise and just look at the starting group, let me know where/how/why you hate me in the comments.
submitted by Fillinlater12345 to NYGiants [link] [comments]

[Game Preview] Week 14 - Philadelphia Eagles(5-7) vs. New York Giants (2-10)

Philadelphia Eagles (5-7) vs New York Giants(2-10)
It is hard to stay positive about this team after laying an egg last week to one of the worst teams in the league in the Miami Dolphins. Ryan Fitzpatrick continues to own Jim Schwartz no matter what team he is on and how bad they might that year Schwartz refused to make adjustments with some reason leaving guys in run support against the league’s worst rushing offense and thought it was better to stay in cover-1 as opposed to give his corners help over the top. With that putrid performance the Eagles dropped to 5-7, yet somehow miraculous still control their own destiny to make the playoffs if they win their remaining 4 games, all against division rivals (NYG(2-10), @WAS(3-9), DAL(6-7), @NYG(2-10). A task that looks completely doable, though no guarantee especially after last weeks disaster. The first of those games will occur Monday night when the Giants make the trip down I-95 for a sorry excuse of Prime Time football with two teams both in the red. The Eagles will probably see an old face one last time as Eli Manning will be getting the start for the first time week 2 for the injured Daniel Jones. The Eagles have taken it to the Giants in the last 5 years going 9-1 in that span and will look to continue that dominance if they want to keep their playoff hopes alive. The Giants are in the middle of a rebuild and should be a team the Eagles can get it going against as they have deficiencies on both sides of the football. If the Eagles can get the offense going and limit Barkley they should be able to come away with a win and take their first ever lead in the eeries history with the Giants. Go Birds!
General Information
Posting Rules and Guidelines
Remember to Join us on Discord during the game!
New to the Eagles? Take a look at our New Fan Page!
Date
Monday, December 9th, 2019
Game Time Game Location
8:15 PM - Eastern Lincoln Financial Field
7:15 PM - Central 1020 Pattison Ave
6:15 PM - Mountain Philadelphia, PA 19148
5:15 PM - Pacific Wikipedia - Map
Weather Forecast
Stadium Type: Open Air
Surface: Grass
Temperature: 54°F
Feels Like: 54°F
Forecast: Light Rain. Mostly cloudy throughout the day.
Chance of Precipitation: 86%
Cloud Coverage: 100%
Wind: South 10 MPH
Betting Odds
Oddsshark Information
Favorite/Opening Line: Philadelphia -9.5
OveUnder: 46
Record VS. Spread: Eagles 5-7, Giants 4-8
Where to Watch on TV
*ESPN will broadcast Sunday’s game to a national audience. Joe Tessitore will handle play-by-play duties and Bubba McFarland will provide analysis. Lisa Salters will report from the sidelines.
TV Map - Week 14 TV Coverage Map
Internet Streams
NFL Streams - Look here 30 minutes before the game for Streams
Radio Streams
Disclaimer: Subscription Based Official NFL Radio Streams available via TuneIn
List of Eagles Radio network member stations with internet broadcast availability
Radio.com 94.1 Desktop Streaming
Listen to Merrill Reese and Mike Quick
Calling the game on 94WIP and the Eagles Radio Network will be Merrill Reese, the NFL’s longest-tenured play-by-play announcer (42nd season). Joining Reese in the radio booth will be former Eagles All-Pro wide receiver Mike Quick, while Howard Eskin will report from the sidelines.
Location Station Frequency
Philadelphia, PA WIP-FM 94.1 FM and 610 AM
Allentown, PA WCTO-FM 96.1 FM
Atlantic City/South Jersey WENJ-FM 97.3 FM
Levittown, PA WBCB-AM 1490 AM
Northumberland, PA WEGH-FM 107.3 FM
Pottsville, PA WPPA-AM 1360 AM
Reading, PA WEEU-AM 830 AM
Salisbury/Ocean City, MD WAFL-FM 97.7 FM
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, PA WEJL-FM 96.1 FM
Salisbury/Ocean City, MD WAFL-FM 97.7 FM
Salisbury/Ocean City, MD WEJL-AM 630 AM
Salisbury/Ocean City, MD WBAX-AM 1240 AM
Williamsport, PA WBZD-FM 93.3 FM
Wilmington, DE WDEL-FM/AM 101.7 FM
York/LancasteHarrisburg, PA WSOX-FM 96.1 FM
Philadelphia Spanish Radio
Rickie Ricardo, Macu Berral and Gus Salazar will handle the broadcast in Spanish on Mega 105.7 FM in Philadelphia and the Eagles Spanish Radio Network.
Location Station Frequency
Philadelphia, PA LA MEGA 105.7 FM
Allentown, PA WSAN 1470 AM
Atlantic City, NJ WIBG 1020 AM; 101.3 FM
Giants Radio
Giants Radio Network Bob Papa (play-by-play), Carl Banks (analyst), Howard Cross (sidelines).
National Radio
Westwood One will broadcast the game to a national audience with Kevin Harlan on play-by-play and Kurt Warner providing analysis and Ross Tucker reporting from the sidelines.
Satellite Radio
Station Eagles Channel Giants Channel
Sirius Radio SIRI 83 (Internet 825) SIRI 81 (Internet 822)
XM Radio XM 226 (Internet 825) XM 225(Internet 822)
Sirius XM Radio SXM 226 (Internet 825) SXM 225 (Internet 822)
Eagles Social Media Giants Social Media
Website Website
Facebook Facebook
Twitter Twitter
Instagram Instagram
Snapchat: Eagles Snapchat: newyorkgiants
NFC East Standings
NFC EAST Record PCT Home Road Div Conf PF PA Net Pts Streak
Cowboys 6-7 .462 3-3 3-4 4-0 5-4 334 267 +67 3L
Eagles 5-7 .417 3-3 2-4 1-1 3-5 274 284 -10 3L
Redskins 3-9 .250 1-5 2-4 0-3 2-6 108 290 -117 2W
Giants 2-10 .167 1-5 1-5 1-2 2-7 230 339 -109 8L
Series Information
Series is tied at (86-86-2)
Series History
Head to Head Box Scores
First Game Played
October 15th, 1933 at the Polo Grounds in Upper Manhattan, New York, NY. New York Giants 56 - Philadelphia Eagles 0
Points Leader
The New York Giants lead the Philadelphia Eagles (3376-3328)
Coaches Record
Doug Pederson: 5-1 vs. the New York Giants
Pat Shurmur: 0-3 vs. the Eagles
Coaches Head to Head
Doug Pederson vs. Pat Shurmur: Pederson leads 2-0
Quarterback Record
Carson Wentz: Against Giants: 4-1
Elisha Manning: Against Eagles: 10-20
Quarterbacks Head to Head
Carson Wentz vs Elisha Manning: Carson Wentz leads 3-1
Records per Stadium
Record @ Lincoln Financial Field: Eagles lead the Giants: 10-6
Record @ MetLife Stadium: Eagles lead the Giants: 6-2
Rankings and Last Meeting Information
AP Pro 32 Ranking
Eagles No. 18 - Giants No. 31
Record
Eagles: 5-7
Giants: 2-10
Last Meeting and Last Meeting at site
Sunday, November 25th, 2018
Eagles 25 - Giants 23
The Eagles injury riddled defense was able to do just enough for Carson Wentz and the injury riddled offense to find a groove and get the running game going. The Giants jumped out to a 12 points lead early thanks to a Saquan Barkley TD pass and a pair of field goals from Rosas, but the Eagles answered with a field goal of their own to make it 12-3. The Giants responded with a 51 yard Saquan Barkley TD run to give the Giants a 16 point lead. The Eagles traded blows answering with a Zach Ertz TD pass from Carson Wentz and an interception to close out the half. The Eagles got a their running game going in the second half and took the lead in the 4th quarter on a Josh Adams TD run to take a 3 point lead. The Giants were able to move the ball and even it at 22 with just under 6 minutes to play. The Eagles were able to move the ball down the field chewing up clock for Jake Elliott to kick a game winning field goal with 22 second left in the game. With limited time and deep in their own territory the Giants weren't able to get anything going to give the Eagles the win and keep their playoff hopes alive.
Click here to view the Video Recap
Click here to view the Stats Recap
Last 10 Meetings
Date Winner Loser Score
11/25/18 Eagles Giants 25-23
10/11/18 Eagles Giants 34-13
12/30/17 Eagles Giants 34-29
09/24/17 Eagles Giants 27-24
12/22/16 Eagles Giants 24-19
11/06/16 Giants Eagles 28-23
01/03/16 Eagles Giants 35-30
10/19/15 Eagles Giants 27-7
12/28/14 Eagles Giants 34-26
10/12/14 Eagles Giants 27-0
Injury Reports Depth Charts
Eagles Eagles
Giants Giants
2019 “Expert” Picks
Week 14 - "Expert" Picks
2019 Team Stats
Eagles Season Stats
Giants Season Stats
2019 Stats (Starters/Leaders)
Passing
Name CMP ATT PCT YDS TD INT RAT
Wentz 210 302 69.5% 2304 15 6 100.1
Manning 56 89 62.9% 556 2 2 78.7
Jones 228 370 61.6% 2374 18 11 84.0
Rushing
Name ATT YDS YDS/G AVG TD
Sanders 116 520 58.3 4.5 1
Barkley 133 544 60.4 4.0 2
Receiving
Name REC YDS YDS/G AVG TD
Ertz 70 736 61.3 10.5 3
Slayton 37 505 50.5 13.6 5
Sacks
Name Sacks Team Total
Graham 7.5 34
Golden 7.5 26
Tackles
Name Total Solo Assist Sacks
McLeod 61 35 26 1.0
Bethea 80 57 23 0
Interceptions
Name Ints Team Total
Darby/Gerry/McLeod 2 10
Jenkins 4 10
Punting
Name ATT YDS LONG AVG NET IN 20 TB BP
Johnston 49 2299 61 46.9 42.5 17 3 0
Dixon 46 2162 62 47.0 42.8 20 2 1
Kicking
Name ATT MADE % LONG PAT
Elliot 18 17 94.4% 53 23/25
Rosas 14 10 71.4% 45 22/25
Kick Returns
Name ATT YDS AVG LONG TD
Sanders 9 224 24.9 48 0
Latimer 17 396 23.3 50 0
Punt Returns
Name RET YDS AVG LONG TD FC
Clement 6 42 2.8 42 0 2
Jonesn 8 96 12.0 60 0 2
League Rankings 2019
Offense Rankings
Category Eagles Stat Eagles Rank Giants Stat Giants Rank
Total Offense 342.3 20th 316.7 25th
Rush Offense 118.8 13th 95.5 23rd
Pass Offense 223.6 18th 221.2 20th
Points Per Game 22.8 16thth 19.2 25th
3rd-Down Offense 45.4% 6th 37.1% 18th
4th-Down Offense 31.6% 27th 44.4% 18th(t)
Red Zone Offense (TD%) 63.2% 10th 53.1% 22nd
Defense Rankings
Category Eagles Stat Eagles Rank Giants Stat Giants Rank
Total Defense 332.7 14th 372.8 26th
Rush Defense 91.0 4th 114.3 21st
Pass Defense 241.7 18th 258.6 25th
Points Per Game 23.7 20th 28.3 29th
3rd-Down Defense 36.6% 13th 40.5% 22nd
4th-Down Defense 66.7% 29th(t) 71.4% 32nd
Red Zone Defense (TD%) 61.1% 26th 51.3% 10th
Team
Category Eagles Stat Eagles Rank Giants Stat Giants Rank
Turnover Diff. -5 25th(t) -14 31st(t)
Penalty Per Game 6.5 T-11th 5.9 5th
Penalty Yards Per Game 55.6 14th 51.4 6th
Connections
Giants HC Pat Shurmur previously worked for the Eagles in two stints from 1999-2008 as the OL/TE coach and QB coach and again as the the OC/interim HC from 2013-2015.
Giants LB Coach Bill McGovern previously worked for the Eagles from 2013-2015 as the outside linebacker coach.
Giants FS Sean Chandler was born in Camden and played at Temple.
Eagles OL coach Jeff Stoutland (New York, NY) and S Malcolm Jenkins (Piscataway, NJ) are from the New York/New Jersey region
Giants DL Coach Gary Emmanuel was born in Philadelphia, PA.
Eagles RB Miles Sanders and Giants RB Saquan Barkley both played RB together at PSU with Sanders backing up Barkely.
Giants WR Golden Tate played half a season with the Eagles in 2018 after being traded by the Lions.
2019 Pro Bowlers
Eagles Giants
DT Fletcher Cox (Starter) S Landon Collins (Starter)
OG Brandon Brooks (Starter) RB Saquan Barkley
TE Zach Ertz (Starter) K Aldrick Rosas (Starter)
OT Lane Johnson (1st Alt) DE Olivier Vernon (1st Alt)
SS Malcom Jenkins (1st Alt) ST Michael Thomas (1st Alt)
General
Referee: Scott Novak
Philadelphia has won each of its last 5 regular season games against the Giants and is 9-1 in the last 10 games. The Eagles also own a 7-game winning streak vs. New York at Lincoln Financial Field.
Since 2000, Philadelphia has produced a 25-13 regular-season record vs. NYG, which marks the highest winning percentage (.658) by an NFC East team against the Giants in that span.
A win on Monday would give the Eagles a lead in the series for the first time since the teams started playing in 1933.
Philadelphia owns the 6th-best third-down offense in the NFL (45.5%), behind Dallas (49.0%), Baltimore (48.9), Kansas City (46.8%), Houston (45.8%) and San Fransisco (45.6%
The Eagles defense is allowing only 91.0 rushing yards per game, which ranks 4th in the NFL, trailing only N.Y. Jets (75.3), Tampa Bay (76.3) and New Orleans (88.6)
Philadelphia owns a 4-1 (.800) record on Monday Night Football under Doug Pederson (since 2016)
Draft Picks
Eagles Giants
OT Andre Dillard QB Daniel Jones
RB Miles Sanders DT Dexter Lawrenece
WR JJ Arcega-Whiteside CB Deandre Baker
DE Shareff Miller LB Oshane Ximines
QB Clayton Thorson CB Julian Love
- LB Ryan Connelly
- WR Darius Slayton
- LB Cory Ballentine
- OT George Asafo-Adjei
- DT Chris Slayton
Notable Off-season Additions
Eagles Giants
WR Desean Jackson SS Antoine Bethea
DT Malik Jackson FS Jabrill Peppers
DE Vinny Curry G Kevin Zeitler
DT Hassan Ridgeway OT Mike Remmers
QB Josh McCown LB Keion Adams
TE Isaiah Searight
LB David Mayo
DE Chris Peace
LB Deone Bucannon
Notable Off-season Departures
Eagles Giants
QB “Big Dick” Nick Foles WR Odell Beckham Jr.
DE Michael Bennett S Landon Collins
DE Chris Long DE Olivier Vernon
S Chris Maragos LB Nate Stupar
RB Jay Ajayi RB Jonathan Stewart
RB Josh Adams G Jamon Brown
RB Wendell Smallwood DE Mario Edwards Jr.
DT Haloti Ngata DE Kevin Wynn
DE Josh Mauro
CB B.W Webb
LB BJ Goodson
Milestones
Eagles TE Zach Ertz (32) needs 2 TD to move up to a tie for 8th on the Eagles all-time receiving TD list all-time tying WR Calvin Williams and WR Desean Jackson.
Eagles TE Zach Ertz (5563) needs 57 yards to most up to 5th on the Eagles all-time receiving yards list passing Eagles E and NFL HoF Pete Philos.
Eagles S Malcolm Jenkins's (4) needs 1 more Interception for a TD to tie CB Eric Allen (5) for most Interceptions for a TD by an Eagles player.
Eagles RB Miles Sanders needs (520) needs 118 rushing yards to break LeSean McCoy’s Eagles record for most rushing yards by a rookie in a season.
Eagles RB Miles Sanders needs (879) needs 130 yards of total offense to break Desean Jackson’s Eagles record for most yards of total offense by a rookie in a season.
Eagles DE Brandon Graham (50) needs 1 sacks to move up to 5th on the Eagles all-time sack list passing DE Greg Brown.
Pro Football Focus Matchup Charts courtesy of PFF Edge (join.profootballfocus.com/edge/)
WDB Matchups (CAPS = expected shadow coverage)
Stats to Know
The Blind Side
Let us compare LTs Nate Solder to Jason Peters/Andre Dillard this season, shall we? Of Offensive Linemen, Solder is currently tied for 3rd-most Sacks Allowed (9), tied for 6th in Hits Allowed (7), and has allowed the 4thd-most Hurries (29). That amounts to the greatest number of total Pressures allowed, thus far (45). In all of 2019, Solder only allowed 33 Pressures. Jason Peters has allowed 1 sack, 3 hits, and 11 hurries, while Dillard has allowed 4 sacks, 4, hits, and 13 hurries = combined 5 sacks, 7 hits, 24 hurries
Matchups to Watch
Giants Pass Defense vs Eagles Passing Offense
Another week, another stoppable force meeting a movable object, but this time on Monday Night Football. The Eagles Offense was able to perform well, even with mistakes, against a bad Dolphins offense last week. While they could have scored more points, when your defense let’s up 37 against a trash offense, there are bigger causes for concern. Like Miami, the Giants defense is straight booty cheeks. The only difference is the Giants don’t have the tanking excuse to hang their hat on. This is a defense that is 28th in opposing passer rating, 27th in pass plays of 20+ yards, 31st in pass plays of 40+ yards, and 30th in pass defense by DVOA – barely better than Miami. One area where the Giants can hang their hat on is their 11th ranked rush defense by DVOA… really making a difference, eh? The Eagles passing offense has another cupcake matchup this week they must take advantage of despite the calls to run more. It doesn’t mean to pass every play, it means they must find a way to get a bad receiver group open regularly. Alshon Jeffery is fresh off his best game of the year. While he does look like he is slowing down pretty quickly, he is still the Eagles best Wide Receiver. Nelson Agholor finally didn’t hurt the team and JJAW got his first career touchdown reception. Carson Wentz had a good but not flawless game against Miami that he hopefully builds off of. Wentz was 3rd in aggressiveness percentage indicating the receivers still aren’t getting enough separation and the scheme not helping them get open more regularly. This is concerning given the dearth of talent on the Miami roster. The Giants also have a dearth of talent in their secondary, led by rookie DeAndre Baker, who has been one of the worst DBs in the NFL this season. The Giants found someone to give Jalen Mills a run for his money. Janoris Jenkins is still the Giants best option at CB and the only one capable of playing man coverage despite being in the downside of his career, but even he isn’t playing well anymore. Their safety spots are a black hole. They still have Alec Ogletree and he is still terrible in coverage. This is a juicy matchup for a bad Eagles offense they need to take advantage of. Given what they scored last week, and the meat left on the bone, that shouldn’t and can’t be an issue for the Eagles on Monday.
Giants Passing Offense vs Eagles “Passing Defense”
As I’ve said the last few weeks, the Eagles recent surge on defense was more of a mirage than an actual turn around in performance. Ryan Fitzpatrick went God mode turning Devante Parker into Jerry Rice for 60 minutes as the Eagles defense was dry-humped up and down the field in spectacular fashion. This secondary cannot cover or make plays on the ball. They struggle to tackle. They can’t communicate. They are a mess. Week 13 does serve as an outlier to a degree; meaning, Fitzpatrick was nearly flawless, Parker made every single big catch he could, etc. Everything broke the Dolphins way in week 13, but they attacked the Eagles in the way every opposing offense should to find success… through the air! Fortunately, the Giants also have garbage tier QB play on the menu Sunday with Derps McGee – Eli Manning – retuning to the starting lineup in place of a banged up Danny Turnovers. Even though the Eagles defense does have a habit allowing mediocre players to turn into Hall of Famers, this is still a favorable matchup for them. Eli is in the waning days of his interesting career having been close to washed for some time. He’s not an aggressive passer and his arm strength is fading by the minute. While that plays into the Eagles favor since he’ll struggle to his big plays through the air if he attempts them at all, he’s still capable of hitting some quick timing plays underneath. The Giants may have Engram, Tate, and Shepard for this contest to go with stud rookie Darius Slayton and second year monster Saquon Barkley. Eli hasn’t played in some time so he should be rusty and out of sync with a receiver group that hasn’t played a full game together yet this year. The Eagles must be careful in their secondary, ensuring they play smart and tackle well. All of these players are able to win deep and after the catch. Given Eli’s current abilities, the former is likely out of the question. We’ve seen Eli quick strike this defense to death and could again. The defense cannot allow that to happen, especially against a poorly coached and scheme opposing offense.
Giants Offensive Line vs. Eagles Defensive Front
The Giants offensive line is still a below average unit on the whole but has made some steady improvements the last two years under Dave Gettleman. It’s probably the one area this guy can hang his hat on. Second year pro Will Hernandez is a bully at Left Guard and a good player that will continue to improve as he grows in this league. New right guard Kevin Zeitler has been dinged up on the season and is still the quality pass blocker he has been throughout his career. Journeyman center Joe Halapio is decent in the middle. This trio gives them a quality interior – it’s the tackles that let them down. Nate Solder has struggled mightily this season at Left Tackle after scoring big in Free Agency. Mike Remmers is still a below average offensive lineman playing right tackle. The Eagles interior rushers should find success on Sunday even though the Giants interior OL isn’t as poor as it once was, it’s the Defensive Ends that should feast in their matchups. And they need to since we all know the Eagles secondary just can’t cover anyone worth a damn. Derek Barnett, Brandon Graham, Josh Sweat, and Vinny Curry all have plus matchups against inferior tackles. We’ve seen Eli play scared under pressure and can easily be forced into errant throws. Additionally, the defensive front needs to play smart and gap sounds in order to control Saquon Barkely on the ground. Barkley is a tremendous talent that is clearly slowed by an ankle injury he suffered earlier this season. Philadelphia cannot be reckless in their defense as Barkley is still capable of making them pay. This will help the Giants offense be in less favorable down and distance situations that can force them into making mistakes. It always starts up front with the Eagles and will remain that way as long as the secondary is a liability.
Special thanks to MikeTysonChicken and abenyishay for their help in creating this Game Preview.
submitted by Rsubs33 to eagles [link] [comments]

Which sportsbook should I use? Not which book, but how many?

Hey folks,
I've been a longtime lurker under the username hemegeah. My background is in economics and technology, but I've had a long history of being a successful-ish degenerate, from playing in the WSOP, placing over $900,000 in wagers so far this year in MLB and NFL (Average bet size is around $1500 for about 12% ROI), and having some success in Daily Fantasy as well (biggest win was $100,000 in NFL 2017, but other smaller first prizes as well in the $10,000-$50,000 range). I'm well aware this probably sounds like BS so I'm happy to verify to mods however they see fit.
As a US citizen, I have spent most of my time in the shadows due to regulatory and legal concerns, but with a path to legalization in the US, I would like to share insights/picks/whatever fellow sports bettors find useful for free. With legalization opening the floodgates, I believe the next logical step is democratizing profitable sports betting. I'd like to start with a longform piece I wrote demonstrating the value of price-shopping with books. Please provide feedback on whether this type of stuff is interesting, or if there's other info/insights you guys would be interested in!
Which Sportsbook Should I Use?
Not Which Book, But How Many
Which sportsbook should I use? Ignoring promotions put on by sportsbooks, the simple answer is: the book that charges the lowest vig. This makes sense: all things equal, over the long term, the book with the lowest vig holds the lowest percentage of your money.
However, this is the wrong question to ask. The right question is: how many sportsbooks should I use? Having multiple sportsbooks allows a bettor to shop for the best odds, similar to comparing prices across multiple stores when making a big purchase. Shopping for the best odds is one of the most important but least emphasized aspects of sports betting. In this article, we will demonstrate the importance of having multiple sportsbooks and how shopping for odds can have a profound impact on the returns of your sports betting portfolio.
Consider an example where a bettor bets $100/game on every MLB game during the period May 16-18, betting the money-line for the home team (the actual betting strategy and outcomes don’t matter but we will get to that).
Based on closing odds posted for these games, let’s examine what the returns would look like across six popular sportsbooks:
https://imgur.com/a/okLB2Lz
Our natural inclination may be to use a sportsbook like BetOnline or 5Dimes, which historically has been known to offer the lowest vig, while avoiding a sportsbook like Bovada, notorious for having a high vig. However, if we were to compare across multiple sportsbooks, choosing the best closing line, we can greatly improve our returns. This is what our returns would look like if we picked the best closing line across multiple books:
https://imgur.com/a/jzHkcru
Despite using the same betting example above, by shopping for the best closing line across multiple sportsbooks, a money-losing proposition has now turned into a winning one. While there are diminishing returns as you add additional sportsbooks, notice how the returns increase at every level of adding an additional sportsbook, demonstrating that even adding Bovada, the sportsbook with the highest vig, provides value when shopping for lines.
What does this all mean? Going back to our original thought experiment and looking at the bet outcomes in absolute terms, making $4,000 worth of bets with $100 bet sizes, the sportsbook with the lowest vig, BetOnline, loses $6.90. Shopping across all six sportsbooks listed generates a profit of $21.28. This is free money, the equivalent of 0.28 betting units generated out of thin air across only 40 betting units wagered. Using multiple sportsbooks to find the best price will always outperform using only one sportsbook, regardless of your betting strategy.
Let me know your guys' thoughts!
submitted by cleatstreet to sportsbook [link] [comments]

Ultimate Guide for Online Sports Betting OFA168

Sports betting is beginning to go mainstream also. The thing that was mentioned using a wink and a nod would be currently discussed publicly. There are shows on major sporting programs that pay to wager daily. It’s really a boom time for sports bettors, and also the playing field is still open for those who are not used to the match.
Retail sportsbooks and gambling apps are still established in legalized countries. Because of this, gaming lovers have lots of legal on the web and portable sportsbook options. Online sports betting sounds somewhat complicated at first, but it is going to feel a whole lot less foreign when you get some experience.
This guide intends to help decrease your learning curve tremendously. Let us start out with the basic principles.
Bettors try to predict the outcomes and create their very best bet on which the result is. Bettors an average of a bet with a sportsbook. Odds-makers at the assorted novels will put lines or chances for its readily available wagers.
Essentially, chances clearly show the chances of a certain event occurring. Additionally, they indicate the potential yield for all those that gamble successfully. Sportsbook provides a vast selection of markets. From leading sports like NFL gambling along with NBA gambling to niche offerings like cricket along with rugby, you will discover lots of wagering opportunities out there. The very same applies in regards to betting types.
The most ordinary bet simply entails selecting a winning side. But, you will find lots of different means to bet and facets to think about. Sports betting is a popular pastime that’s bringing more attention thanks to legalization in several markets.
You are brand new to sports gambling and prepared to begin. Now what?
Beginning any new undertaking might be overwhelming initially, but a lot of times you’ll find it isn’t really that tough once you start grinding. That is true with sports gambling. Much like many other scenarios, it is ideal, to begin with, the fundamentals and builds from there:
Advantages of sports-betting: Sports gambling has ever turned into a blessing for every one of those countries that have ever entered. A clinic that has been illegal has become generating additional tax revenue. What’s more, occupations are and continue to be established in each new industry.
Steps to Start Betting on Sports: it may not be much easier to begin gambling on sports betting. Most operators are working out the legal niches, and enrolling in an account using them is just a snap. From that point, you are able to remove and add funds from the accounts easily and start researching chances.
The Mechanics of sports-betting: Among the coolest things concerning sports gambling is that you’re able to get as complex as you prefer at your own pace. It is possible to keep it simple and follow the fundamentals or dip in with both feet to boost your level of skill from the beginning. That is ultimately your decision personally; also there isn’t any wrong or right strategy. It boils down to a question of what is most effective for you personally.
Knowing the chances: that really is a place that could confuse those brand new to the match. A brief, chances inform one of that the suggested probabilities and possible yield for powerful wagers. For a simplified case, negative chances imply a well-liked and less yield potential. While favorable chances point out an underdog and also the capacity for larger yields.
For every one of those categories, there exists a ton more to comprehend proceeding forward. As you progress, you’re able to research issues, like chances, in a great deal more detail. Provided that those foreign notions will develop into something that you know well.
Sports betting can be exceedingly enjoyable, and additionally, there is the opportunity to earn a profit whilst doing whatever you like. That is clearly a win-win scenario, however, additionally, it is critical to get into it using a transparent mind.
Almost always there is the prospect of hitting a significant parlay you are likely to have rich using overnight. A sports betting is hard and maybe quite a grind, but that is also part of this allure. Begin sports gambling using realistic expectations sufficient reason for a laser-like give attention to being more disciplined. For all those not used to the match, you need to think about the money you’re wagering as a portion of one’s entertainment budget.
Just bet what you’re comfortable gambling and do not exceed this amount. There’ll be a lot of time and energy to enlarge your bets as your skills improve; therefore there is no requirement to dash it as long as you are learning. Last but most certainly not least, bear in mind this is something which you ought to discover entertaining and fun. In case it stops sense like this — or in case you struck on the inevitable losing series — you shouldn’t be reluctant to simply take a rest. Having a step backward and forth representing somewhat will permit you to tweak your approach and plan where required. Obtaining a breather and obtaining additional view might cause one to feel rejuvenated if you are prepared to play.
Sportsbook operators are for-profit entities. Therefore, they are not only providing a gambling market place out from the goodness in the hearts. The target for these may be exactly the very same as you: to earn money. Novels that do not accomplish that goal won’t be around as long. Odds-makers who always have a beating will gradually be trying to find a fresh field of work. Nevertheless, the overwhelming bulk of operators that are established are excellent at what they’re doing.
They turn into a profit as an outcome. Therefore, just how do they accomplish so? Sports-books earn money by the commissions that they collect for shooting action on stakes. That can be known as the vig or even juice. Let us consider a good illustration working with a normal group of point spread odds of -110.
In case your bet is more correct, you are going to reunite 0.90, and that’s the own 0% bet and a benefit of .90. So just why not double your funds? That is since the bookmaker has essentially maintained a proportion of their yield for themselves. Additionally, think that the operator can also be taking bets on each side of the equation.
In an ideal environment, they’ll receive even actions on each side. 1 / 2 of those stakes will likely triumph, as the spouse will probably soon lose. The internet of the things they collect, no matter what they cover out, reflects profit. Obviously, maybe not all of the stakes will bring even actions, which explains the reason you are going to observe chances move once they have been published. In case the book maker’s accountability using a single side of a result gets too great, they’ll create the likelihood a little more positive on the opposite hand to draw in more activity.
Mistakes Need to Avoid
Whenever you’re beginning with something brand new, it’s vital to see that there is going to soon be a learning curve. Mistakes will occur on the way, however, you are able to study on everyone and boost your general knowledge base.
If it comes to sports gambling, you are likely to make mistakes. You’ll miss something which appears obvious on your handicapping ahead of this match. Or you can set a bet on chances that unexpectedly turn into far more positive on the negative you’re leaning. It’s going to occur, and there is absolutely no solution to protect against every mistake. But, you’ll be able to prevent many big pitfalls which might create your sports gaming profession shortlived.
Do Not Chase Your Losses: You are likely to drop a few stakes. Any sports bettor who lets you know to win all of the time is not really being honest. When reductions happen, analyze the reason why suck it up and then proceed. Don’t make an effort to “get “ by Slimming down since you are “because of a win” Which is an instant recipe for tragedy.
Do not Bet On your mind: It is critical to own a crystal clear funding in mind for their own sports gambling console. Simply deposit that which you could manage to reduce, and also withstand the desire to go ahead when things are not moving away. If your long term budget has been gone, then simply take that as a chance to have a rest and return back into it having a transparent head.
Do not Be Unrealistic or over-estimate Your Skills: From nature, most sports fans are enthusiastic. Some people may take this for the extreme and feel as though they’re always right and therefore are not able to create a lot of money gambling. You shouldn’t be this guy or woman. Understand that you are going to have work to accomplish aside from your sports consciousness grade, and keep your profit aims reasonable.
Sports gambling can be considered a wonderful source of entertainment and also a potentially rewarding enterprise. Nevertheless, the probability of happening increases whenever you stop the aforementioned advantages.
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NFL Moneyline Betting Explained Sports betting: Money Line and The Spread explained Early Week 4 NFL Odds & Lines  Betting Odds for DraftKings & William Hill Sportsbooks Moneyline NFL Picks Rundown Sports Betting: How to Read the Moneyline and Total

A teaser is also another type of bet common among NFL bettors. In a teaser, a person can play two or more matches by changing the NFL lines. Most of the teasers let you adjust the point spread to 6 or 7 points, but let’s stick to the standard 6-point teaser matchup for now. When the point spread is adjusted in NFL betting, we talk about the line moving by a certain number of points. With moneyline odds, we talk about cents instead. Shifting the moneyline from –450 to –475, and from +325 to +350, are both examples of 25-cent moves. NFL Money Line betting is the simplest and a popular form of betting. With NFL money line betting you are simply picking which team will outright win the game. The moneyline odds will list the the favorite in a given game as a negative number (ie. -200) that means you will have to bet that amount to win $100. Article: How To Read College Football Betting Odds - How To Read NFL Betting Odds. Understanding The Moneyline Odds In The NBA. Los Angeles Lakers +200; Miami Heat -200; Here in this moneyline example for the NBA, the Lakers are matching up with the Heat. Miami has been set in the role of the betting favorite, going off at -200 on the betting line. Nationals vs Cardinals Odds Saturday October 12, 2019 - Betting Line & Prediction; Rays vs Astros Odds Thursday October 10, 2019 - Betting Line & Prediction; Nationals vs Dodgers Odds Wednesday October 9, 2019 - Betting Line & Prediction; NBA Matchups. Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers Betting Odds Thursday March 12, 2020 - Lines & Prediction

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NFL Moneyline Betting Explained

Here's an early look at the opening NFL odds & lines for Week 4 on DraftKings and William Hill online sportsbooks. ... Betting The Money Line Explained Sports Betting 101 - Duration: 5:32. Play ... Odds Coach 47,083 views. 6:24. Betting On The Moneyline (feat. ... How to Become a Bookie 1 Sports Betting, Money Line, Spread, Total - Duration: ... NFL Betting Explained - Duration: ... NFL Week 1 Picks (2018) Football Sports Betting Predictions Vegas Lines & Odds (Offseason ... 8:57. Brock Page Productions 7,610 views. 8:57. NFL Betting Systems - Win Money Betting on NFL ... Big Ry and the Fat Guy explain what is a moneyline bet in sports betting. Ever wondered... What is a moneyline? What is a moneyline bet? What are moneyline bets? What is a moneyline in sports ... Jake Donnelly from https://www.oddsusa.com brings you the first video in Sports Betting 101: Understanding Betting Odds and the Moneyline. This video is for you! The sports fan that wants to get ...